JPMorgan Chase & Co. · JPM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
JPMorgan Q2 2026: Revenue and EPS Beat as Management Raises NII Outlook
JPMorgan Chase delivered a decisive Q2 2026 beat, with EPS of $7.59 (36% above consensus) and revenue of $57.3B (13% above estimates). Growth was led by markets, investment banking, and asset & wealth management. Management raised full-year NII ex-Markets guidance to $96.5B, citing higher deposit balances and a favorable mix shift. The firm is investing aggressively in AI (approximately 1,000 use cases, 50 high-impact projects), international expansion, and capital deployment, while flagging regulatory uncertainty around Basel III endgame and rising operating expenses as key watchpoints. The stock rose 2.5% on the report and drifted an additional 3.9% higher in subsequent sessions. Compared with Q1 2026, where guidance was maintained and bullish sentiment scored 75, this quarter marks a clear step up: guidance raised, bullish score at 78, and capex outlook shifting to increasing.
Company context
Snapshot as of publicationJPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a bank and financial holding company in the United States, rest of North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It operates in three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, and cash management; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit cards, payment solutions, travel services, merchant offers, lifestyle benefits, auto loans, and leases to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, and digital and telephone banking.…
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusEarnings History
Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 17, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Freedom Broker | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jan 22, 2026 |
| TD Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 20, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 3, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Apr 15, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 1, 2024 |
| Daiwa Capital | Buy | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 18, 2023 |
| Atlantic Equities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 1, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 17, 2023 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 10, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Jul 7, 2023 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 5, 2022 |
| DA Davidson | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 15, 2021 |
| Independent Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 3, 2020 |
| DZ Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 20, 2020 |
| Odeon Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 3, 2020 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 16, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 16, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 17, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2018 |
| HSBC | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 11, 2018 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 28, 2018 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Feb 13, 2018 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 25, 2017 |
| Sandler O'Neill | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 6, 2016 |
| CLSA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 23, 2016 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 9, 2016 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 16, 2016 |
| Erste Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 25, 2016 |
| Portales Partners | Underperform | Sector Perform | Downgrade | Feb 22, 2016 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 15, 2016 |
| MKM Partners | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 11, 2015 |
| Argus Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 15, 2014 |
| FBR Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jul 21, 2014 |
| Rafferty Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 15, 2014 |
| Rafferty | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 15, 2014 |
| Mediobanca Securities | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 28, 2014 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 19, 2013 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 24, 2013 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Outperform | Upgrade | Jul 2, 2013 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 25, 2013 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 3, 2013 |
| Drexel Hamilton | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 2, 2012 |
| JMP Securities | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | May 21, 2012 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 11, 2012 |
| Stifel | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 11, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 27, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $356.