JPMorgan Chase & Co. · JPM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

JPMorgan Q2 2026: Revenue and EPS Beat as Management Raises NII Outlook

JPMorgan Chase delivered a decisive Q2 2026 beat, with EPS of $7.59 (36% above consensus) and revenue of $57.3B (13% above estimates). Growth was led by markets, investment banking, and asset & wealth management. Management raised full-year NII ex-Markets guidance to $96.5B, citing higher deposit balances and a favorable mix shift. The firm is investing aggressively in AI (approximately 1,000 use cases, 50 high-impact projects), international expansion, and capital deployment, while flagging regulatory uncertainty around Basel III endgame and rising operating expenses as key watchpoints. The stock rose 2.5% on the report and drifted an additional 3.9% higher in subsequent sessions. Compared with Q1 2026, where guidance was maintained and bullish sentiment scored 75, this quarter marks a clear step up: guidance raised, bullish score at 78, and capex outlook shifting to increasing.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $954.44B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a bank and financial holding company in the United States, rest of North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It operates in three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, and cash management; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit cards, payment solutions, travel services, merchant offers, lifestyle benefits, auto loans, and leases to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, and digital and telephone banking.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.59 Consensus $6
EPS surprise +35.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $57.35B Consensus $50.72B
Revenue surprise +13.1% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JPM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4.11 Q1 '24 actual $4.44, beat Q2 '24 estimate $5.88 Q2 '24 actual $4.40, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4.01 Q3 '24 actual $4.37, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.48 Q2 '25 actual $4.96, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.85 Q3 '25 actual $5.07, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.85 Q4 '25 actual $4.63, miss Q1 '26 estimate $5.47 Q1 '26 actual $5.94, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.59 Q2 '26 actual $7.59, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5.77 Q4 '26 estimate $5.86 Q1 '27 estimate $6.09 Q2 '27 estimate $6.12
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy61 ratings
Bullish3252.4%
Neutral2744.3%
Bearish23.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$356.2Previous close
$120Low
$260.66Average
$420High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 20, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 15, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 15, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 15, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 15, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 15, 2026
Show 53 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $356.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$375$348.21 +5.3%Jul 22, 2026
Truist FinancialJohn McDonald$352$347.88 -1.2%Jul 15, 2026
RBC CapitalGerard Cassidy$370$342.89 +3.9%Jul 15, 2026
Robert W. BairdDavid George$305$342.89 -14.4%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$370$342.89 +3.9%Jul 15, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$420$342.89 +17.9%Jul 15, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$375$342.89 +5.3%Jul 15, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$418$342.89 +17.3%Jul 14, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$350$342.89 -1.7%Jul 14, 2026
UBSErika Najarian$384$340.79 +7.8%Jul 7, 2026
See 102 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.9% Up to 20 sessions
JPMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue growth accelerated from 10% YoY in Q1 2026 to 15% YoY in Q2 2026. Guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised, with full-year NII ex-Markets upgraded to $96.5B. Management disclosed a new token-related expense line item expected to accelerate in H2. A refreshed Sapphire Preferred card and the upcoming smart cash tool were announced as product updates. European consumer-banking expansion (Chase U.K. and German operations) was highlighted as a forward priority. Competitor mentions broadened to include fintech names such as Stripe, PayPal, Block, Chime, SoFi, and Revolut, signaling JPMorgan's competitive lens extending beyond traditional banks. Capex outlook shifted from not mentioned to increasing.

Guidance delta

Q1 2026 guidance sentiment was maintained. In Q2 2026, management raised guidance, upgrading full-year NII ex-Markets to $96.5B driven by higher deposit balances and a slight mix shift to higher-margin assets. A modest dividend increase was also announced. The firm reiterated its 15% retail market-share goal and characterized the investment-banking pipeline as robust despite some pull-forward activity.

Key takeaways

  • EPS of $7.59 beat consensus by 36%; revenue of $57.3B beat by 13%, driven by markets, investment banking, and wealth management.
  • Management raised full-year NII ex-Markets guidance to $96.5B on higher deposit balances and favorable mix shift.
  • Deposits are outpacing expectations with strong net new checking account openings and wholesale deposit growth.
  • AI is deployed across approximately 1,000 use cases with about 50 high-impact projects; expense impact framed as long-term investment.
  • Capital allocation remains aggressive with a 17% ROIC target, ongoing buybacks, and openness to strategic M&A in digital and fintech adjacencies.
  • Stock rose 2.5% on the report with 1.35x baseline volume and drifted 3.9% higher subsequently.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI use cases and token-related initiatives, with the smart cash tool rollout planned for later in 2026.
  • Implement the refreshed Sapphire Preferred card and other product updates.
  • Continue European consumer-banking expansion with Chase U.K. and German operations.
  • Deploy capital toward client-focused growth, buybacks, and strategic M&A in fintech, data, and digital banking adjacencies.
  • Reaffirm the 15% retail market-share goal and maintain robust investment-banking pipeline coverage.

Related earnings events

Financial Services

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-14T16:08:18.358247+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-28T01:23:15.070317+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T05:51:26.338317+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T05:51:26.336113+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.