Eli Lilly and Company · LLY · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Lilly raises guidance as obesity portfolio drives Q2 growth
The Q2 evidence supports a constructive one-year growth case for Lilly: obesity-product momentum, higher guidance, international expansion and pipeline progress outweighed the identified pricing, competition and regulatory risks in this quarter.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Versus the prior quarter, Lilly reported 48% year-over-year revenue growth, raised full-year guidance, and highlighted Foundayo adoption, new Phase 3 data, additional approvals and acquisitions. The main unresolved issues remain pricing durability, competitive pressure and retatrutide’s regulatory path.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year revenue guidance to $85-$87 billion and non-GAAP EPS guidance to $35.5-$36.5.
Key takeaways
- Q2 revenue grew 48% year over year, led by Zepbound, Mounjaro and Foundayo.
- Full-year revenue guidance rose by $2.5 billion; non-GAAP EPS guidance was raised to $35.5-$36.5.
- Foundayo prescriber count increased from 8,000 to 36,000, while pipeline and manufacturing investment expanded.
Management priorities
- Scale Foundayo in the U.S. and additional international markets
- Advance retatrutide and other Phase 3 programs
- Expand manufacturing capacity and pursue complementary business development
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| HSBC | Reduce | Reduce | Maintain | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Leerink Partners | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 5, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 9, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Freedom Capital Markets | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 14, 2024 |
| Erste Group | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 3, 2024 |
| DZ Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 21, 2024 |
| Daiwa Capital | Outperform | Buy | Maintain | Dec 21, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 9, 2023 |
| TD Cowen | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 23, 2023 |
| SVB Securities | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 1, 2023 |
| Societe Generale | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Feb 16, 2023 |
| SVB Leerink | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 16, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 5, 2022 |
| Mizuho | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 2, 2022 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 24, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 10, 2019 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 24, 2019 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Leerink Swann | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 23, 2017 |
| Atlantic Equities | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Nov 25, 2016 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 27, 2015 |
| PiperJaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 17, 2015 |
| Tigress Financial | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 1, 2014 |
| MKM Partners | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 23, 2014 |
| CLSA | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jan 17, 2013 |
| Bank oferica | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 7, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,172.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guggenheim | Seamus Fernandez | $1,284 | $1,152.13 | +9.6% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Berenberg Bank | Kerry Holford | $1,400 | $1,137.75 | +19.4% | Sep 15, 2026 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $940 | $1,124.16 | -19.8% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,376 | $1,177.33 | +17.4% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $1,410 | $1,181 | +20.3% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $1,419 | $1,169.86 | +21.1% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $1,330 | $1,169.86 | +13.5% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Evan Seigerman | $1,400 | $1,169.86 | +19.4% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $1,385 | $1,185.08 | +18.2% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,425 | $1,189.91 | +21.6% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $1,273 | $1,188.58 | +8.6% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,370 | $1,222.12 | +16.9% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $1,370 | $1,227.07 | +16.9% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $1,500 | $1,229.22 | +28.0% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $1,347 | $1,235.56 | +14.9% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $1,350 | $1,210.5 | +15.2% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Leerink Partners | David Risinger | $1,232 | $1,117.26 | +5.1% | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Berenberg Bank | Kerry Holford | $1,135 | $1,111.67 | -3.2% | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $1,350 | $1,143.35 | +15.2% | Jun 9, 2026 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $1,251 | $1,065 | +6.7% | May 26, 2026 |
| Leerink Partners | David Risinger | $1,119 | $1,065 | -4.5% | May 26, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $1,350 | $1,037.82 | +15.2% | May 21, 2026 |
