The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Coca-Cola: Growth Resilient, but FX and Cost Risks Remain

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view: resilient demand, innovation, distribution investment, and digital execution provide growth support, but the durability of earnings growth depends on balancing price/mix with volume while absorbing currency, cost, and refranchising pressures.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $404.01B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.51
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $10.71B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.7% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +4.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.5% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about KO FY2024 Q4

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the supplied prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis shifts from raised guidance to maintained guidance, while highlighting 2025 organic growth expectations, a modest price/mix weighting, and continued investment in distribution, packaging, capacity, and AI-enabled marketing.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis says 2025 guidance was maintained at 5–6% organic sales growth, with a modest weighting toward price/mix versus volume.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes Q4 organic revenue growth and unit-case volume growth, supported by regional gains and innovation.
  • Management emphasized continued investment in coolers, refillable packaging, digital capabilities, and AI-enabled marketing.
  • The central debate is whether pricing and mix can remain supportive as currency, commodity, inflation, and refranchising pressures persist.

Management priorities

  • Expand product innovation and fairlife capacity.
  • Increase outlet coverage, cold-drink equipment, refillable packaging, and digital platforms.
  • Use AI-enabled marketing and pursue targeted brand-building acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $11B Q4 '23 actual $11B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $11B Q1 '24 actual $11B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $12B Q2 '24 actual $12B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $12B Q3 '24 actual $12B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $13B Q2 '25 actual $13B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $12B Q3 '25 actual $12B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $12B Q4 '25 actual $12B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $12B Q1 '26 actual $12B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $13B Q2 '26 actual $13B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $13B Q4 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '27 estimate $12B Q2 '27 estimate $13B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$93.9Current
$60Low
$80.39Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $93.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$98$92 +4.4%Oct 16, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +1.2%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 -1.0%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +2.2%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +10.8%Jul 29, 2026
See 69 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

All KO earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-28T00:00:20.742579+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T23:30:41.843537+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T23:30:41.840644+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.