FN2 Earnings Intelligence

INTC expanded earnings history

Intel Corp. (INTC) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
INTC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.45 Q4 '23 actual $0.54, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.14 Q1 '24 actual $0.18, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.10 Q2 '24 actual $0.02, miss Q3 '24 estimate $-0.02 Q3 '24 actual $-0.46, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.01 Q2 '25 actual $-0.10, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.02 Q3 '25 actual $0.23, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.08 Q4 '25 actual $0.15, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.02 Q1 '26 actual $0.29, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.21 Q2 '26 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.40 Q4 '26 estimate $0.44 Q1 '27 estimate $0.41 Q2 '27 estimate $0.49
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INTC FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Intel Corp.

Intel delivered its seventh consecutive quarterly beat with Q2 revenue of $16.1B, up from $13.6B in Q1, driven by AI-related demand that now accounts for 70% of revenue. EPS of $0.42 doubled consensus. Yet shares fell roughly 8% on an abnormal basis, as investors digested a widening foundry operating loss of $2.1B against just $293M of external foundry revenue, a capex increase to over $20B for 2026, and a flattening PC outlook for the second half amid memory price inflation. The foundry roadmap is advancing with 18A volume running 25% above target and 18A-P risk production underway, but the investment-to-revenue gap remains the central tension for investors.

EPS surprise+100.0%
Market move-7.9%
INTC FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Intel Corp.

The current analysis supports a cautiously constructive Intel thesis: AI-driven demand, server CPU momentum, advanced packaging, and new process-node ramps provide growth support, but the thesis depends on supply expansion, margin management, and progress toward Foundry profitability.

EPS surprise+1428.7%
Market move+23.6%
INTC FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Intel Corp.

The quarter supports a mixed view: AI-linked demand and product and foundry progress provide growth support, but supply constraints, yields, memory costs and lower near-term guidance weaken the case for a clean recovery.

EPS surprise+84.4%
Market move-17.0%
INTC FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Intel Corp.

The supplied evidence is constructive on demand and product milestones, but it does not yet establish that earnings growth will be durable: execution, supply availability, and margins remain decisive.

EPS surprise+1191.4%
Market move+0.3%
INTC FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Intel Corp.

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operational thesis: Intel is aligning foundry capacity with demand, advancing key process and product programs, and pursuing balance-sheet actions. The case remains dependent on execution in 18A and 14A, product mix, server competitiveness, and the commercial traction of its AI strategy.

EPS surprise-929.2%
Market move-8.5%
INTC FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Intel Corp.

Intel's turnaround case rests on disciplined cost and capital reductions, a faster 18A and AI product cycle, and balance-sheet actions; the lower Q2 guidance, foundry losses, and execution risks keep that case unproven.

EPS surprise—
Market move+4.4%
INTC FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Intel Corp.

The supplied analysis supports a mixed view: product launches, AI PC and server demand, AWS commitments, and 18A progress provide potential growth drivers, while charges, competitive pressure, geopolitical exposure, and foundry execution risks constrain the near-term case.

EPS surprise-2090.5%
Market move+7.8%

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