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $375 | $348.21 | +5.3% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $352 | $347.88 | -1.2% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Gerard Cassidy | $370 | $342.89 | +3.9% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | David George | $305 | $342.89 | -14.4% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $370 | $342.89 | +3.9% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $420 | $342.89 | +17.9% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $375 | $342.89 | +5.3% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $418 | $342.89 | +17.3% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $342.89 | -1.7% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $384 | $340.79 | +7.8% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $360 | $336.13 | +1.1% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $360 | $334.47 | +1.1% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $344 | $331.96 | -3.4% | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $340 | $312.25 | -4.5% | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $332 | $311.12 | -6.8% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $295 | $311.12 | -17.2% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $361 | $311.12 | +1.3% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $323 | $291.66 | -9.3% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Mike Mayo | $350 | $302.55 | -1.7% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $319 | $310.16 | -10.4% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $280 | $307.02 | -21.4% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $334 | $307.8 | -6.2% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Gerard Cassidy | $330 | $307.87 | -7.4% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| HSBC | Saul Martinez | $245 | $327.21 | -31.2% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $331 | $334.04 | -7.1% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $391 | $325.48 | +9.8% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $330 | $315.99 | -7.4% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $331 | $300.47 | -7.1% | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Mikhail Paramonov | $310 | $294.84 | -13.0% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $338 | $308.9 | -5.1% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $342 | $302.08 | -4.0% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $366 | $302.08 | +2.8% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $350 | $306.71 | -1.7% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $330 | $315.69 | -7.4% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $336 | $316.06 | -5.7% | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $298 | $295.13 | -16.3% | Jul 7, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $305 | $289.91 | -14.4% | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $270 | $260.71 | -24.2% | May 23, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $261 | $234.72 | -26.7% | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | John McDonald | $264 | $210.28 | -25.9% | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $242.28 | -38.2% | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $264 | $240 | -25.9% | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $232 | $219.23 | -34.9% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David George | $200 | $222.29 | -43.9% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $257 | $222.29 | -27.8% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $230 | $222.29 | -35.4% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $234 | $212.72 | -34.3% | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $217 | $204 | -39.1% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| KBW | David Konrad | $211 | $201.15 | -40.8% | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Matt O'Connor | $235 | $224.8 | -34.0% | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $221 | $210.2 | -38.0% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $220 | $210.05 | -38.2% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Scott Siefers | $230 | $204.94 | -35.4% | Jul 15, 2024 |
| New Street | David Konrad | $211 | $206.45 | -40.8% | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $239 | $208.83 | -32.9% | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Ramsden | $226 | $198.31 | -36.6% | May 23, 2024 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $224 | $195.58 | -37.1% | May 21, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Scott Siefers | $220 | $195.58 | -38.2% | May 21, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David George | $185 | $195.58 | -48.1% | May 21, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Gerard Cassidy | $211 | $195.58 | -40.8% | May 21, 2024 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $219 | $204.79 | -38.5% | May 20, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $227 | $198.77 | -36.3% | May 13, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Scott Siefers | $215 | $182.79 | -39.6% | Apr 15, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $217 | $182.79 | -39.1% | Apr 15, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | James Fotheringham | $195 | $182.79 | -45.3% | Apr 15, 2024 |
| CFRA | Kenneth Leon | $215 | $183.81 | -39.6% | Apr 12, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Ramsden | $229 | $188 | -35.7% | Apr 12, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $221 | $188.31 | -38.0% | Apr 12, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $210 | $195.43 | -41.0% | Apr 12, 2024 |
| J.P. Morgan | David Konrad | $195 | $194.58 | -45.3% | Apr 10, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Mike Mayo | $220 | $196.33 | -38.2% | Mar 20, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Matt O'Connor | $190 | $170.66 | -46.7% | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Matt O'Connor | $190 | $170.66 | -46.7% | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $215 | $145.81 | -39.6% | Oct 13, 2023 |
