LyondellBasell Industries N.V. · LYB · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

LyondellBasell: Strong Q2, disciplined portfolio reshaping, risks remain

LyondellBasell's Q2 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: pricing, supply scarcity, advantaged feedstocks, and resilient end-market demand supported performance, while execution, geopolitical exposure, and regional demand remain key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $19.12B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.30 Consensus $3.44
EPS surprise +25.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.18B Consensus $9.21B
Revenue surprise -0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.7% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +2.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.6% Up to 20 sessions
LYBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis adds evidence of stronger Q2 margins and cash generation, continued European portfolio reshaping, and progress toward Maritech 1. Compared with the prior quarter, the focus shifted from expected Q2 improvement to execution on Bayport recovery, capacity rationalization, and circular-product commercialization.

Guidance delta

Management maintained the 2026 capex plan while targeting a $100 million reduction after divestitures; Bayport recovery and Maritech 1 timing remain important execution points.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 performance benefited from higher prices, improved margins, and resilient demand in packaging, healthcare, and infrastructure.
  • Portfolio reshaping continues through European divestitures, the planned Brindisi closure, and the Maritech 1 circular-solutions project.
  • Strong cash generation and liquidity support capital discipline, while geopolitical and operating disruptions remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Focus on low-cost, advantaged-feedstock assets and portfolio transformation.
  • Restore Bayport PO/TBA operations and manage planned turnarounds.
  • Advance Maritech 1 and circular, low-carbon solutions while maintaining disciplined capex.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LYB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $10B Q4 '23 actual $11B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $10B Q1 '24 actual $10B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $10B Q2 '24 actual $11B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $11B Q3 '24 actual $10B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $8B Q2 '25 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $7B Q3 '25 actual $8B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '26 actual $7B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $9B Q2 '26 actual $9B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $9B Q4 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish1948.7%
Neutral1641.0%
Bearish410.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$59.24Previous close
$43Low
$88.14Average
$146High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 3, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $59.24. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$72$61.11 +21.5%Aug 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$64$59.31 +8.0%Aug 4, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$68$62.08 +14.8%Aug 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$66$62.08 +11.4%Aug 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$80$62.08 +35.0%Aug 3, 2026
See 88 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

LyondellBasell Industries N.V., established in 2009 and based in Houston, Texas, operates as a prominent global chemical manufacturer with a significant international footprint, including the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, and the Netherlands. The company's diverse operations are organized into six distinct segments. Its core business involves the production and marketing of olefins and various polyolefins, such as high, low, and linear low-density polyethylene, along with polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers, for markets spanning the Americas…

Historical context

All LYB earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-31T17:07:37.279962+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-05T01:23:14.965082+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T06:40:52.009352+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T06:40:52.006411+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.