Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. · MPWR · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

MPS sees diversified growth, but 2025 ramps remain timing-sensitive

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: diversified product growth and demand opportunities may support the business, but the evidence is not sufficient to treat the trajectory as established because key ramps are timing-sensitive.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $59.51B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.01
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $608.1M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +9.0% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +9.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -19.3% Up to 20 sessions
MPWRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the discussion added silicon-carbide and expanded automotive power initiatives, a new capital-return program, and a more explicit emphasis on a flat, second-half-weighted 2025 outlook. Enterprise-data and hyperscaler timing remained central uncertainties.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance; the 2025 outlook was described as broadly flat and weighted toward the second half.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted silicon-carbide, automotive power, communications, and enterprise-data opportunities.
  • The outlook is broadly flat for 2025 and weighted toward the second half, with hyperscaler timing uncertain.
  • New capital-return actions and product development add support, but execution risks remain.

Management priorities

  • Expand silicon-carbide products and automotive 48V and 800V power solutions.
  • Scale fiber-optic communications products for data-center demand.
  • Develop ADC, DSP audio, battery-management, and other new product families.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MPWR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.81, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.07 Q2 '24 actual $3.17, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.97 Q3 '24 actual $4.06, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.12 Q2 '25 actual $4.21, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.64 Q3 '25 actual $4.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.74 Q4 '25 actual $4.79, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.90 Q1 '26 actual $5.10, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.87 Q2 '26 actual $6.50, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.74 Q4 '26 estimate $6.69 Q1 '27 estimate $6.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish2291.7%
Neutral28.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,210.86Previous close
$475Low
$1,275.5Average
$2,100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainApr 16, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainFeb 9, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeOct 14, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 1, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2025
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 15, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainAug 2, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 9, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 9, 2023
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJun 26, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2019
Pacific Crest Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 5, 2016
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 11, 2015
Evercore Partners Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 14, 2014
William Blair Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 30, 2013
Evercore ISI Group Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2013
Blaylock Robert Van Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 7, 2013
Piper Sandler Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 4, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $1,210.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$2,013$1,300.14 +66.2%Aug 20, 2026
KeyBancJohn Vinh$2,100$1,316.18 +73.4%Jul 31, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$2,000$1,316.18 +65.2%Jul 31, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,700$1,312 +40.4%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,805$1,560 +49.1%May 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$1,800$1,561.05 +48.7%May 1, 2026
KeyBancJohn Vinh$2,000$1,614.41 +65.2%May 1, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$1,700$1,614.41 +40.4%May 1, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$1,600$1,592.17 +32.1%Apr 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$1,500$1,353 +23.9%Apr 16, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,396$1,203.43 +15.3%Feb 6, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,155.99 +7.4%Feb 6, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,500$1,155.99 +23.9%Feb 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,192.47 +7.4%Feb 4, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,161.78 +7.4%Jan 29, 2026
Wells FargoJoe Quatrochi$1,200$1,063.74 -0.9%Jan 26, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,125$983.6 -7.1%Jan 15, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,375$929.48 +13.6%Dec 19, 2025
KeyBancJohn Vinh$1,300$975.26 +7.4%Oct 31, 2025
KeyBancJohn Vinh$1,250$1,054.15 +3.2%Oct 23, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$970$1,004.65 -19.9%Oct 20, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$1,100$1,026.83 -9.2%Oct 17, 2025
Wolfe ResearchChris Caso$1,200$981.67 -0.9%Oct 14, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$1,050$886.59 -13.3%Sep 30, 2025
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$1,025$887.55 -15.3%Sep 29, 2025
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$762$628.62 -37.1%Dec 16, 2024
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$600$572.47 -50.4%Nov 21, 2024
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$950$919.81 -21.5%Oct 31, 2024
KeyBancJohn Vinh$1,075$784.95 -11.2%Aug 2, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesHans Mosesmann$880$836.66 -27.3%Jul 29, 2024
KeyBancJohn Vinh$975$851.82 -19.5%Jul 9, 2024
OppenheimerRick Schafer$900$815.63 -25.7%Jun 13, 2024
KeyBancJohn Vinh$850$679.86 -29.8%Apr 8, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesHans Mosesmann$750$637.04 -38.1%Dec 26, 2023
OppenheimerRick Schafer$500$405.52 -58.7%Oct 27, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$475$405.03 -60.8%Nov 16, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$435$386.87 -64.1%Nov 11, 2022
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$600$510.44 -50.4%Aug 2, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$570$489.1 -52.9%Aug 2, 2022
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$550$462.3 -54.6%Aug 2, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$475$426.24 -60.8%Jul 20, 2022
Deutsche BankRoss Seymore$500$404.21 -58.7%Apr 25, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. specializes in the creation, promotion, and sale of advanced semiconductor components for power management. Their innovative solutions cater to a broad spectrum of industries, including information technology, data storage, automotive, industrial applications, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. A core offering consists of direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs), which are vital for regulating and transforming electrical voltages in diverse systems such as portable gadgets, wireless local area network access points, personal computers, displays, car entertainment systems, and medical devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-23T00:02:36.799981+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T07:00:42.627792+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T07:00:42.625012+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.