| Barclays | Emily Field | $1,400 | $967.93 | +19.4% | May 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $1,344 | $961.56 | +14.7% | May 1, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Carter Gould | $1,230 | $970.68 | +4.9% | May 1, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $1,327 | $939.31 | +13.2% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $1,300 | $1,000.78 | +10.9% | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | James Shin | $1,285 | $990.31 | +9.6% | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $1,313 | $972.5 | +12.0% | Mar 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Trung Huynh | $1,250 | $1,042.15 | +6.7% | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $1,350 | $1,023.22 | +15.2% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ilya Zubkov | $1,200 | $1,025 | +2.4% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $1,300 | $1,037.12 | +10.9% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $1,281 | $1,027.51 | +9.3% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $1,260 | $1,107.12 | +7.5% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $1,280 | $1,107.12 | +9.2% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Evan Seigerman | $1,300 | $1,107.12 | +10.9% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $1,161 | $1,038.4 | -0.9% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Yee | $1,250 | $1,064.04 | +6.7% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Leerink Partners | David Risinger | $1,234 | $1,080.36 | +5.3% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Daiwa | Narumi Nakagiri | $1,230 | $1,062.71 | +4.9% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $1,145 | $1,039.04 | -2.3% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $1,070 | $981.67 | -8.7% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $1,200 | $1,033.56 | +2.4% | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $1,163 | $1,046.12 | -0.8% | Dec 3, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Evan Seigerman | $1,100 | $1,058.48 | -6.1% | Dec 2, 2025 |
| National Bank | Tim Anderson | $1,286 | $1,057.89 | +9.7% | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $1,300 | $1,059.7 | +10.9% | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $1,290 | $1,059.7 | +10.1% | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Srikripa Devarakonda | $1,182 | $1,049.6 | +0.8% | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ilya Zubkov | $950 | $969.84 | -18.9% | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $985 | $839.16 | -16.0% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $925 | $845.72 | -21.1% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Q3 Mounjaro | $948 | $843.63 | -19.1% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Berenberg Bank | Analyst unavailable | $830 | $760.13 | -29.2% | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Daiwa | Narumi Nakagiri | $700 | $701.23 | -40.3% | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Carter Gould | $825 | $660.26 | -29.6% | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Leerink Partners | Market Perform | $715 | $640.86 | -39.0% | Aug 7, 2025 |
| UBS | Trung Huynh | $1,050 | $823.62 | -10.4% | May 2, 2025 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $700 | $877.29 | -40.3% | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $1,146 | $912.76 | -2.2% | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Leerink Partners | Andrew Berens | $950 | $740.15 | -18.9% | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Berenberg Bank | Kerry Holford | $970 | $746.74 | -17.2% | Jan 16, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Evan David Seigerman | $1,010 | $829.74 | -13.8% | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Leerink Partners | Andrew Berens | $990 | $932.06 | -15.5% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Peter Verdult | $1,060 | $935.02 | -9.6% | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $1,106 | $957.51 | -5.6% | Aug 27, 2024 |
| Berenberg Bank | Kerry Holford | $1,050 | $908.05 | -10.4% | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | James Shin | $1,025 | $891.68 | -12.5% | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Chris Shibutani | $856 | $891.68 | -27.0% | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $1,000 | $845.31 | -14.7% | Aug 9, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Evan David Seigerman | $1,101 | $845.31 | -6.1% | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Geoff Meacham | $1,150 | $845.31 | -1.9% | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $1,083 | $939.78 | -7.6% | Jul 11, 2024 |
| Berenberg Bank | Kerry Holford | $1,000 | $939.78 | -14.7% | Jul 11, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $1,023 | $906.15 | -12.7% | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $1,015 | $883.88 | -13.4% | Jun 24, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $957 | $837.29 | -18.3% | Jun 6, 2024 |
| Barclays | Geoff Meacham | $913 | $820.34 | -22.1% | Jun 3, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Chris Shibutani | $785 | $818.41 | -33.0% | May 30, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $925 | $805.06 | -21.1% | May 23, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Akash Tewari | $915 | $770 | -21.9% | May 20, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $875 | $771.12 | -25.3% | May 16, 2024 |
