Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. · LYV · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Live Nation Highlights Strong Stadium Demand Amid Antitrust Risk

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating case for Live Nation: strong stadium demand, sponsorship, Ticketmaster, and international venue expansion could sustain growth. That case is tempered by slower Ticketmaster volume growth versus overall concert tickets, higher capital requirements, execution risk, and DOJ scrutiny.

Reported After market closeNYSECommunication Services $39.76B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $-1.16
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move +1.6% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.8% Up to 20 sessions
LYVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds that stadium demand remained exceptionally strong, while the company emphasized international arenas, venue ownership, and a roughly $900 million 2025 capex plan. It also highlighted the gap between overall concert-ticket growth and Ticketmaster volume growth, alongside continued DOJ antitrust risk.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management continued to describe a double-digit AOI growth trajectory and plans for higher 2025 capital spending.

Key takeaways

  • Management described exceptionally strong stadium demand and sell-through, supporting continued live-events growth.
  • The growth plan centers on Ticketmaster, sponsorship, international expansion, and greater venue ownership.
  • Ticketmaster volume growth was more modest than overall concert-ticket growth, while higher capex and DOJ scrutiny remain key risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand internationally, including arenas in under-penetrated markets.
  • Increase venue ownership and reduce lease exposure while developing new arenas.
  • Grow Ticketmaster, sponsorship, and premium inventory while consolidating promotional programs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LYV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $-1.13 Q4 '23 actual $-1.22, miss Q1 '24 estimate $-0.18 Q1 '24 actual $-0.53, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.07 Q2 '24 actual $1.03, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.03 Q2 '25 actual $0.41, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.31 Q3 '25 actual $0.73, miss Q4 '25 estimate $-1.02 Q4 '25 actual $-1.06, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.35 Q1 '26 actual $-1.85, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.66 Q2 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.56 Q4 '26 estimate $-0.96 Q1 '27 estimate $-0.08

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy46 ratings
Bullish4087.0%
Neutral613.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$170.84Current
$82Low
$174.94Average
$222High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $170.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$205$173.11 +20.0%Jul 31, 2026
SusquehannaJoseph Stauff$187$174.24 +9.5%Jul 31, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$210$173.26 +22.9%Jul 31, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$215$183.59 +25.8%Jul 31, 2026
GuggenheimCurry Baker$218$183.59 +27.6%Jul 31, 2026
See 52 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., incorporated in 2005 and formerly known as Live Nation, Inc. until its name change in January 2010, is a global leader in live entertainment, headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. The company's diverse operations are organized into three primary business segments: Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising. The Concerts segment is responsible for organizing and promoting live musical performances, utilizing its extensive portfolio of owned or managed venues, as well as various rented third-party locations. This division also oversees the management and operation of music venues, produces major music festivals, develops related content, and offers management and other support services to artists. Through its Ticketing segment, Live Nation manages a comprehensive suite of ticketing operations.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-13T00:00:14.471520+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T06:10:44.870814+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T06:10:44.868438+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.