Lockheed Martin Corporation · LMT · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Lockheed Martin Q2 2026: Record $230B Backlog, Raised Guidance, Ultra Maritime Acquisition

Lockheed Martin's Q2 2026 results mark an inflection point for the franchise. The company beat consensus on both the top and bottom lines, posted a record $230 billion backlog, and raised full-year 2026 guidance across revenue, operating profit, and free cash flow — a shift from the maintained stance held through Q1. The strategic portfolio broadened meaningfully with the Ultra Maritime acquisition (undersea sensing and autonomous sea-drone capabilities) and a partnership with General Motors Defense to apply automotive-grade high-rate manufacturing to defense production. The 10.5% market move, against a declining broader market, signals investor recognition that multiyear munitions demand, F-35 sustainment, and capacity expansion are translating into durable earnings power rather than a single-quarter beat.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $133.86B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.94 Consensus $7.22
EPS surprise +10.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $20.06B Consensus $19.34B
Revenue surprise +3.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +10.5% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +11.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.2% Up to 20 sessions
LMTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Guidance moved from maintained (Q1) to raised (Q2). Backlog reached an all-time high of $230 billion. New strategic moves include the Ultra Maritime acquisition for undersea sensing and autonomous sea-drone capabilities, a partnership with General Motors Defense to apply high-rate automotive manufacturing to defense production, and a 500-kilowatt containerized laser weapon award — the highest-power transportable laser system to date. New production facilities are underway in Cortland, Alabama (missile assembly), Troy, Alabama (munitions center), and Titusville, Florida (TRID-2 missile). The geographic footprint expanded deeper into Europe (Germany, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden) and Asia (Japan). Capex outlook shifted from increasing in Q1 to stable in Q2, suggesting the initial capacity-investment wave is largely funded.

Guidance delta

Full-year 2026 guidance was raised across revenue, operating profit, and free cash flow, compared with the prior quarter's unchanged stance. In Q1, the company reaffirmed FCF targets of $6.5-$6.8 billion; Q2 generated $2.9 billion in free cash flow alone. Capex outlook moved from increasing (Q1) to stable (Q2), indicating the first round of capacity build-out is substantially funded.

Key takeaways

  • EPS of $7.94 beat consensus of $7.22 by 10%; revenue of $20.1 billion beat estimates of $19.3 billion by 3.7%.
  • Backlog reached an all-time high of $230 billion, providing multi-year revenue visibility.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance raised for revenue, operating profit, and free cash flow.
  • Ultra Maritime acquisition expands undersea sensing and autonomous sea-drone capabilities.
  • Partnership with General Motors Defense aims to bring high-rate automotive manufacturing discipline to defense production.
  • Free cash flow of $2.9 billion in the quarter supports continued dividend returns and capital investment.

Management priorities

  • Scale munitions production capacity with new facilities in Cortland and Troy, Alabama, and Titusville, Florida
  • Integrate Ultra Maritime to expand undersea and autonomous sea-drone capabilities
  • Apply General Motors Defense partnership to bring automotive-grade high-rate manufacturing to defense production
  • Develop next-generation hypersonic glide body and space-based interceptor prototypes
  • Establish a European Center of Excellence for co-production with allied nations
  • Deploy AI across manufacturing and weapon-system capabilities to improve efficiency and supply-chain resiliency

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LMT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $16B Q1 '24 actual $17B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $17B Q2 '24 actual $18B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $17B Q3 '24 actual $17B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $19B Q2 '25 actual $18B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $19B Q3 '25 actual $19B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $19B Q4 '25 actual $20B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $18B Q1 '26 actual $18B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $19B Q2 '26 actual $20B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $20B Q4 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '27 estimate $19B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy37 ratings
Bullish2362.2%
Neutral1335.1%
Bearish12.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$635.2Previous close
$398Low
$579.08Average
$835High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeOct 26, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $635.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$620$604.18 -2.4%Oct 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$835$604.18 +31.5%Oct 25, 2026
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$615$604.18 -3.2%Oct 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$692$594.05 +8.9%Oct 23, 2026
BarclaysAnthony Valentini$560$589.91 -11.8%Oct 23, 2026
See 86 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lockheed Martin Corporation stands as a prominent global security and aerospace enterprise, specializing in the comprehensive lifecycle of advanced technological systems. Its expertise spans the research, design, development, manufacturing, integration, and ongoing sustainment of cutting-edge products and services across the world. The company's diverse operations are structured into four key segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The Aeronautics division is responsible for creating and producing leading-edge combat and air mobility aircraft, alongside unmanned aerial vehicles and their related innovations. The Missiles and Fire Control segment delivers sophisticated air and missile defense systems; tactical and precision air-to-ground weapon systems; comprehensive logistics; advanced fire control; mission operations, readiness, engineering support, and integration services; both crewed and uncrewed ground vehicles; and energy management solutions.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-23T17:04:27.340937+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-28T01:23:15.070317+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T21:51:10.536826+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T21:51:10.534220+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.