Iamgold Corporation · IAG · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

IAMGOLD: Strong production and cash flow, with costs still in focus

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: strong production, record mine-site free cash flow, debt reduction and Côté expansion plans provide evidence of improving execution and financial capacity. The case remains conditional on delivering cost reductions, improving Westwood performance and advancing the Nelligan resource pipeline.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $10.72B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.30 Consensus $0.21
EPS surprise +42.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $706.7M Consensus $959.2M
Revenue surprise -26.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +8.8% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +8.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +27.2% Up to 20 sessions
IAGSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the company added record third-quarter mine-site free cash flow and substantial debt reduction, announced an approved buyback program, and highlighted acquisitions intended to build the Nelligan mining complex. The central tension remains unchanged: management expects operational improvements to lower costs, while current cost levels and execution risks require monitoring.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance; costs were expected to remain at the top end of the range this year and improve in 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record third-quarter production and mine-site free cash flow, alongside significant net-debt reduction.
  • Côté Gold expansion plans and the second cone crusher remain central to the operating-improvement case.
  • The approved share-buyback program and Quebec acquisitions broaden the capital-allocation and growth narrative.
  • Higher royalties, elevated Côté unit costs, Westwood execution, and Burkina Faso operating risks remain important offsets.

Management priorities

  • Install the second cone crusher at Côté Gold.
  • Advance the Côté Gold expansion and super-pit development.
  • Complete resource drilling and technical studies for the Nelligan mining complex in 2026.
  • Reduce debt and pursue the approved NCIB buyback once debt targets are met.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IAG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $294M Q4 '23 actual $306M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $267M Q1 '24 actual $337M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $370M Q2 '24 actual $391M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $730M Q2 '25 actual $581M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $959M Q3 '25 actual $707M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $955M Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $883M Q2 '26 actual $841M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $837M Q4 '26 estimate $941M Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1240.0%
Neutral1136.7%
Bearish723.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$18.55Current
$2.75Low
$14.54Average
$34High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 12, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Raymond James Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 10, 2025
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 10, 2025
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $18.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesFahad Tariq$24$20.5 +29.4%Aug 20, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$22$14.98 +18.6%Jul 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$20$15.34 +7.8%Jul 9, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$25$23.21 +34.8%Feb 25, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$34$18.83 +83.3%Feb 4, 2026
See 16 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

IAMGOLD Corp. engages in the exploration, development and production of gold and mineral resource properties. It owns and operates the Westwood mine in Quebec and the Cote Gold project, a development project located in Ontario. The firm also operates the Rosebel mine in Suriname, the Essakane mine in Burkina Faso, the Saramacca project, an exploration project located in Suriname, the Boto project, an exploration project located in Senegal. The company was founded by William D. Pugliese, Mark I. Nathanson, and Larry E. Phillips on March 27, 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Historical context

All IAG earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
RPM RPM International Inc. FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 — +1.6% RPM posts record Q1 results as inflation pressures margins
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T01:50:45.677608+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T01:50:45.674623+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.