Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · KNX · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Knight-Swift Q2: Pricing Gains Lift Earnings, Risks Remain

The quarter supports a constructive operating trajectory: stronger pricing, network improvements, and a profitable U.S. Express quarter improved results. The durability of that progress depends on utilization, rate execution, labor and fuel costs, and the effects of regulatory change.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $10.29B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.63 Consensus $0.51
EPS surprise +22.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.10B Consensus $2.05B
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.9% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
KNXSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the reported picture improved: Q2 adjusted EPS rose 80% year over year, truckload pricing accelerated to double-digit gains, and U.S. Express reached profitability. Management shifted to maintaining Q3 guidance while emphasizing hiring, rate reviews, technology, and financing-cost reduction.

Guidance delta

Management maintained Q3 adjusted EPS guidance of $0.71-$0.77 and projected mid-single-digit year-over-year revenue growth.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 adjusted EPS rose 80% year over year, while operating income increased 44%.
  • Truckload pricing accelerated in June, and the U.S. Express acquisition reached its first profitable quarter.
  • Management linked tighter capacity to regulatory enforcement and highlighted benefits for the asset-based business.
  • Driver shortages, higher compensation, fuel volatility, and brokerage insurance costs remain headwinds.

Management priorities

  • Continue targeted hiring incentives and academy training.
  • Use planning tools, AI, and analytics to reduce empty miles and improve recruiting and pay optimization.
  • Conduct further rate reviews and mini-bids during Q3.
  • Use convertible-bond proceeds to reduce financing costs and improve capital structure.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KNX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.47 Q4 '23 actual $0.09, miss Q1 '24 estimate $0.30 Q1 '24 actual $0.12, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.27 Q2 '24 actual $0.24, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.33 Q3 '24 actual $0.34, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.34 Q2 '25 actual $0.35, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.37 Q3 '25 actual $0.32, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.36 Q4 '25 actual $0.31, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.09 Q1 '26 actual $0.09, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.51 Q2 '26 actual $0.63, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.76 Q3 '26 actual $0.83, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.82 Q1 '27 estimate $0.73 Q2 '27 estimate $1.01 Q3 '27 estimate $1.12
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2262.9%
Neutral1234.3%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$63.2Current
$35Low
$70.53Average
$91High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $63.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$82$64.09 +29.7%Oct 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$90$64.92 +42.4%Oct 9, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$90$63.62 +42.4%Oct 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$81$65.24 +28.2%Oct 6, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$85$66.18 +34.5%Oct 2, 2026
See 77 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) stands as a prominent provider of transportation services, specializing in truckload freight solutions for clients throughout the United States, Mexico, and Canada. Its operational scope is segmented into four key areas: Trucking, Logistics, Less-than-truckload (LTL), and Intermodal. Under its Trucking segment, the company manages a diverse portfolio of services, including irregular route, dedicated, temperature-controlled (refrigerated), flatbed, expedited, dry van, drayage, and cross-border transportation for a wide variety of goods and materials. Beyond its core trucking operations, Knight-Swift provides logistics and intermodal solutions, which include freight brokerage, intermodal services, comprehensive freight management, and various non-trucking offerings.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-23T02:04:05.458064+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-08-27T01:23:13.912278+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T02:30:41.259163+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T02:30:41.256336+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.