Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. · LECO · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Lincoln Electric posts record 2025 results; automation recovery remains key

The call supports a constructive but conditional view: record 2025 results and improving automation order rates underpin the outlook, while the expected recovery and longer-term targets depend on execution and industrial demand.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $15.00B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.65 Consensus $2.54
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.08B Consensus $1.10B
Revenue surprise -2.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.9% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +3.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.7% Up to 20 sessions
LECOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The annual call moves the focus from the prior quarter’s lagging automation sales and anticipated sequential improvement to management’s view that automation should pick up in 2026, with volume growth from Q2 onward. Management also laid out the RISE strategy and 2030 targets, and identified the Enrotech techquisition as an autonomous welding solution initiative.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained. Management expects automation to pick up in 2026, with volume growth from Q2 onward; the supplied analysis does not indicate a change to formal guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Lincoln Electric reported record 2025 sales of $4.2 billion, up 6%, and record adjusted EPS of $9.87, according to the supplied call analysis.
  • Automation sales declined year over year, but order rates improved; management expects a pickup in 2026 and volume growth from Q2 onward.
  • The RISE strategy sets priorities around organizational changes and innovation, alongside 2030 targets for revenue, operating margin and cash flow.

Management priorities

  • Implement RISE, including center-led functions and emphasis on innovation, service and talent development.
  • Expand automation and work toward making it non-dilutive; grow the alloy steel business and pursue additional techquisitions.
  • Invest $110–130 million annually in safety, productivity and growth projects while maintaining dividends and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LECO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.30 Q2 '24 actual $2.34, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.08 Q3 '24 actual $2.14, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.31 Q2 '25 actual $2.60, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.39 Q3 '25 actual $2.47, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.54 Q4 '25 actual $2.65, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.42 Q1 '26 actual $2.50, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.81 Q2 '26 actual $2.93, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.81 Q3 '26 actual $2.98, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.09 Q1 '27 estimate $2.85 Q2 '27 estimate $3.32 Q3 '27 estimate $3.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold21 ratings
Bullish838.1%
Neutral1361.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$276.92Current
$232Low
$303.47Average
$360High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 28, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainOct 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 28, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 28, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMar 31, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 13, 2026
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainFeb 3, 2026
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 24, 2024
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainApr 29, 2024
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 31, 2023
Vertical Research Hold SellUpgradeApr 28, 2021
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeOct 9, 2019
Gabelli & Co. Buy HoldUpgradeOct 26, 2018
Longbow Research Neutral UnderperformUpgradeFeb 15, 2017
Northcoast Research Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 15, 2016
Wellington Shields Hold Gradually AccumulateDowngradeAug 24, 2016
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJun 23, 2015
BB&T Capital Hold BuyDowngradeMar 10, 2015
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 27, 2013
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 27, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $276.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$340$283.1 +22.8%Oct 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$350$280.59 +26.4%Oct 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$360$283.64 +30.0%Oct 28, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$290$282.37 +4.7%Oct 28, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$322$282.37 +16.3%Oct 28, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$271$262.1 -2.1%Oct 19, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$340$277.33 +22.8%Aug 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAngel Castillo$283$281.96 +2.2%Aug 10, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$320$267.86 +15.6%Jun 15, 2026
BarclaysAdam Seiden$300$262.06 +8.3%May 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$250$267.24 -9.7%May 4, 2026
Stifel NicolausNathan Jones$275$265 -0.7%May 1, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$320$289.74 +15.6%Feb 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$240$289.28 -13.3%Feb 17, 2026
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$330$295.28 +19.2%Feb 13, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$300$296.14 +8.3%Feb 13, 2026
KeyBancSteve Barger$340$296.14 +22.8%Feb 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$310$296.14 +11.9%Feb 13, 2026
Roth CapitalTom Hayes$297$270.8 +7.3%Feb 3, 2026
BarclaysAdam Seiden$280$257.42 +1.1%Jan 23, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$253$257.98 -8.6%Jan 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAngel Castillo$208$250.01 -24.9%Jan 12, 2026
Stifel NicolausNathan Jones$252$242.54 -9.0%Dec 16, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$285$236.1 +2.9%Oct 31, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$260$235.02 -6.1%Oct 20, 2025
Stifel NicolausNathan Jones$178$179.95 -35.7%Apr 14, 2025
KeyBancSteve Barger$230$210.53 -16.9%Nov 14, 2024
Stifel NicolausNathan Jones$185$192.2 -33.2%Oct 16, 2024
KeyBancSteve Barger$210$175.89 -24.2%Sep 4, 2024
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$212$175.21 -23.4%Sep 4, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsChris Dankert$265$205.57 -4.3%May 24, 2024
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$236$207.06 -14.8%May 23, 2024
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$252$227.93 -9.0%Apr 25, 2024
Stifel NicolausNathan Jones$241$239.51 -13.0%Apr 17, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsSteve Barger$232$194.31 -16.2%Jun 28, 2023
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$152$139.91 -45.1%Oct 27, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$136$141.14 -50.9%Aug 1, 2022
Robert W. BairdMircea Dobre$150$136.58 -45.8%Jul 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$126$123.09 -54.5%Jul 18, 2022
Stifel NicolausNathan Jones$122$122.65 -55.9%Jul 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$150$137.3 -45.8%Apr 29, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc., an enterprise established in Cleveland, Ohio, in 1895, operates globally, focusing on the innovation, production, and sale of equipment and materials for welding, cutting, and brazing applications. The company is organized into three distinct divisions: Americas Welding, International Welding, and The Harris Products Group. Its extensive product portfolio encompasses a broad spectrum of welding machinery, including arc welding power sources, plasma cutters, wire feeding systems, automated robotic welding setups, comprehensive automation solutions, and fume extraction devices. Additionally, Lincoln Electric provides a variety of consumables such as electrodes, fluxes, various welding accessories, and specialized welding and fabrication materials.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T21:30:44.156387+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T21:30:44.153461+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.