Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. · MPWR · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

MPS: Demand broadens as enterprise-data ramps remain timing-sensitive

The supplied analysis provides partial support for a demand-led growth thesis: strength is broadening across several end markets and design-win visibility is improving. The evidence is not conclusive because enterprise-data ramp timing, margin mix, tariffs, and the future contribution of rack power remain unresolved.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $59.51B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.00
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $633.4M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.0% Up to 20 sessions
MPWRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes record quarterly performance, stronger qualification visibility, supply-chain diversification, and a more explicit shift toward system-level power solutions. The near-term picture still includes uncertainty around enterprise-data demand and product mix.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the supplied analysis points to a modest near-term gross-margin headwind from product mix.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record quarterly revenue and strength across storage, computing, automotive, and enterprise data.
  • Design wins and qualifications are improving visibility into a second-half ramp, but timing and scale remain uncertain.
  • Supply-chain diversification and higher-voltage products are central to the company’s next phase of growth.
  • The 400-volt rack-power offering is expected to become materially relevant beyond the current period.

Management priorities

  • Advance qualification and sampling of 400-volt rack-power modules.
  • Expand 48-volt and 800-volt automotive power and battery-management offerings.
  • Continue R&D and manufacturing diversification to reduce tariff exposure.
  • Move toward higher-margin system solutions combining modules and software.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MPWR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.81, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.07 Q2 '24 actual $3.17, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.97 Q3 '24 actual $4.06, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.12 Q2 '25 actual $4.21, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.64 Q3 '25 actual $4.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.74 Q4 '25 actual $4.79, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.90 Q1 '26 actual $5.10, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.87 Q2 '26 actual $6.50, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.74 Q4 '26 estimate $6.69 Q1 '27 estimate $6.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish2291.7%
Neutral28.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,210.86Current
$475Low
$1,275.5Average
$2,100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,210.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$2,013$1,300.14 +66.2%Aug 20, 2026
KeyBancJohn Vinh$2,100$1,316.18 +73.4%Jul 31, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$2,000$1,316.18 +65.2%Jul 31, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,700$1,312 +40.4%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,805$1,560 +49.1%May 1, 2026
See 37 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. specializes in the creation, promotion, and sale of advanced semiconductor components for power management. Their innovative solutions cater to a broad spectrum of industries, including information technology, data storage, automotive, industrial applications, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. A core offering consists of direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs), which are vital for regulating and transforming electrical voltages in diverse systems such as portable gadgets, wireless local area network access points, personal computers, displays, car entertainment systems, and medical devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-17T19:35:09.005115+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T13:20:43.152662+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T13:20:43.149879+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.