LyondellBasell Industries N.V. · LYB · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

LyondellBasell: Strong Q2, disciplined portfolio reshaping, risks remain

LyondellBasell's Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: pricing, supply scarcity, advantaged feedstocks, and resilient end-market demand supported performance, while execution, geopolitical exposure, and regional demand remain key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $19.12B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.30 Consensus $3.44
EPS surprise +25.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.18B Consensus $9.21B
Revenue surprise -0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.7% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +2.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.6% Up to 20 sessions
LYBSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about LYB FY2026 Q2

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis adds evidence of stronger Q2 margins and cash generation, continued European portfolio reshaping, and progress toward Maritech 1. Compared with the prior quarter, the focus shifted from expected Q2 improvement to execution on Bayport recovery, capacity rationalization, and circular-product commercialization.

Guidance delta

Management maintained the 2026 capex plan while targeting a $100 million reduction after divestitures; Bayport recovery and Maritech 1 timing remain important execution points.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 performance benefited from higher prices, improved margins, and resilient demand in packaging, healthcare, and infrastructure.
  • Portfolio reshaping continues through European divestitures, the planned Brindisi closure, and the Maritech 1 circular-solutions project.
  • Strong cash generation and liquidity support capital discipline, while geopolitical and operating disruptions remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Focus on low-cost, advantaged-feedstock assets and portfolio transformation.
  • Restore Bayport PO/TBA operations and manage planned turnarounds.
  • Advance Maritech 1 and circular, low-carbon solutions while maintaining disciplined capex.

Follow LYB with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LYB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.37 Q1 '24 actual $1.53, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.23 Q2 '24 actual $2.24, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.98 Q3 '24 actual $1.88, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.81 Q2 '25 actual $0.62, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.81 Q3 '25 actual $1.01, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.11 Q4 '25 actual $-0.26, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.44 Q2 '26 actual $4.30, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.73 Q4 '26 estimate $1.85 Q1 '27 estimate $1.47
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish1948.7%
Neutral1641.0%
Bearish410.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$59.24Previous close
$43Low
$88.14Average
$146High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 3, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 20, 2026
Alembic Global Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 2, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainJun 30, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJun 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeMay 28, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainMar 19, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainMar 10, 2026
Fermium Research Buy HoldUpgradeMar 9, 2026
Keybanc Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeMar 4, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainNov 11, 2025
Goldman Sachs Sell SellMaintainOct 17, 2025
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 1, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 1, 2025
Vertical Research Buy HoldUpgradeJan 3, 2024
Atlantic Equities Overweight NeutralUpgradeJan 31, 2023
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeDec 10, 2021
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 2, 2021
Exane BNP Paribas Underperform NeutralDowngradeJan 6, 2021
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 13, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainMay 6, 2020
ScotiaBank Sector Perform Sector OutperformDowngradeMay 4, 2020
CFRA Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJan 31, 2020
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 18, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2019
Standpoint Research Buy HoldUpgradeOct 12, 2018
Susquehanna Neutral PositiveDowngradeFeb 10, 2017
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJun 13, 2016
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeJan 11, 2016
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeOct 12, 2015
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 27, 2014
Imperial Capital Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2013
Dahlman Rose Buy BuyMaintainJan 9, 2013
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 29, 2012
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainApr 4, 2012
Show less

