Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy38 ratings
Bullish2668.4%
Neutral1129.0%
Bearish12.6%
Merck & Co., Inc. · MRK · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
Merck Maintains Guidance Amid Tariff and Gardasil Risks
The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Merck's operating trajectory: oncology, new launches, Animal Health and the late-stage pipeline provide growth support, while maintained guidance is a stabilizing signal. The thesis remains conditional on managing tariffs, Gardasil weakness in China and the longer-term Keytruda loss-of-exclusivity transition.
Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare
$358.60B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $2.16
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $15.39B
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
+1.4%
Event window
SPY move
+2.1%
Same window
Abnormal move
-0.7%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.1×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-2.5%
Up to 20 sessions
MRKSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about MRK FY2025 Q1
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove MRK's +1.4% move after FY2025 Q1 earnings?What changed in MRK's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q1?Give me the bull and bear case for MRK after FY2025 Q1 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Management maintained full-year revenue and EPS guidance while emphasizing US manufacturing expansion, late-stage pipeline development and additional business development. The quarter also brought greater focus to tariff exposure, Gardasil weakness in China and preparation for Keytruda loss of exclusivity.
Guidance delta
Management maintained full-year revenue and EPS guidance; the guidance excludes potential business-development charges.
Key takeaways
- Q1 revenue was described as $15.5 billion, with oncology and new launches offsetting soft spots.
- Full-year revenue and EPS guidance was maintained, excluding potential business-development charges.
- Management highlighted a late-stage pipeline of more than 20 candidates and continued US manufacturing expansion.
- Keytruda patent expiry and weaker Gardasil demand in China remain important uncertainties.
Management priorities
- Advance subcutaneous Keytruda and expanded WinRevair indications.
- Continue US manufacturing expansion and allocate capital to new sites.
- Advance late-stage pipeline candidates toward regulatory approval.
- Pursue additional business-development transactions.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$147.35Current
$80Low
$137.25Average
$180High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Outperform | Maintain | Sep 29, 2026 |
| HSBC | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Leerink Partners | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 21, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 20, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Daiwa Capital | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 29, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 9, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Societe Generale | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Mar 11, 2024 |
| Atlantic Equities | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 1, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 7, 2023 |
| SVB Leerink | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Erste Group | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Aug 25, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jun 27, 2022 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 1, 2019 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 29, 2018 |
| DZ Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 13, 2018 |
| Leerink Swann | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Feb 6, 2018 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 31, 2017 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 5, 2015 |
| MainFirst Bank AG | Outperform | Underperform | Upgrade | Jul 28, 2014 |
| Mainfirst | Outperform | Underperform | Upgrade | Jul 28, 2014 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 14, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $147.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Trung Huynh | $145 | $145.6 | -1.6% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Carter Gould | $145 | $142.79 | -1.6% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $180 | $147.15 | +22.2% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Berenberg Bank | Luisa Hector | $137 | $144.71 | -7.0% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $172 | $147.6 | +16.7% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $161 | $148.49 | +9.3% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Vamil Divan | $170 | $150.34 | +15.4% | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $152.34 | +15.4% | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Jasper Hellweg | $170 | $153.61 | +15.4% | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Alexandria Hammond | $180 | $150.69 | +22.2% | Aug 25, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $149.25 | +8.6% | Aug 21, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $149.65 | +15.4% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $152.22 | +18.8% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $152.22 | +1.8% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Matthew Weston | $150 | $152.22 | +1.8% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $179 | $152.22 | +21.5% | Aug 19, 2026 |
