Iamgold Corporation · IAG · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

IAMGOLD: Record production supports expansion and buybacks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: record production and cash generation provide funding for buybacks and expansion, while Côté/Gosselin, Nelligan and Essakane initiatives offer additional growth paths. The thesis remains dependent on cost execution, licensing progress, geopolitical conditions and gold-price-sensitive royalties.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $10.60B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.70 Consensus $0.55
EPS surprise +27.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.08B Consensus $1.05B
Revenue surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.2% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -15.9% Up to 20 sessions
IAGSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current analysis adds record 2025 revenue and free cash flow, lower Q4 all-in sustaining cost per ounce, a larger stated 2026 buyback plan, and more defined Côté/Gosselin, Nelligan and Essakane initiatives.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis indicates no change to guidance sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record 2025 revenue and free cash flow, with record gold output across all mines.
  • All-in sustaining cost per ounce declined in Q4 despite higher royalty expenses, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Management outlined substantial 2026 share repurchases funded by Essakane cash flows.
  • Côté Gold expansion, Gosselin resource work, Nelligan exploration and a possible Essakane license extension are the main forward initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Expand Côté Gold and advance the Gosselin expansion.
  • Complete the Côté/Gosselin resource and reserve update.
  • Continue the share buyback program using Essakane cash flows.
  • Pursue an Essakane license extension and advance the Nelligan mining complex.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IAG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.03 Q1 '24 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.09 Q2 '24 actual $0.16, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.10 Q3 '24 actual $0.18, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.14 Q2 '25 actual $0.13, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.21 Q3 '25 actual $0.30, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.55 Q4 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.52 Q1 '26 actual $0.66, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.42 Q2 '26 actual $0.42, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.49 Q4 '26 estimate $0.58 Q1 '27 estimate $0.68 Q2 '27 estimate $0.71
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1240.0%
Neutral1136.7%
Bearish723.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$18.52Current
$2.75Low
$14.54Average
$34High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 12, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Raymond James Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 10, 2025
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 10, 2025
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $18.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesFahad Tariq$24$20.5 +29.6%Aug 20, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$22$14.98 +18.8%Jul 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$20$15.34 +8.0%Jul 9, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$25$23.21 +35.0%Feb 25, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$34$18.83 +83.6%Feb 4, 2026
See 16 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

IAMGOLD Corp. engages in the exploration, development and production of gold and mineral resource properties. It owns and operates the Westwood mine in Quebec and the Cote Gold project, a development project located in Ontario. The firm also operates the Rosebel mine in Suriname, the Essakane mine in Burkina Faso, the Saramacca project, an exploration project located in Suriname, the Boto project, an exploration project located in Senegal. The company was founded by William D. Pugliese, Mark I. Nathanson, and Larry E. Phillips on March 27, 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Historical context

All IAG earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 0.0% -6.2% Harmony Gold posts record FY2026 while Eva Copper risks remain

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T23:26:06.824951+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T23:26:06.822181+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.