Intuitive Surgical, Inc. · ISRG · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Intuitive Surgical raises procedure outlook as tariffs pressure margins

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating outlook: resilient procedure demand, da Vinci 5 adoption and international growth are positive evidence, but tariff-related margin pressure, supply constraints and overseas capital budgets make the one-year growth case conditional rather than established.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $151.15B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.71
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.19B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.9% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +12.1% Up to 20 sessions
ISRGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management raised procedure-growth guidance, quantified tariff exposure and emphasized the da Vinci 5 rollout, force-feedback supply and international expansion. Margin expectations became more pressured because of tariffs and depreciation.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2025 procedure-growth guidance to 15–17% while lowering gross-margin guidance to 65–66.5% because of tariff and depreciation effects.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported strong Q1 growth, with revenue up 19% and procedures up 17%.
  • The da Vinci 5 rollout and international expansion remain central growth drivers.
  • Tariffs, higher depreciation and supply constraints create execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Complete the da Vinci 5 launch and pursue regional clearances.
  • Increase force-feedback instrument availability and expand Ion utilization.
  • Expand manufacturing capacity and international adoption.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ISRG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.48 Q4 '23 actual $1.60, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.41 Q1 '24 actual $1.50, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.54 Q2 '24 actual $1.78, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.93 Q2 '25 actual $2.19, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.99 Q3 '25 actual $2.40, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.27 Q4 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.51 Q1 '26 actual $2.80, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.48 Q2 '26 actual $2.80, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.65 Q4 '26 estimate $2.85 Q1 '27 estimate $2.80 Q2 '27 estimate $3.03

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy57 ratings
Bullish4070.2%
Neutral1221.0%
Bearish58.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$427.86Current
$270Low
$476.03Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform PerformUpgradeAug 12, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeJul 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 17, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2026
Show 52 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $427.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$415$427.64 -3.0%Oct 13, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$454$425.1 +6.1%Oct 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$485$404.76 +13.4%Oct 6, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$391$353.1 -8.6%Jul 30, 2026
UBSPriya Sachdeva$500$356.83 +16.9%Jul 28, 2026
See 108 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. is a leading medical technology firm dedicated to advancing patient care by developing, producing, and commercializing sophisticated tools. These innovations empower medical professionals to deliver superior, accessible, and less-invasive treatment options to patients both within the United States and across international markets. Its flagship offering, the da Vinci Surgical System, facilitates intricate operations through a minimally disruptive approach.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-08T00:00:45.761361+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T05:10:42.941084+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T05:10:42.938247+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.