Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. · MAA · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

MAA Holds 2025 FFO Outlook as Supply Pressure Eases

The call supports a cautiously constructive view: easing new-supply pressure, job and population growth, renovations, and external growth could support MAA's trajectory, but rent-growth composition, concessions, turnover, financing costs, and development execution remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $13.56B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.04
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $552.3M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.7% Up to 20 sessions
MAASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management highlighted a turning point in the apartment leasing cycle as supply pressure is expected to ease, while outlining a leadership transition and continued investment in acquisitions, development, renovations, and Wi-Fi. Guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2025 core FFO guidance of $8.61-$8.93 per share; no change was identified.

Key takeaways

  • Management expects declining new-supply deliveries to support rent growth through 2026.
  • The company plans lease-up acquisitions, development spending, interior upgrades, and portfolio-wide Wi-Fi deployment.
  • Leadership transition is underway, with confidence expressed in the existing team.
  • The balance sheet and liquidity were presented as supporting continued external growth.

Management priorities

  • Execute the 2025 lease-up acquisition and development pipeline.
  • Complete approximately 6,000 interior unit upgrades and expand portfolio-wide Wi-Fi.
  • Recycle capital from older, higher-capex assets into newer, higher-growth properties.
  • Manage occupancy, concessions, turnover, and market-level supply pressure.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MAA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $544M, None Q2 '24 estimate $545M Q2 '24 actual $546M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $552M Q3 '24 actual $551M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $558M Q2 '25 actual $550M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $557M Q3 '25 actual $554M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $556M Q4 '25 actual $556M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $556M Q1 '26 actual $554M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $556M Q2 '26 actual $555M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $559M Q4 '26 estimate $565M Q1 '27 estimate $568M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1748.6%
Neutral1645.7%
Bearish25.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$116.53Previous close
$121Low
$149.67Average
$225High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 17, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Underperform Sector UnderperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 8, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $116.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$121$116.86 +3.8%Oct 12, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$123$118.36 +5.6%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$125$121.76 +7.3%Sep 17, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$132$121.9 +13.3%Sep 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$129$125.6 +10.7%Sep 15, 2026
See 60 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Mid-America Apartment Communities, known as MAA, is a prominent S&P 500 entity operating as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). Its core objective is to generate outstanding, comprehensive investment returns for its shareholders. MAA achieves this by strategically acquiring, developing, redeveloping, owning, and managing high-quality apartment complexes. These properties are primarily located across the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. As of December 31, 2020, the company held an interest in 102,772 apartment units, a figure that includes communities currently under development, spread throughout 16 states and the District of Columbia.

Historical context

All MAA earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T11:20:46.049272+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T11:20:46.046315+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.