| Raymond James | James Fotheringham | $170 | $152.61 | -52.3% | Jul 17, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Keith Horowitz | $160 | $148.15 | -55.1% | Jul 13, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Gerard Cassidy | $140 | $138.16 | -60.7% | Apr 17, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Mike Mayo | $158 | $138.73 | -55.6% | Apr 17, 2023 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $186 | $139.59 | -47.8% | Feb 2, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $135.35 | -59.3% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $189 | $134.1 | -46.9% | Jan 3, 2023 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $169 | $132.46 | -52.6% | Dec 28, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $133.33 | -57.9% | Dec 12, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $131.5 | -57.9% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $120.98 | -56.5% | Sep 12, 2022 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $126 | $114 | -64.6% | Jul 27, 2022 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $153 | $113.18 | -57.0% | Jul 26, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Peter Richardson | $120 | $112.95 | -66.3% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Jeffery Harte | $158 | $113.14 | -55.6% | Jul 11, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Betsy Graseck | $149 | $118.78 | -58.2% | Jun 28, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $156 | $123.6 | -56.2% | May 24, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $152 | $118.43 | -57.3% | May 19, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $125 | $119.09 | -64.9% | May 16, 2022 |
| Oppenheimer | Chris Kotowski | $167 | $123.03 | -53.1% | May 4, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Jeffery Harte | $170 | $128.46 | -52.3% | Apr 18, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Glenn Schorr | $150 | $126.12 | -57.9% | Apr 14, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $141 | $133 | -60.4% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Barclays | Jason Goldberg | $200 | $133.34 | -43.9% | Apr 5, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Mike Mayo | $150 | $134.91 | -57.9% | Apr 4, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Ken Usdin | $155 | $152.14 | -56.5% | Feb 20, 2022 |
| UBS | Erika Najarian | $197 | $145.08 | -44.7% | Jan 23, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Keith Horowitz | $175 | $150.16 | -50.9% | Jan 18, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Susan Roth Katzke | $184 | $156.73 | -48.3% | Jan 17, 2022 |
| KBW | David Konrad | $157 | $156.73 | -55.9% | Jan 17, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | James Fotheringham | $141 | $156.73 | -60.4% | Jan 17, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Richard Ramsden | $194 | $156.73 | -45.5% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Matt O'Connor | $185 | $156.73 | -48.1% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Societe Generale | Andrew T Lim | $175 | $162.57 | -50.9% | Jan 5, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Steven Chubak | $185 | $165.6 | -48.1% | Jan 4, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Peter Richardson | $125 | $164.4 | -64.9% | Oct 15, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ebrahim Poonawala | $190 | $167.96 | -46.7% | Oct 8, 2021 |
| Atlantic Equities | John Heagerty | $150 | $147.5 | -57.9% | Apr 27, 2021 |
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What changed
Revenue growth accelerated from 10% YoY in Q1 2026 to 15% YoY in Q2 2026. Guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised, with full-year NII ex-Markets upgraded to $96.5B. Management disclosed a new token-related expense line item expected to accelerate in H2. A refreshed Sapphire Preferred card and the upcoming smart cash tool were announced as product updates. European consumer-banking expansion (Chase U.K. and German operations) was highlighted as a forward priority. Competitor mentions broadened to include fintech names such as Stripe, PayPal, Block, Chime, SoFi, and Revolut, signaling JPMorgan's competitive lens extending beyond traditional banks. Capex outlook shifted from not mentioned to increasing.
Guidance delta
Q1 2026 guidance sentiment was maintained. In Q2 2026, management raised guidance, upgrading full-year NII ex-Markets to $96.5B driven by higher deposit balances and a slight mix shift to higher-margin assets. A modest dividend increase was also announced. The firm reiterated its 15% retail market-share goal and characterized the investment-banking pipeline as robust despite some pull-forward activity.
Key takeaways
- EPS of $7.59 beat consensus by 36%; revenue of $57.3B beat by 13%, driven by markets, investment banking, and wealth management.
- Management raised full-year NII ex-Markets guidance to $96.5B on higher deposit balances and favorable mix shift.
- Deposits are outpacing expectations with strong net new checking account openings and wholesale deposit growth.
- AI is deployed across approximately 1,000 use cases with about 50 high-impact projects; expense impact framed as long-term investment.
- Capital allocation remains aggressive with a 17% ROIC target, ongoing buybacks, and openness to strategic M&A in digital and fintech adjacencies.
- Stock rose 2.5% on the report with 1.35x baseline volume and drifted 3.9% higher subsequently.
Management priorities
- Expand AI use cases and token-related initiatives, with the smart cash tool rollout planned for later in 2026.
- Implement the refreshed Sapphire Preferred card and other product updates.
- Continue European consumer-banking expansion with Chase U.K. and German operations.
- Deploy capital toward client-focused growth, buybacks, and strategic M&A in fintech, data, and digital banking adjacencies.
- Reaffirm the 15% retail market-share goal and maintain robust investment-banking pipeline coverage.
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Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.