HP Inc. · HPQ · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2025

HP grows revenue as AI PCs gain share, but memory costs pressure margins

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: HP is showing resilient revenue growth and expanding AI PC adoption, while cost savings and cash-generation initiatives provide support. The main counterweights are memory-cost inflation, pricing elasticity, continued print softness and the need to sustain premium-PC share gains.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $28.61B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.93 Consensus $0.92
EPS surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $14.64B Consensus $14.50B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.0% Up to 20 sessions
HPQSPY benchmark

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What changed

Revenue growth accelerated to 4% year over year in the supplied analysis, AI PC penetration exceeded 30% of shipments, and management emphasized memory-cost pressure in the second half. The call also highlighted $2.2 billion of cumulative Future Ready savings, a new approximately $1 billion run-rate savings target, and a raised dividend.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained; management highlighted H2 margin pressure from memory costs and mitigation actions, while targeting approximately $1 billion of run-rate savings over three years.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue increased 4% year over year, extending the growth streak to six consecutive quarters.
  • AI PCs exceeded 30% of shipments, with management targeting 40%–50% penetration in FY26.
  • Memory-cost inflation is expected to pressure margins in the second half; mitigation actions are in place.
  • Future Ready has delivered $2.2 billion in cumulative gross annualized savings, while management targets approximately $1 billion of run-rate savings over three years.
  • Print remained soft, leaving pricing, elasticity and the durability of premium-PC share gains as key watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Embed AI across the product portfolio and launch AI-driven devices
  • Expand big-tank and industrial printing offerings
  • Scale the Workforce Experience Platform in key verticals
  • Continue cost mitigation and pursue approximately $1 billion of gross run-rate savings over three years
  • Use Investor Day to detail the AI transformation roadmap

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPQ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $14B Q1 '24 actual $13B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $13B Q2 '24 actual $13B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $13B Q3 '24 actual $14B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $14B Q3 '25 actual $14B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $14B Q4 '25 actual $15B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $14B Q1 '26 actual $14B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $14B Q2 '26 actual $14B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $14B Q3 '26 actual $16B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $15B Q1 '27 estimate $15B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish1630.8%
Neutral2853.8%
Bearish815.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$31.28Previous close
$17Low
$28.1Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 24, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $31.28. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$33$32.73 +5.5%Sep 10, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$23$29.63 -26.5%Aug 28, 2026
BernsteinMark Newman$32$30.52 +2.3%Aug 27, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$28$30.52 -10.5%Aug 27, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$32$29.15 +2.3%Aug 24, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

HP Inc. is a global technology company specializing in personal computing devices, imaging and printing solutions, and a variety of related technologies, software, and support services, serving clients both in the United States and worldwide. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers a broad array of computing hardware, including desktop and laptop personal computers for both business and individual consumers, along with specialized workstations, thin clients, commercial mobile devices, retail point-of-sale systems, displays, and various peripherals. This division also encompasses essential software, support, and associated services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T06:46:07.164280+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T06:46:07.161542+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.