| Daiwa | Analyst unavailable | $143 | $130.45 | -3.0% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Jasper Hellweg | $145 | $130.9 | -1.6% | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $116 | $130.4 | -21.3% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Vamil Divan | $146 | $128.04 | -0.9% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Emily Field | $150 | $131.84 | +1.8% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Courtney Breen | $105 | $132.34 | -28.7% | Jul 27, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $142 | $124.08 | -3.6% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Vamil Divan | $145 | $123.54 | -1.6% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| HSBC | Rajesh Kumar | $150 | $126.05 | +1.8% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $141 | $129.38 | -4.3% | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $129.38 | +5.2% | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Vamil Divan | $140 | $115.21 | -5.0% | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $112 | $112.47 | -24.0% | May 1, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $150 | $116.22 | +1.8% | Mar 12, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Trung Huynh | $142 | $123.93 | -3.6% | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | James Shin | $150 | $121.53 | +1.8% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Asad Haider | $133 | $115.86 | -9.7% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $115.86 | -8.4% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $115.86 | -32.1% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $136 | $116.37 | -7.7% | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $116 | $107.4 | -21.3% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $108.59 | -8.4% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $110.96 | -11.8% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $99.21 | -11.8% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $102 | $100.06 | -30.8% | Dec 12, 2025 |
| HSBC | Rajesh Kumar | $120 | $96.89 | -18.6% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $122 | $100.89 | -17.2% | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Louise Chen | $120 | $101.88 | -18.6% | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Asad Haider | $120 | $101.83 | -18.6% | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $100 | $84.65 | -32.1% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Berenberg Bank | Luisa Hector | $90 | $81.14 | -38.9% | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $98 | $84.39 | -33.5% | Jul 10, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Evan Seigerman | $82 | $82.74 | -44.4% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $106 | $90.74 | -28.1% | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Courtney Breen | $110 | $100.69 | -25.4% | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $148 | $98.36 | +0.4% | Nov 15, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Evan David Seigerman | $136 | $101.88 | -7.7% | Nov 1, 2024 |
| UBS | Trung Huynh | $136 | $108.88 | -7.7% | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Barclays | Carter Gould | $140 | $109.77 | -5.0% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $147 | $113.49 | -0.2% | Aug 15, 2024 |
| UBS | Colin Bristow | $142 | $112.89 | -3.6% | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Geoff Meacham | $145 | $115.21 | -1.6% | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $140 | $131.05 | -5.0% | Jun 12, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Evan David Seigerman | $148 | $127.71 | +0.4% | May 30, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $142 | $130.81 | -3.6% | Mar 27, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $145 | $130.18 | -1.6% | Mar 27, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $135 | $130.19 | -8.4% | Mar 27, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Evan David Seigerman | $132 | $101.44 | -10.4% | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Oppenheimer | Jay Olson | $147 | $56.34 | -0.2% | Apr 12, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $103.28 | -18.6% | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $99 | $103.46 | -32.8% | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $110.62 | -15.2% | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $109.2 | -8.4% | Dec 19, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $102.31 | -18.6% | Nov 18, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $86.64 | -25.4% | Sep 30, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $109 | $87.34 | -26.0% | Sep 12, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $101 | $88.62 | -31.5% | Jul 29, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $89.26 | -37.6% | Jul 29, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $89.94 | -28.7% | Jul 29, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $98 | $94.34 | -33.5% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Atlantic Equities | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $93.6 | -25.4% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $93.01 | -40.3% | Jul 8, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $87 | $88.62 | -41.0% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $102 | $88.58 | -30.8% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $97 | $86.46 | -34.2% | Apr 21, 2022 |
| Barclays | Carter Gould | $97 | $86.91 | -34.2% | Apr 16, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $80 | $86.63 | -45.7% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Evan David Seigerman | $87 | $87.68 | -41.0% | Apr 10, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Chris Shibutani | $93 | $75.02 | -36.9% | Dec 17, 2021 |
| UBS | Colin Bristow | $76 | $72.09 | -48.4% | Dec 13, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Andrew Baum | $85 | $73.53 | -42.3% | Nov 29, 2021 |
| Argus Research | David Toung | $110 | $86.25 | -25.4% | Nov 1, 2021 |
| Barclays | Carter Gould | $94 | $86.25 | -36.2% | Nov 1, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Geoff Meacham | $86 | $86.45 | -41.6% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| Wolfe Research | Tim Anderson | $94 | $86.45 | -36.2% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| RBC Capital | Daniel Busby | $80 | $74.86 | -45.7% | Jul 29, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationMerck & Co., Inc. is a global healthcare leader with operations spanning two core divisions: Pharmaceuticals and Animal Health. The Pharmaceutical segment is dedicated to human health, offering a broad spectrum of medicinal products. These cover crucial therapeutic areas such as oncology, acute hospital care, immunology, neuroscience, virology, cardiovascular conditions, and diabetes. This division also develops vital preventive vaccines for pediatric, adolescent, and adult populations. Meanwhile, the Animal Health segment focuses on the research, development, manufacturing, and marketing of veterinary medications, vaccines, and comprehensive health management solutions for animals. This division further provides innovative digital products designed for animal identification, traceability, and continuous monitoring.…
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T13:00:42.893989+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T13:00:42.891102+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.