HP Inc. · HPQ · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

HP raises full-year outlook as AI PCs drive Personal Systems growth

HP's latest call supports a constructive operating case: resilient Personal Systems demand, rising AI PC mix, and industrial-printing growth were paired with higher full-year EPS and free-cash-flow guidance. The counterweight is that memory, storage, commodity, channel-inventory, and tariff pressures could test margins and the durability of cash-flow growth.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $31.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.83 Consensus $0.66
EPS surprise +25.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $15.68B Consensus $14.44B
Revenue surprise +8.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.9% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +16.1% Up to 20 sessions
HPQSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, HP reported stronger Q3 scale and raised both full-year EPS and free-cash-flow guidance. AI PC mix reached 46% of shipments, while management added a three-year RRD agreement and described broader OpenAI Frontier integration. Print remained mixed, with revenue down 2% despite tank-printer share gains and double-digit industrial-printing growth.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year EPS guidance to $3.19-$3.29 and free-cash-flow guidance to $3.0-$3.2 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue reached a record $15.7 billion, up 13% year over year, led by Personal Systems.
  • AI PCs represented 46% of shipments, with management targeting 50% by year-end.
  • Print revenue declined 2%, while tank-printer share grew 42% and industrial printing posted double-digit growth.
  • Supply-chain mitigation and pricing actions are intended to offset memory, storage, and commodity cost pressure.
  • HP announced a three-year, $100 million strategic agreement with RRD and expanded OpenAI Frontier integration.

Management priorities

  • Scale the AI PC portfolio, including OmniBook Ultra 6, OmniDesk Mini, and ZGX Fury.
  • Expand Precise Print and AI-enabled laser products globally.
  • Deepen OpenAI integration across HP Store, support, and development tools.
  • Continue premium-PC and AI-PC mix expansion to raise average selling prices.
  • Invest in WXP platform enhancements and industrial-printing automation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPQ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.81 Q1 '24 actual $0.81, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.82, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.86 Q3 '24 actual $0.83, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.74 Q3 '25 actual $0.75, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.92 Q4 '25 actual $0.93, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.77 Q1 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.71 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.66 Q3 '26 actual $0.83, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $0.70
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish1630.8%
Neutral2853.8%
Bearish815.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$34.4Current
$17Low
$28.1Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 24, 2026
Goldman Sachs Sell SellMaintainAug 12, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 28, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 28, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 28, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainMay 28, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeOct 14, 2025
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainMar 4, 2025
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJan 3, 2025
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeNov 7, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainAug 30, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 23, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 31, 2022
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainAug 9, 2021
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 28, 2020
Longbow Research Hold HoldMaintainApr 1, 2020
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeMar 31, 2020
Bank of America Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 4, 2019
Citi Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 23, 2019
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 28, 2019
Standpoint Research Buy BuyMaintainDec 26, 2018
Maxim Group Buy BuyMaintainOct 4, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Mizuho Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 2, 2018
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeJul 20, 2017
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2017
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 4, 2017
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainNov 6, 2015
Sterne Agee CRT Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 28, 2015
FBR Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 21, 2015
Cantor Fitzgerald Hold HoldMaintainAug 21, 2015
Cross Research Buy HoldUpgradeMay 14, 2015
Tigress Financial Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 6, 2015
Pacific Crest Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 13, 2015
FBN Securities Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeAug 21, 2014
Monness, Crespi, Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 18, 2014
Monness Crespi Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 18, 2014
S&P Capital IQ Strong Buy BuyUpgradeJul 1, 2014
Argus Capital Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 24, 2014
Evercore Partners Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeNov 27, 2013
Needham Hold UnderperformUpgradeOct 10, 2013
Topeka Capital Sell HoldDowngradeDec 18, 2012
Topeka Sell HoldDowngradeDec 18, 2012
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 20, 2012
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 5, 2012
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainOct 3, 2012
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainMay 24, 2012
Oxen Group Hold HoldMaintainMar 14, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $34.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$33$32.73 -4.1%Sep 10, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$23$29.63 -33.1%Aug 28, 2026
BernsteinMark Newman$32$30.52 -7.0%Aug 27, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$28$30.52 -18.6%Aug 27, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$32$29.15 -7.0%Aug 24, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$19$29.34 -44.8%Jun 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$19$25.49 -44.8%May 28, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$20$25.49 -41.9%May 28, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$19$25.49 -44.8%May 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$17$21.07 -50.6%May 21, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$20$18.38 -41.9%Feb 19, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$22$18.45 -36.0%Feb 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$18$20.37 -47.7%Jan 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$18$20.61 -47.7%Jan 16, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$21$21.18 -39.0%Jan 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$20$24.32 -41.9%Nov 26, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$24$24.32 -30.2%Nov 26, 2025
UBSDavid Vogt$26$24.32 -24.4%Nov 26, 2025
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$21$22.61 -39.0%Nov 21, 2025
HSBCStephen Bersey$30$27.35 -12.8%Oct 14, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$29$28.37 -15.7%Sep 10, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$28$24.95 -18.6%May 29, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$35$30.87 +1.7%Feb 28, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$36$30.87 +4.7%Feb 28, 2025
BernsteinToni Sacconaghi$34$32.74 -1.2%Jan 3, 2025
CitigroupAsiya Merchant$37$36 +7.6%Oct 9, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesWamsi Mohan$37$36.85 +7.6%Sep 27, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsAnanda Baruah$35$34.85 +1.7%Sep 5, 2024
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$37$32.8 +7.6%May 30, 2024
Goldman SachsMichael Ng$33$32.8 -4.1%May 30, 2024
BarclaysTim Long$30$31.82 -12.8%May 21, 2024
BarclaysTim Long$24$30.22 -30.2%Apr 1, 2024
HSBCStephen Bersey$33$28.58 -4.1%Feb 14, 2024
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$31$28.68 -9.9%Nov 22, 2023
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$24$29.91 -30.2%Nov 23, 2022
CitigroupJim Suva$31$29.36 -9.9%Nov 18, 2022
BernsteinToni Sacconaghi Sacconaghi$30$25.35 -12.8%Sep 24, 2022
BarclaysTim Long$27$29.33 -21.5%Aug 31, 2022
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$30$35.23 -12.8%Aug 19, 2022
BarclaysTim Long$32$40.37 -7.0%Jun 1, 2022
UBSDavid Vogt$40$38.19 +16.3%Apr 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$34$36.64 -1.2%Apr 4, 2022
BernsteinToni Sacconaghi$40$38.42 +16.3%Jan 17, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsAnanda Baruah$50$30.82 +45.3%Nov 1, 2021
CitigroupJim Suva$40$28.46 +16.3%May 28, 2021
Cowen & Co.Krish Sankar$27$31.46 -21.5%May 24, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

HP Inc. is a global technology company specializing in personal computing devices, imaging and printing solutions, and a variety of related technologies, software, and support services, serving clients both in the United States and worldwide. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers a broad array of computing hardware, including desktop and laptop personal computers for both business and individual consumers, along with specialized workstations, thin clients, commercial mobile devices, retail point-of-sale systems, displays, and various peripherals. This division also encompasses essential software, support, and associated services.…

Historical context

All HPQ earnings

Technology peers this season

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ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T14:22:00.669916+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T05:30:49.105757+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T05:30:49.103023+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.