Intuitive Surgical, Inc. · ISRG · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Intuitive Surgical: Growth and da Vinci 5 Expansion Meet Execution Risks

The supplied analyses support a constructive operating trajectory for Intuitive Surgical: procedure growth, da Vinci 5 adoption, SP and Ion expansion, and international demand provide the growth case. That case is balanced by tariff, supply, regulatory, hospital-budget and Medicaid-related risks, while the event's negative abnormal market reaction shows that strong operating signals did not eliminate execution concerns.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $149.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.19 Consensus $1.93
EPS surprise +13.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.44B Consensus $2.35B
Revenue surprise +3.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.8% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -2.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.3% Up to 20 sessions
ISRGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the current analysis emphasizes the broad U.S. da Vinci 5 launch, Europe and Japan clearances, new vessel-sealer approval, continued SP and Ion growth, and expanded digital collaboration plans. The risk set remains centered on tariffs, supply constraints, international capital budgets and possible Medicaid-related pressure.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment remained raised in the current analysis, following a modest raise in the prior-quarter analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue growth was supported by procedure growth and a higher mix of new-system purchases.
  • da Vinci 5 received a broad U.S. launch, with clearances in Europe and Japan and higher utilization cited in the analysis.
  • Procedure volume grew across da Vinci, SP and Ion, with international expansion highlighted in India, Korea and distributor markets.
  • The analysis cites a slight 2025 guidance raise, alongside macro pressure in Japan, China and Europe and uncertainty around U.S. Medicaid coverage.

Management priorities

  • Roll out da Vinci 5 with additional software features and 3D imaging integration.
  • Expand the advanced energy portfolio, including the vessel sealer.
  • Build manufacturing capacity in Bulgaria, Germany and Mexico.
  • Continue launches and enhancements for SP stapler and Ion platforms.
  • Develop digital collaboration and AI-enabled case-insight tools.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ISRG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $3B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy57 ratings
Bullish4070.2%
Neutral1221.0%
Bearish58.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$423.96Current
$270Low
$476.03Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 8, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform PerformUpgradeAug 12, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeJul 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 17, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2026
Show 52 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $423.96. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$485$404.76 +14.4%Oct 6, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$391$353.1 -7.8%Jul 30, 2026
UBSPriya Sachdeva$500$356.83 +17.9%Jul 28, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$357.44$358.34 -15.7%Jul 27, 2026
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$483$356.77 +13.9%Jul 17, 2026
See 106 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. is a leading medical technology firm dedicated to advancing patient care by developing, producing, and commercializing sophisticated tools. These innovations empower medical professionals to deliver superior, accessible, and less-invasive treatment options to patients both within the United States and across international markets. Its flagship offering, the da Vinci Surgical System, facilitates intricate operations through a minimally disruptive approach.…

Historical context

All ISRG earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +2.7% -14.7% CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue
MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T06:00:45.763413+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T06:00:45.760679+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.