Illumina, Inc. · ILMN · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Illumina Q4: Clinical Consumables Lead, While China and Margin Risks Persist

The quarter's clinical consumables growth and NovaSeq X placements support Illumina's growth narrative, while China restrictions, tariffs, research-funding uncertainty and Somalogic integration remain material counterweights. The supplied evidence supports a company-specific operating thesis, not a broad conclusion about the other names in the requested scope.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $35.63B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.35 Consensus $1.24
EPS surprise +8.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.16B Consensus $1.12B
Revenue surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -10.4% Event window
SPY move +1.9% Same window
Abnormal move -12.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.8% Up to 20 sessions
ILMNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current call emphasizes execution on clinical demand and NovaSeq X placements, alongside Somalogic integration and BioInsight's early pharma collaborations. Management's FY2026 outlook was maintained. The supplied event-window data show the stock declined 10.4% from event close to the next-session close while SPY rose 1.9%; this price reaction does not establish a cause.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY2026 guidance: revenue of $4.5–$4.6 billion, non-GAAP operating margin of 23.3%–23.5%, and EPS of $5.00–$5.20.

Key takeaways

  • Clinical consumables revenue grew 20% quarter over quarter excluding China, according to the supplied call analysis.
  • Illumina placed more than 100 NovaSeq X systems in Q4; 60% went to clinical customers.
  • The Somalogic acquisition was completed, and BioInsight's Billion Cell Atlas was launched with early pharma collaborations.
  • Reported EPS and revenue exceeded the supplied consensus estimates; management maintained FY2026 guidance.

Management priorities

  • Expand clinical sequencing demand, including oncology and rare-disease applications.
  • Integrate Somalogic proteomics into the multi-omics portfolio and scale BioInsight data products.
  • Continue NovaSeq X placements and develop spatial transcriptomics and Constellation MAP Read technology in 2026.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ILMN REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 11 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, match Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q3 '27 estimate $1B
Show 3 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold50 ratings
Bullish2754.0%
Neutral1734.0%
Bearish612.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$227.12Current
$100Low
$216.54Average
$562High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 30, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainOct 19, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 13, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Show 45 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $227.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
StephensAnalyst unavailable$275$268 +21.1%Oct 23, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$300$262.54 +32.1%Oct 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$273.54 -11.9%Oct 7, 2026
GuggenheimSubbu Nambi$305$270.81 +34.3%Oct 1, 2026
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$300$273.63 +32.1%Sep 29, 2026
See 80 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Illumina, Inc. specializes in delivering advanced genetic and genomic analysis tools, primarily through sequencing and array technologies. The company's offerings empower clients across various sectors to integrate genomic insights into both research and clinical environments, with applications spanning critical fields like life sciences, cancer diagnostics, reproductive health, agriculture, and innovative new domains. Illumina's portfolio encompasses specialized instrumentation and necessary consumables for genetic analysis, alongside comprehensive genotyping and sequencing services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T14:40:52.860683+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T14:40:52.857955+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.