Mondelez International, Inc. · MDLZ · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Mondelez cites volume growth, innovation and productivity as key levers

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: emerging-market distribution, innovation, share gains and productivity provide several growth levers, while inflation, commodities and regional volume pressure remain meaningful offsets.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Defensive $79.81B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.78 Consensus $0.71
EPS surprise +10.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.97B Consensus $9.98B
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.9% Event window
SPY move -1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +5.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
MDLZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted continued emerging-market distribution expansion, North American share gains and European volume and mix improvement. It also announced a majority-stake acquisition of Undercover Snacks, expected to close early 2027 subject to regulatory approval, and described a favorable 2026 cocoa supply outlook.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed its EPS outlook for 2027, supported by volume-led growth, productivity and cost-management initiatives.

Key takeaways

  • Emerging markets remain a central volume and distribution growth engine.
  • North America delivered organic sales growth through share gains, targeted promotions and product launches.
  • Selective pricing in Europe is supporting volume and mix despite inflationary pressure.
  • Management announced a majority-stake acquisition of Undercover Snacks, subject to regulatory approval.
  • The company continues to emphasize productivity, supply-chain efficiency and innovation.

Management priorities

  • Expand distribution in India, Brazil, China and other emerging markets.
  • Scale Oreo Zero, Ritz Minis and Clif High Protein alongside the broader innovation pipeline.
  • Integrate Undercover Snacks as a stand-alone North American ventures unit.
  • Use selective pricing while focusing on volume and mix momentum.
  • Accelerate productivity and cost-optimization initiatives into 2027.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MDLZ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $8B Q2 '24 actual $8B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $9B Q3 '24 actual $9B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $9B Q2 '25 actual $9B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $10B, match Q4 '25 estimate $10B Q4 '25 actual $10B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '26 actual $10B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $9B Q2 '26 actual $9B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q3 '26 actual $10B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '27 estimate $10B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish3276.2%
Neutral819.0%
Bearish24.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$64.94Current
$61Low
$69.97Average
$84High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $64.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalNik Modi$66$63.8 +1.6%Oct 26, 2026
BTIGRob Dickerson$74$63.99 +14.0%Oct 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$70$64.99 +7.8%Jul 30, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$68$65.53 +4.7%Jul 29, 2026
Coker PalmerThomas Palmer$72$62.48 +10.9%Jul 29, 2026
See 73 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Mondelez International, Inc. operates as a prominent global entity in the snack and beverage sector, focusing on the production, promotion, and distribution of a wide array of food items. Its extensive reach spans multiple continents, including North America, Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company's diverse product portfolio encompasses biscuits (such as cookies, crackers, and various savory snacks), chocolates, chewing gums, candies, as well as selection of cheese and general grocery products, and powdered beverage mixes.…

Historical context

All MDLZ earnings

Consumer Defensive peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
CL Colgate-Palmolive Company FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 — +3.6% Colgate-Palmolive: Broad Growth and Margin Expansion Continue

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T14:05:10.834679+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T00:40:40.473365+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T00:40:40.470723+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.