Lamar Advertising Company · LAMR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Lamar Q3: AFFO Outlook Raised as Digital and Political Demand Support Growth

Lamar's higher AFFO outlook and continued digital and programmatic expansion support a resilience case, while political-ad volatility and acquisition pricing remain important risks.

Why did LAMR fall 0.8% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported Before market openNASDAQReal Estate $15.97B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.59 Consensus $1.65
EPS surprise -3.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $624.5M Consensus $621.7M
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move +3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.9% Up to 20 sessions
LAMRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with Q2, Lamar raised its full-year AFFO guidance from $8.75–$8.90 to $8.87–$8.97 per share. Management also reported a 49.1% EBITDA margin, continued digital-platform growth, and a Q4 regular dividend of $1.65 per share, alongside a proposed $0.30–$0.35 special dividend.

Guidance delta

Full-year AFFO guidance was raised to $8.87–$8.97 per share from the prior $8.75–$8.90 range. Management reported a $1.65 Q4 regular dividend and proposed a $0.30–$0.35 special dividend.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 6.2% on an acquisition-adjusted basis, with political spending, national customers and digital contributing, according to management's analysis.
  • EBITDA margin was 49.1%; full-year AFFO guidance was raised to $8.87–$8.97 per share.
  • Management said digital generates more than one-third of billboard revenue; programmatic advertising is another stated growth driver.
  • Year to date, Lamar closed 54 billboard acquisitions for more than $147 million and purchased more than $55 million of easements.

Management priorities

  • Continue billboard acquisitions and pursue another UPREIT transaction to attract sellers.
  • Expand digital billboard faces and programmatic capabilities.
  • Maintain the dividend policy, including the proposed year-end special dividend.
  • Manage costs and capital spending while continuing billboard and easement investment.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LAMR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $548M Q4 '23 actual $556M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $491M Q1 '24 actual $498M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $565M Q2 '24 actual $565M, match Q3 '24 estimate $594M Q3 '24 actual $564M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $584M Q2 '25 actual $579M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $592M Q3 '25 actual $586M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $593M Q4 '25 actual $596M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $523M Q1 '26 actual $528M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $607M Q2 '26 actual $617M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $622M Q3 '26 actual $624M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $634M Q1 '27 estimate $548M Q2 '27 estimate $636M Q3 '27 estimate $648M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold20 ratings
Bullish1050.0%
Neutral840.0%
Bearish210.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$155.31Current
$103Low
$144.8Average
$170High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 28, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 10, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainMay 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 4, 2025
Show 15 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $155.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$156$155.02 +0.4%Oct 28, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$151$153.82 -2.8%Aug 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyCameron McVeigh$170$159.82 +9.5%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyCameron McVeigh$160$154.52 +3.0%May 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$145$147.56 -6.6%May 7, 2026
See 3 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1902, Lamar Advertising (Nasdaq: LAMR) operates as a major force in the North American outdoor advertising landscape, boasting a portfolio of over 352,000 displays across the United States and Canada. Lamar furnishes advertisers with an extensive array of formats, encompassing traditional billboards, interstate logo displays, transit advertising, and airport placements. This diverse offering assists both burgeoning local businesses and established national brands in consistently engaging expansive audiences. Beyond its extensive collection of traditional out-of-home assets, Lamar proudly operates the United States' largest network of digital billboards, encompassing approximately 3,800 cutting-edge displays for its customers.

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-05T17:12:37.584398+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T14:50:47.767622+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T14:50:47.764682+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.