Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. · LYV · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Live Nation sees deferred revenue and venue expansion offset Ticketmaster timing pressure

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong ticket demand, deferred revenue, sponsorship coverage and venue expansion support continued growth, while flat margins, Ticketmaster timing and regulatory risk limit certainty.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $39.27B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $-0.20
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.58B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.5% Up to 20 sessions
LYVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter shifted attention from current Ticketmaster revenue pressure to future recognition of a 13% larger deferred-revenue pool. Management also highlighted four new Venue Nation locations and the completed Hayashi acquisition in Japan, while maintaining its outlook and expecting flat concert margins.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; concert margins are expected to remain flat year over year.

Key takeaways

  • Ticketmaster revenue declined because of timing and supply issues, while deferred revenue increased 13% year over year.
  • Management reported no consumer-demand or sponsorship pullback; more than 80% of sponsorship revenue was contracted for the year.
  • Four new Venue Nation locations are planned this year, while the Hayashi acquisition expands Live Nation’s presence in Japan.

Management priorities

  • Recognize the growing Ticketmaster deferred-revenue pool as events occur.
  • Open new Venue Nation locations and increase per-fan spend at existing venues.
  • Refine multi-tier pricing and payment plans while managing costs and expanding in Japan.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LYV REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $5B Q4 '23 actual $6B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $7B Q2 '25 actual $7B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $8B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $8B Q2 '26 actual $8B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $4B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy46 ratings
Bullish4087.0%
Neutral613.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$168.77Current
$82Low
$174.94Average
$222High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $168.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$205$173.11 +21.5%Jul 31, 2026
SusquehannaJoseph Stauff$187$174.24 +10.8%Jul 31, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$210$173.26 +24.4%Jul 31, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$215$183.59 +27.4%Jul 31, 2026
GuggenheimCurry Baker$218$183.59 +29.2%Jul 31, 2026
See 52 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., incorporated in 2005 and formerly known as Live Nation, Inc. until its name change in January 2010, is a global leader in live entertainment, headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. The company's diverse operations are organized into three primary business segments: Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising. The Concerts segment is responsible for organizing and promoting live musical performances, utilizing its extensive portfolio of owned or managed venues, as well as various rented third-party locations. This division also oversees the management and operation of music venues, produces major music festivals, develops related content, and offers management and other support services to artists. Through its Ticketing segment, Live Nation manages a comprehensive suite of ticketing operations.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-17T00:02:52.217204+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T03:56:06.364173+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T03:56:06.361052+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.