The Kraft Heinz Company · KHC · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Kraft Heinz Maintains Outlook as Emerging Markets and Innovation Lead

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating view: emerging-market growth, targeted marketing and innovation provide support, but modest pricing and ongoing cost pressures leave margin execution important. The large non-cash impairment also keeps investor perception as a key risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $26.12B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.69 Consensus $0.64
EPS surprise +8.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.35B Consensus $6.27B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.2% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.1% Up to 20 sessions
KHCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis describes an in-line quarter and a maintained outlook, while adding emphasis on the non-cash impairment, modest pricing, emerging-market growth, innovation and ongoing strategic-transaction evaluation.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its full-year outlook despite inflation, tariff and commodity-cost pressures.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 performance met expectations, with emerging markets providing the clearest growth contribution.
  • Management said the $9.3 billion impairment was non-cash and reflected an intangible-asset write-down, not operational weakness.
  • Pricing increases remained modest while marketing investment was planned to reach 4.8% of net sales by year-end.
  • The Brand Growth System, product innovation and e-commerce remain central to the growth plan.

Management priorities

  • Scale the Brand Growth System to about 40% of the business by year-end.
  • Invest in product innovation, e-commerce capabilities and marketing.
  • Evaluate strategic transactions while maintaining disciplined investment testing and capex.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KHC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $7B Q4 '23 actual $7B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $6B Q1 '24 actual $6B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $7B Q2 '24 actual $6B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $6B Q3 '24 actual $6B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish411.4%
Neutral2057.2%
Bearish1131.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$22.03Previous close
$18Low
$31.41Average
$70High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 5, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 24, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 22, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 14, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $22.03. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalNik Modi$32$24.73 +45.3%Sep 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$26$24.96 +18.0%Aug 7, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Palmer$24$24.82 +8.9%Aug 6, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Palmer$23$25.74 +4.4%Jul 23, 2026
Wells FargoChris Carey$25$25.3 +13.5%Jul 8, 2026
See 56 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Kraft Heinz Company, along with its subsidiaries, operates as a global entity focused on the manufacturing and marketing of a broad spectrum of food and beverage products. Its reach extends across key markets such as the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, as well as numerous other international territories. The company's diverse product offerings include popular condiments and sauces, a variety of cheese and dairy items, prepared meals, meat products, and refreshing beverages. Additionally, its portfolio features coffee, an assortment of healthy snacks, salad dressings, various spices and seasonings, and a range of other general grocery staples. Kraft Heinz employs a multi-faceted distribution strategy.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T09:10:45.095961+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T09:10:45.092777+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.