| Argus Research | David Toung | $840 | $757.7 | -28.3% | May 14, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Evan Seigerman | $1,001 | $781.1 | -14.6% | May 1, 2024 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Louise Chen | $885 | $781.1 | -24.5% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Evan David Seigerman | $900 | $748.4 | -23.2% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | James Shin | $535 | $706.2 | -54.4% | Feb 6, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Andrew Baum | $675 | $581.51 | -42.4% | Dec 28, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Phung | $673 | $601.49 | -42.6% | Oct 11, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $617 | $526.4 | -47.4% | Aug 9, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $360 | $337.54 | -69.3% | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $455 | $330.7 | -61.2% | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $366.71 | -65.9% | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Cowen Cowen | $430 | $359.87 | -63.3% | Dec 17, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | Analyst unavailable | $410 | $360.01 | -65.0% | Dec 16, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $420 | $363.5 | -64.2% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $440 | $361.99 | -62.5% | Dec 14, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $375 | $370.1 | -68.0% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $401 | $372.39 | -65.8% | Dec 7, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $446 | $368.01 | -61.9% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $367.74 | -65.9% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $395 | $360.77 | -66.3% | Nov 18, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $436 | $354.66 | -62.8% | Nov 17, 2022 |
| UBS | Colin Bristow Bristow | $336 | $323.35 | -71.3% | Oct 2, 2022 |
| UBS | Navin Jacob | $363 | $296.48 | -69.0% | Sep 22, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $412 | $310.91 | -64.8% | Sep 7, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $396 | $306.38 | -66.2% | Sep 6, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $395 | $327.95 | -66.3% | Jul 8, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $355 | $330.15 | -69.7% | Jul 7, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $355 | $307.73 | -69.7% | Jun 1, 2022 |
| Leerink Partners | David Risinger | $341 | $302.76 | -70.9% | May 23, 2022 |
| UBS | Navin Jacob | $293 | $289.23 | -75.0% | May 9, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Evan David Seigerman | $358 | $296.9 | -69.5% | May 8, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Vamil Divan | $356 | $289.56 | -69.6% | May 3, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $305 | $292.13 | -74.0% | Apr 30, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $369 | $293.02 | -68.5% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Terence Flynn | $364 | $308.96 | -68.9% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | Geoff Meacham | $315 | $289.02 | -73.1% | Mar 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Matthew Harrison | $265 | $242.27 | -77.4% | Feb 6, 2022 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Louise Chen | $335 | $245.1 | -71.4% | Jan 30, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Mohit Bansal | $280 | $265.7 | -76.1% | Jan 4, 2022 |
| Bernstein | Aaron Gal | $300 | $270.6 | -74.4% | Jan 3, 2022 |
| Barclays | Carter Gould | $325 | $262.38 | -72.3% | Dec 20, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Chris Shibutani | $236 | $266.31 | -79.9% | Dec 17, 2021 |
| J.P. Morgan | Chris Schott | $325 | $277.88 | -72.3% | Dec 16, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Andrew Baum | $265 | $244.09 | -77.4% | Dec 7, 2021 |
| UBS | Navin Jacob | $267 | $253.77 | -77.2% | Nov 29, 2021 |
| Guggenheim | Seamus Fernandez | $266 | $228.47 | -77.3% | Sep 21, 2021 |
| Cowen & Co. | Steve Scala | $300 | $260.37 | -74.4% | Aug 30, 2021 |
| Argus Research | David Toung | $300 | $264.33 | -74.4% | Aug 9, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEli Lilly and Company is a prominent global pharmaceutical firm dedicated to the research, development, and commercialization of human medicines across the world. Its therapeutic offerings include a comprehensive suite of diabetes medications. This encompasses various insulin formulations like Basaglar, the Humalog family (e.g., Mix 75/25, U-100, U-200, Mix 50/50), insulin lispro products (including protamine and mix 75/25), and the Humulin line (e.g., 70/30, N, R, U-500). Furthermore, Eli Lilly provides specialized treatments for type 2 diabetes, such as Jardiance, Trajenta, and Trulicity. In oncology, Eli Lilly offers a robust portfolio targeting various cancers. These include Alimta for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and malignant pleural mesothelioma; Cyramza, indicated for metastatic gastric cancer, gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma, metastatic NSCLC, metastatic colorectal cancer, and hepatocellular carcinoma; Erbitux for colorectal and various head and neck cancers; Retevmo, used in metastatic NSCLC, medullary…
Historical context
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Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
- TCOMFY2026 Q2 · September 15, 2026+22.3% EPS+3.0% move
- KRFY2026 Q2 · September 11, 2026+2.8% EPS+2.7% move
- ADBEFY2026 Q3 · September 10, 2026+0.8% EPS+1.4% move
- ORCLFY2027 Q1 · September 10, 2026+10.3% EPS-1.7% move
- CASYFY2027 Q1 · September 8, 2026+8.7% EPS-14.2% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-05T22:12:58.954441+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T16:40:51.001837+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T16:40:50.999113+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.