FN2 Earnings Intelligence

Merck & (MRK) earnings history

Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MRK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.88 Q1 '24 actual $2.07, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.15 Q2 '24 actual $2.28, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.50 Q3 '24 actual $1.57, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.03 Q2 '25 actual $2.13, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.36 Q3 '25 actual $2.58, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.01 Q4 '25 actual $2.04, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-1.47 Q1 '26 actual $-1.28, beat Q2 '26 estimate $-0.27 Q2 '26 actual $-0.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.09 Q4 '26 estimate $1.96 Q1 '27 estimate $2.21
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MRK FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Merck & Co., Inc.

The Q2 analysis supports the view that resilient demand and pipeline progress can underpin Merck's growth narrative: revenue increased 5%, full-year revenue guidance was raised, and multiple launches and late-stage milestones advanced. The evidence is not one-directional, with access, regulatory, competitive, and one-time-charge risks still material.

EPS surprise+51.9%
Market move+0.2%
MRK FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Merck & Co., Inc.

Merck's Q1 2026 results underscore a company in transition: core Keytruda revenue remains strong, but the earnings profile is being reshaped by large one-time charges (Cidara: $9B) and strategic bets (pending Terns acquisition, Google Cloud AI partnership). Revenue beat consensus by roughly $440M, growing 5% YoY on oncology and animal-health strength. Management raised full-year EPS guidance to $5.04-$5.16, reflecting operational confidence. The pipeline showed breadth with FDA approval of IDVYNSO for HIV, priority reviews for I-DXd and WELIREG combinations, and over 20 planned product launches. However, Gardasil's 22% decline on China and Japan weakness and the approaching Keytruda LOE in 2028-2029 remain meaningful headwinds. The market initially reacted negatively (-2.6% abnormal move) but subsequently drifted +8.7% higher, suggesting investors ultimately looked past the one-time…

EPS surprise+12.9%
Market move-1.6%
MRK FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Merck & Co., Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a measured growth case: launches, pipeline progress, animal-health expansion and acquisitions provide growth avenues, while pricing pressure, generic competition and Keytruda's intellectual-property runway constrain confidence.

EPS surprise+1.5%
Market move+2.2%
MRK FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Merck & Co., Inc.

The analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: oncology momentum, newer launches, a deep pipeline and OHTUVAYRE broaden Merck's growth platform, while pricing, generic competition and execution risks require monitoring.

EPS surprise+9.3%
Market move-0.3%
MRK FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Merck & Co., Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: diversified launches, pipeline progress and portfolio optimization provide growth avenues, but GARDASIL China weakness, tariff exposure, regulatory execution and KEYTRUDA loss-of-exclusivity risk remain material offsets.

EPS surprise+4.9%
Market move-1.7%
MRK FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Merck & Co., Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Merck's operating trajectory: oncology, new launches, Animal Health and the late-stage pipeline provide growth support, while maintained guidance is a stabilizing signal. The thesis remains conditional on managing tariffs, Gardasil weakness in China and the longer-term Keytruda loss-of-exclusivity transition.

EPS surprise—
Market move+1.4%
MRK FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Merck & Co., Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: Merck's growth is being supported by KEYTRUDA, Animal Health and newer products such as WINREVAIR, while China vaccine weakness, KEYTRUDA exclusivity and pipeline execution create material offsets.

EPS surprise—
Market move-9.1%

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