Lamar Advertising Company · LAMR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Lamar Q3: AFFO Outlook Raised as Digital and Political Demand Support Growth

Lamar's higher AFFO outlook and continued digital and programmatic expansion support a resilience case, while political-ad volatility and acquisition pricing remain important risks.

Why did LAMR fall 0.8% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported Before market openNASDAQReal Estate $15.97B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.59 Consensus $1.65
EPS surprise -3.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $624.5M Consensus $621.7M
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move +3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.9% Up to 20 sessions
LAMRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with Q2, Lamar raised its full-year AFFO guidance from $8.75–$8.90 to $8.87–$8.97 per share. Management also reported a 49.1% EBITDA margin, continued digital-platform growth, and a Q4 regular dividend of $1.65 per share, alongside a proposed $0.30–$0.35 special dividend.

Guidance delta

Full-year AFFO guidance was raised to $8.87–$8.97 per share from the prior $8.75–$8.90 range. Management reported a $1.65 Q4 regular dividend and proposed a $0.30–$0.35 special dividend.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 6.2% on an acquisition-adjusted basis, with political spending, national customers and digital contributing, according to management's analysis.
  • EBITDA margin was 49.1%; full-year AFFO guidance was raised to $8.87–$8.97 per share.
  • Management said digital generates more than one-third of billboard revenue; programmatic advertising is another stated growth driver.
  • Year to date, Lamar closed 54 billboard acquisitions for more than $147 million and purchased more than $55 million of easements.

Management priorities

  • Continue billboard acquisitions and pursue another UPREIT transaction to attract sellers.
  • Expand digital billboard faces and programmatic capabilities.
  • Maintain the dividend policy, including the proposed year-end special dividend.
  • Manage costs and capital spending while continuing billboard and easement investment.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LAMR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.07 Q2 '24 actual $2.08, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.45 Q3 '24 actual $2.15, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.15 Q2 '25 actual $2.22, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.14 Q3 '25 actual $2.20, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.58 Q4 '25 actual $2.24, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.82 Q1 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.58 Q2 '26 actual $1.58, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.65 Q3 '26 actual $1.59, miss Q4 '26 estimate $1.69 Q1 '27 estimate $1.02 Q2 '27 estimate $1.72 Q3 '27 estimate $0.00
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold20 ratings
Bullish1050.0%
Neutral840.0%
Bearish210.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$155.31Current
$103Low
$144.8Average
$170High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 28, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 10, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainMay 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 4, 2025
MKM Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 13, 2020
Imperial Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 3, 2020
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 17, 2017
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainSep 13, 2016
Topeka Capital Buy HoldUpgradeDec 8, 2015
Topeka Buy HoldUpgradeDec 8, 2015
Evercore Partners Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2014
Evercore ISI Group Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2014
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 8, 2014
Wedbush Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 25, 2014
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainFeb 28, 2013
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 8, 2012
Bank of America Underperform UnderperformMaintainNov 8, 2012
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainNov 8, 2012
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 9, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $155.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$156$155.02 +0.4%Oct 28, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$151$153.82 -2.8%Aug 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyCameron McVeigh$170$159.82 +9.5%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyCameron McVeigh$160$154.52 +3.0%May 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$145$147.56 -6.6%May 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$150$131.36 -3.4%Feb 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$140$126.94 -9.9%Dec 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyBenjamin Swinburne$103$89.39 -33.7%Jun 10, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1902, Lamar Advertising (Nasdaq: LAMR) operates as a major force in the North American outdoor advertising landscape, boasting a portfolio of over 352,000 displays across the United States and Canada. Lamar furnishes advertisers with an extensive array of formats, encompassing traditional billboards, interstate logo displays, transit advertising, and airport placements. This diverse offering assists both burgeoning local businesses and established national brands in consistently engaging expansive audiences. Beyond its extensive collection of traditional out-of-home assets, Lamar proudly operates the United States' largest network of digital billboards, encompassing approximately 3,800 cutting-edge displays for its customers.

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-05T17:12:37.584398+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T14:50:47.767622+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T14:50:47.764682+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.