Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. · LECO · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Lincoln Electric posts record 2025 results; automation recovery remains key

The call supports a constructive but conditional view: record 2025 results and improving automation order rates underpin the outlook, while the expected recovery and longer-term targets depend on execution and industrial demand.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $15.00B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.65 Consensus $2.54
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.08B Consensus $1.10B
Revenue surprise -2.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.9% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +3.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.7% Up to 20 sessions
LECOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The annual call moves the focus from the prior quarter’s lagging automation sales and anticipated sequential improvement to management’s view that automation should pick up in 2026, with volume growth from Q2 onward. Management also laid out the RISE strategy and 2030 targets, and identified the Enrotech techquisition as an autonomous welding solution initiative.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained. Management expects automation to pick up in 2026, with volume growth from Q2 onward; the supplied analysis does not indicate a change to formal guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Lincoln Electric reported record 2025 sales of $4.2 billion, up 6%, and record adjusted EPS of $9.87, according to the supplied call analysis.
  • Automation sales declined year over year, but order rates improved; management expects a pickup in 2026 and volume growth from Q2 onward.
  • The RISE strategy sets priorities around organizational changes and innovation, alongside 2030 targets for revenue, operating margin and cash flow.

Management priorities

  • Implement RISE, including center-led functions and emphasis on innovation, service and talent development.
  • Expand automation and work toward making it non-dilutive; grow the alloy steel business and pursue additional techquisitions.
  • Invest $110–130 million annually in safety, productivity and growth projects while maintaining dividends and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LECO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.30 Q2 '24 actual $2.34, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.08 Q3 '24 actual $2.14, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.31 Q2 '25 actual $2.60, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.39 Q3 '25 actual $2.47, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.54 Q4 '25 actual $2.65, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.42 Q1 '26 actual $2.50, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.81 Q2 '26 actual $2.93, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.81 Q3 '26 actual $2.98, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.09 Q1 '27 estimate $2.85 Q2 '27 estimate $3.32 Q3 '27 estimate $3.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold21 ratings
Bullish838.1%
Neutral1361.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$276.92Current
$232Low
$303.47Average
$360High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 28, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainOct 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 28, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 28, 2026
Show 16 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $276.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$340$283.1 +22.8%Oct 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$350$280.59 +26.4%Oct 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$360$283.64 +30.0%Oct 28, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$290$282.37 +4.7%Oct 28, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$322$282.37 +16.3%Oct 28, 2026
See 36 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc., an enterprise established in Cleveland, Ohio, in 1895, operates globally, focusing on the innovation, production, and sale of equipment and materials for welding, cutting, and brazing applications. The company is organized into three distinct divisions: Americas Welding, International Welding, and The Harris Products Group. Its extensive product portfolio encompasses a broad spectrum of welding machinery, including arc welding power sources, plasma cutters, wire feeding systems, automated robotic welding setups, comprehensive automation solutions, and fume extraction devices. Additionally, Lincoln Electric provides a variety of consumables such as electrodes, fluxes, various welding accessories, and specialized welding and fabrication materials.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T21:30:44.156387+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T21:30:44.153461+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.