Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · KNX · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Knight-Swift: Cost controls lift margins as freight demand stays soft

The quarter supports a measured efficiency-led improvement case: management reported modest revenue growth, higher adjusted operating income and maintained Q3 adjusted EPS guidance despite soft freight conditions. The evidence is constructive but not conclusive because LTL integration costs, intermodal weakness and demand volatility remain material offsets.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $10.29B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.35 Consensus $0.34
EPS surprise +2.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.86B Consensus $1.91B
Revenue surprise -2.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.2% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.2% Up to 20 sessions
KNXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management’s tone became more confident, guidance sentiment moved from lowered to maintained, and the capex outlook shifted from increasing to decreasing. The emphasis also moved toward broader cost reduction, AI and data-science tools, DHE integration and Western LTL density.

Guidance delta

Management maintained Q3 adjusted EPS guidance at $0.36-$0.42 while reducing the capex outlook; the prior quarter had lowered guidance and omitted Q3 guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew modestly and adjusted operating income rose 17.2% year over year.
  • Cost reduction and better utilization supported margin improvement across segments.
  • LTL expanded after the DHE acquisition, but integration costs compressed profitability.
  • The company reduced capex expectations while continuing selective technology, facility and equipment investment.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate fixed- and variable-cost reductions.
  • Complete DHE integration and build LTL density in the Western network.
  • Use AI and data-science tools to improve processes and reduce cost to serve.
  • Maintain pricing discipline and pursue project-based truckload demand.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KNX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2262.9%
Neutral1234.3%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$65.06Current
$35Low
$70.53Average
$91High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $65.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$82$64.09 +26.0%Oct 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$90$64.92 +38.3%Oct 9, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$90$63.62 +38.3%Oct 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$81$65.24 +24.5%Oct 6, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$85$66.18 +30.6%Oct 2, 2026
See 77 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) stands as a prominent provider of transportation services, specializing in truckload freight solutions for clients throughout the United States, Mexico, and Canada. Its operational scope is segmented into four key areas: Trucking, Logistics, Less-than-truckload (LTL), and Intermodal. Under its Trucking segment, the company manages a diverse portfolio of services, including irregular route, dedicated, temperature-controlled (refrigerated), flatbed, expedited, dry van, drayage, and cross-border transportation for a wide variety of goods and materials. Beyond its core trucking operations, Knight-Swift provides logistics and intermodal solutions, which include freight brokerage, intermodal services, comprehensive freight management, and various non-trucking offerings.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T11:20:46.070640+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T11:20:46.067562+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.