Microchip Technology Incorporated · MCHP · FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026

Microchip’s growth accelerates, but capacity limits temper near-term outlook

The call supports a mixed view: strong demand and design wins across industrial, data-center and aerospace markets are driving growth, but capacity limits and nonrecurring revenue complicate the near-term trajectory.

Why did MCHP fall 13.9% after beating EPS estimates in FY2027 Q2?

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Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $35.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.97 Consensus $0.94
EPS surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.62B Consensus $1.61B
Revenue surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -13.9% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move -9.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
MCHPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described a strong quarter led by industrial and data-center demand, alongside double-digit aerospace and defense growth. However, extended foundry and OSAT lead times have constrained supply, and the December-quarter outlook was moderated to a slight sales decline. The quarter also included nonrecurring licensing and pricing revenue.

Guidance delta

Management lowered the December-quarter outlook to a slight sales decline amid seasonal weakness, supply constraints and the absence of some nonrecurring items. It reiterated a long-term non-GAAP gross-margin target of 65%.

Key takeaways

  • Industrial and data-center demand, with additional strength in aerospace and defense, supported substantial year-over-year sales growth.
  • Lead times have widened across product lines as external foundry and OSAT capacity remains constrained.
  • Nonrecurring licensing and pricing items boosted the reported quarter but are not expected to recur.
  • Hailo and VORAGO add to longer-term AI-edge and aerospace and defense opportunities, with modest near-term revenue contribution.

Management priorities

  • Expand capacity and reduce supply constraints through planned capital investment.
  • Develop data-center products and pursue design wins across industrial and aerospace markets.
  • Ramp Hailo AI accelerator products and integrate the acquired businesses.
  • Reduce the net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio while maintaining the dividend at its current level.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MCHP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $1B Q1 '25 actual $1B, match Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 actual $2B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
Show 2 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3068.2%
Neutral1431.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$55.81Current
$61Low
$95.1Average
$135High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 20, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 19, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 21, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $55.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$90$84.81 +61.3%Aug 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$74.36 +115.0%Aug 7, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$100$74.36 +79.2%Aug 7, 2026
Wells FargoJoe Quatrochi$88$80.96 +57.7%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$105$99.09 +88.1%May 11, 2026
See 74 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Microchip Technology Incorporated creates, produces, and sells intelligent, interconnected, and secure embedded control solutions to customers throughout the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The company's core offerings include a range of microcontrollers, such as general-purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, and 32-bit models, as well as 32-bit embedded microprocessors. These specialized microcontrollers are designed for numerous applications across industries like automotive, industrial, computing, communications, lighting, power supplies, motor control, human-machine interfaces, security, and various wired and wireless connectivity needs. Beyond its processors, Microchip provides development tools that enable system designers to program its microcontroller and microprocessor units for specific tasks. Its product lineup also features Field-Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) and a broad selection of analog, interface, mixed-signal, and timing components.…

Historical context

All MCHP earnings

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-06T07:15:01.413642+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T08:00:51.779613+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T08:00:51.776898+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.