Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz · KSPI · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

KSPI holds guidance as AI and fintech expansion advance

KSPI’s Q2 results support a balanced view: resilient marketplace growth and new fintech initiatives provide growth avenues, but funding costs, regulation and investment spending remain important constraints.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $18.53B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.83 Consensus $2.78
EPS surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.32B Consensus $2.31B
Revenue surprise +0.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.1% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.1% Up to 20 sessions
KSPISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added nationwide Kasper AI availability in Kazakhstan, a Rabobank banking-license acquisition and a $300 million fintech capital commitment to the existing marketplace and payments story. Management also highlighted plans to expand AI and fintech offerings into Turkey.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained; the supplied analysis says the full-year outlook remains on track.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 16% year over year and adjusted EBITDA rose 5%, despite higher funding costs.
  • Marketplace GMV increased 15%, while e-commerce GMV grew 28% on a constant-currency basis.
  • Kasper AI launched nationwide in Kazakhstan, alongside a banking-license acquisition and planned fintech expansion.

Management priorities

  • Scale Kasper AI into Turkey and broaden its functionality beyond shopping.
  • Build out Turkish fintech products, including shopping loans, BNPL, merchant finance and savings accounts.
  • Continue investing in delivery speed, logistics and payment integrations.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KSPI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $568B, None Q1 '24 actual $553B, None Q2 '24 estimate $558B Q2 '24 actual $593B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.3T Q4 '26 estimate $1.4T Q1 '27 estimate $1.4T Q2 '27 estimate $1.4T
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold3 ratings
Bullish133.3%
Neutral266.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$96.45Current
$100Low
$117.4Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 12, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 20, 2025

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $96.45. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$115$106.46 +19.2%Aug 25, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$100$95.64 +3.7%Aug 12, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$95$86.4 -1.5%Apr 23, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$87$76.17 -9.8%Feb 2, 2026
Goldman SachsMikhail Butkov$107$76.85 +10.9%Oct 8, 2025
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz, established in 2008 and based in Almaty, Kazakhstan, operates alongside its subsidiaries to deliver a comprehensive suite of digital services encompassing payments, e-commerce, and financial technology. These offerings cater to both individual consumers and a diverse range of merchants. The company's operations are structured around three core platforms: Payments, Marketplace, and Fintech. The Payments Platform is designed to streamline transactions between customers and businesses. For consumers, it facilitates shopping payments, routine bill settlements, and peer-to-peer money transfers. For merchants, it enables them to accept payments both online and in-store, generate and manage invoices, pay suppliers, and monitor their sales performance. This platform also leverages proprietary data to inform strategic business decisions across various operational areas. The Marketplace Platform functions as an integrated hub, connecting online and physical retailers with consumers.…

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-10T19:12:10.361087+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-15T01:23:15.305287+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T21:20:47.849985+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T21:20:47.847311+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.