Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. · MRSH · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Marsh McLennan: Growth and M&A support a constructive outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong underlying growth, recurring margin expansion, and acquisition-led scale provide evidence of business momentum, while integration execution, cash-flow conversion, leverage, and catastrophe exposure remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $84.25B market cap
85quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.72 Consensus $2.67
EPS surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.97B Consensus $6.94B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied latest analysis emphasizes full-year 2024 growth of 8% in revenue and 7% underlying growth, record $9.4 billion of acquisitions, a 15% dividend increase, and $900 million of repurchases. Management's 2025 outlook remained mid-single-digit revenue growth with continued margin expansion and $4.5 billion of capital deployment.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reiterated mid-single-digit revenue growth, continued margin expansion, and $4.5 billion of 2025 capital deployment.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 8% to $24.5 billion, with 7% underlying growth, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Adjusted operating margin expanded 80 basis points, extending the reported margin-growth streak to 17 years.
  • Record acquisitions, including McGriff, increased scale while management maintained its 2025 outlook.
  • The main counterweights are slower free-cash-flow growth, integration execution, and catastrophe or macro exposure.

Management priorities

  • Integrate McGriff and pursue disciplined M&A, with $4.5 billion earmarked for 2025 capital deployment.
  • Expand digital tools and analytics including Sentrisk, Blue[i], and LenAI.
  • Continue dividend growth and share repurchases while investing in talent and technology.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MRSH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $2.67 Q2 '25 actual $2.72, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.78 Q3 '25 actual $1.85, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.97 Q4 '25 actual $2.12, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.22 Q1 '26 actual $3.29, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.88 Q2 '26 actual $2.96, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.97 Q4 '26 estimate $2.23 Q1 '27 estimate $3.57 Q2 '27 estimate $3.21

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1132.4%
Neutral2264.7%
Bearish12.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$176.54Current
$135Low
$201.58Average
$256High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 1, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $176.54. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$190$171.75 +7.6%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$222$170.43 +25.8%Oct 6, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$203$194.67 +15.0%Aug 25, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$200$186.37 +13.3%Aug 19, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$216$184.62 +22.4%Jul 27, 2026
See 64 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH) functions as a leading professional services organization, delivering expert guidance and innovative solutions to clients across the vital domains of risk management, strategic planning, and human capital. Based in New York City, the firm maintains a substantial global workforce, employing approximately 65,000 full-time professionals. This entity serves as the parent company for several prominent advisory and consulting brands.…

Historical context

All MRSH earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T01:50:43.504842+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.