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $59.24. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$72$61.11 +21.5%Aug 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$64$59.31 +8.0%Aug 4, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$68$62.08 +14.8%Aug 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$66$62.08 +11.4%Aug 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$80$62.08 +35.0%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$72$59.32 +21.5%Jul 20, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$62$58.67 +4.7%Jul 16, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$64$53.36 +8.0%Jul 6, 2026
Wells FargoAbigail Eberts$70$53.36 +18.2%Jul 3, 2026
Alembic GlobalAnalyst unavailable$83$52.58 +40.1%Jul 2, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$62$52.65 +4.7%Jul 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$73$65.65 +23.2%Jun 5, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$98$67.67 +65.4%May 28, 2026
BMO CapitalJohn McNulty$88$77.25 +48.5%May 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$82$77 +38.4%May 5, 2026
Wells FargoMichael Sison$80$76.04 +35.0%May 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyVincent Andrews$77$69.32 +30.0%Apr 21, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$91$74.23 +53.6%Apr 10, 2026
Alembic GlobalAnalyst unavailable$100$72.27 +68.8%Apr 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$79$77.72 +33.4%Mar 26, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$76$67.37 +28.3%Mar 12, 2026
Fermium ResearchAnalyst unavailable$74$66.82 +24.9%Mar 9, 2026
Vertical ResearchAnalyst unavailable$75$66.82 +26.6%Mar 9, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$82$66.82 +38.4%Mar 9, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$94$59.53 +58.7%Mar 4, 2026
KeyBancAleksey Yefremov$73$58.21 +23.2%Mar 4, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$38$56.74 -35.9%Feb 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$51$53.33 -13.9%Feb 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$53$49 -10.5%Feb 2, 2026
Wells FargoMichael Sison$48$49 -19.0%Feb 2, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$49$50.47 -17.3%Jan 16, 2026
Vertical ResearchAnalyst unavailable$48$46.2 -19.0%Jan 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$38$43.6 -35.9%Dec 23, 2025
Wells FargoMichael Sison$45$43.06 -24.0%Dec 19, 2025
BMO CapitalJohn McNulty$36$44.4 -39.2%Dec 15, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$49$45.23 -17.3%Dec 11, 2025
Fermium ResearchAnalyst unavailable$50$46.35 -15.6%Dec 3, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$41$46.27 -30.8%Nov 4, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$52$46.42 -12.2%Nov 3, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$51$45.86 -13.9%Oct 17, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$50$45.16 -15.6%Oct 14, 2025
UBSJoshua Spector$43$48.94 -27.4%Oct 6, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$54$49.33 -8.8%Oct 3, 2025
UBSJoshua Spector$49$64.28 -17.3%Jul 9, 2025
Fermium ResearchAnalyst unavailable$70$59.44 +18.2%Apr 25, 2025
Alembic GlobalHassan Ahmed$67$58.76 +13.1%Apr 25, 2025
UBSJoshua Spector$51$56.44 -13.9%Apr 7, 2025
Wells FargoMichael Sison$85$57.98 +43.5%Apr 4, 2025
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$80$72.48 +35.0%Jan 10, 2025
BMO CapitalJohn McNulty$98$85.12 +65.4%Nov 11, 2024
Piper SandlerCharles Neivert$112$85.3 +89.1%Nov 8, 2024
Wolfe ResearchChris Parkinson$91$92.44 +53.6%Aug 5, 2024
BMO CapitalJohn McNulty$105$101.7 +77.2%Apr 29, 2024
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$113$101.7 +90.7%Apr 29, 2024
Piper SandlerCharles Neivert$119$101.34 +100.9%Apr 29, 2024
BarclaysMichael Leithead$100$105.86 +68.8%Apr 4, 2024
Wells FargoMichael Sison$117$102.07 +97.5%Apr 2, 2024
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$146$93.79 +146.5%Oct 4, 2023
Piper SandlerCharles Neivert$118$95.46 +99.2%Apr 11, 2023
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$100$97.69 +68.8%Feb 6, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$109$98.15 +84.0%Feb 6, 2023
UBSAnalyst unavailable$91$91.38 +53.6%Jan 11, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$97$92.06 +63.7%Jan 9, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesChristopher Parkinson$88$87.15 +48.5%Nov 14, 2022
Goldman SachsDuffy Fischer$80$77.23 +35.0%Oct 13, 2022
UBSJoshua Spector$83$77.15 +40.1%Sep 19, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$85$76.69 +43.5%Sep 16, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$92$80.07 +55.3%Sep 14, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$100$82.45 +68.8%Sep 13, 2022
Vertical ResearchKevin McCarthy$96$86 +62.1%Aug 8, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$113$86.1 +90.7%Aug 3, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$95$86.2 +60.4%Aug 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$115$84.79 +94.1%Aug 2, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$97$86.95 +63.7%Aug 2, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$102$86.95 +72.2%Aug 2, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$93$84.08 +57.0%Jul 13, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$110$86.58 +85.7%Jul 11, 2022
Credit SuisseJohn Roberts$70$87.66 +18.2%Jul 5, 2022
JefferiesLaurence Alexander$117$87.86 +97.5%Jun 30, 2022
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$99$87.46 +67.1%Jun 30, 2022
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$115$91.16 +94.1%Jun 17, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$132$110.58 +122.8%May 3, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$127$107.84 +114.4%May 2, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$125$108.81 +111.0%May 2, 2022
BarclaysMichael Leithead$130$106.03 +119.4%May 2, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$125$110.66 +111.0%Apr 19, 2022
Wells FargoMichael Sison$120$107.58 +102.6%Apr 16, 2022
Deutsche BankDavid Begleiter$104$95.63 +75.6%Jan 30, 2022
Wells FargoMichael Sison$115$95.63 +94.1%Jan 30, 2022
Atlantic EquitiesColin Isaac$113$99.84 +90.7%Jan 18, 2022
HSBCSriharsha Pappu$112$88.89 +89.1%Dec 10, 2021
Wolfe ResearchJosh Silverstein$132$108.19 +122.8%Jun 9, 2021
BarclaysDuffy Fischer$125$102.52 +111.0%Apr 19, 2021
Show less

Track every rating change on LYB the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

LyondellBasell Industries N.V., established in 2009 and based in Houston, Texas, operates as a prominent global chemical manufacturer with a significant international footprint, including the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, and the Netherlands. The company's diverse operations are organized into six distinct segments. Its core business involves the production and marketing of olefins and various polyolefins, such as high, low, and linear low-density polyethylene, along with polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers, for markets spanning the Americas…

Historical context

All LYB earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the LYB recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-31T17:07:37.279962+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-05T01:23:14.965082+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T06:40:52.009352+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T06:40:52.006411+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.