The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Coca-Cola Maintains 2025 Guidance as Volume and Margins Improve

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Coca-Cola's near-term operating trajectory: management reported resilient demand, margin improvement and maintained guidance, but the evidence is tempered by unavailable reported actuals in the scorecard and by currency, market-specific and input-cost risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $404.01B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.72
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $11.21B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.7% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied Q1 analysis adds reported management commentary on volume and organic revenue growth, margin expansion, maintained full-year guidance, completion of the final fairlife acquisition payment and planned capacity additions. The emphasis also remains on affordability, localized marketing and digital or AI-enabled execution.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year 2025 guidance; no change was reported in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management analysis describes Q1 volume growth, organic revenue growth and margin expansion, with the all-weather strategy unchanged.
  • Affordability initiatives, local campaigns and low- and no-calorie brands remain central growth levers.
  • Fairlife capacity additions, digital marketing and AI-enabled tools are intended to support future execution, while Mexico and currency remain watch items.

Management priorities

  • Expand affordability, refillable packaging and value-pack initiatives.
  • Scale fairlife capacity and continue innovation across brands such as Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Topo Chico and Fuze Tea.
  • Invest in Studio X, Share a Coke and other digital and AI-enabled marketing programs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $11B Q4 '23 actual $11B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $11B Q1 '24 actual $11B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $12B Q2 '24 actual $12B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $12B Q3 '24 actual $12B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $13B Q2 '25 actual $13B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $12B Q3 '25 actual $12B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $12B Q4 '25 actual $12B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $12B Q1 '26 actual $12B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $13B Q2 '26 actual $13B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $13B Q4 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '27 estimate $12B Q2 '27 estimate $13B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$93.9Current
$60Low
$80.39Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $93.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$98$92 +4.4%Oct 16, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +1.2%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 -1.0%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +2.2%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +10.8%Jul 29, 2026
See 69 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

All KO earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-15T00:03:42.498162+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T13:30:43.783423+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T13:30:43.780669+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.