Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. · LYV · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Live Nation raises outlook as record attendance and Ticketmaster gains drive Q3

Record attendance and Ticketmaster ticket growth provide evidence of operating momentum, and management raised its full-year AOI growth outlook. That case is tempered by growing venue pre-opening costs and questions about the durability of AOI improvement and secondary-market pressures.

Why did LYV fall 1.1% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported After market closeNYSECommunication Services $42.22B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.69 Consensus $1.51
EPS surprise +11.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $10.11B Consensus $9.60B
Revenue surprise +5.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -1.1% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move +3.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
LYVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described record Q3 attendance of more than 60 million, up 20% year over year, and 20 million net new Ticketmaster tickets. The company raised its full-year outlook to high-single-digit AOI growth, while noting rising venue pre-opening costs and possible secondary-market headwinds.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year AOI growth guidance to high single digits. The supplied analysis does not specify the prior numeric range.

Key takeaways

  • Attendance exceeded 60 million, up 20% year over year, with strong stadium and amphitheater sales.
  • Ticketmaster added 20 million net new tickets and outperformed expectations, according to the supplied transcript analysis.
  • Venue Nation expansion contributes higher per-fan profitability, while ramping pre-opening costs add exposure.
  • Management reaffirmed a full-year outlook of high-single-digit AOI growth; Investor Day is expected to provide more detail on venue strategy and capital allocation.

Management priorities

  • Continue expansion of Venue Nation venues and related tools.
  • Pursue international Ticketmaster expansion.
  • Detail venue strategy and capital deployment at the upcoming Investor Day.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LYV REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $7B Q2 '25 actual $7B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $8B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $8B Q2 '26 actual $8B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q3 '26 actual $10B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy46 ratings
Bullish4087.0%
Neutral613.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$174.36Current
$82Low
$174.97Average
$222High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 19, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $174.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
SusquehannaJoseph Stauff$183$170.8 +5.0%Oct 20, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$220$169.64 +26.2%Oct 13, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$205$173.11 +17.6%Jul 31, 2026
SusquehannaJoseph Stauff$187$174.24 +7.2%Jul 31, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$210$173.26 +20.4%Jul 31, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., incorporated in 2005 and formerly known as Live Nation, Inc. until its name change in January 2010, is a global leader in live entertainment, headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. The company's diverse operations are organized into three primary business segments: Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising. The Concerts segment is responsible for organizing and promoting live musical performances, utilizing its extensive portfolio of owned or managed venues, as well as various rented third-party locations. This division also oversees the management and operation of music venues, produces major music festivals, develops related content, and offers management and other support services to artists. Through its Ticketing segment, Live Nation manages a comprehensive suite of ticketing operations.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-06T06:11:10.006097+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T10:30:52.369389+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T10:30:52.366717+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.