HP Inc. · HPQ · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2025

HP’s PC-led growth held up, while print remained a watchpoint

The current analysis supports a resilient operating picture, but not a clean growth story: Personal Systems, AI PCs, the Windows 11 refresh and selected Print businesses are supporting demand, while modestly declining Print revenue, tariff exposure and margin questions remain material offsets.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $29.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.75 Consensus $0.74
EPS surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.93B Consensus $13.69B
Revenue surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.6% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.8% Up to 20 sessions
HPQSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter showed continued revenue growth led by Personal Systems, stronger emphasis on AI-PC and Windows 11 refresh demand, and maintained guidance rather than lowered guidance. Management also highlighted progress in manufacturing diversification and trade-cost mitigation, while Print revenue remained under pressure.

Guidance delta

Current guidance sentiment was maintained, versus lowered guidance in the prior-quarter analysis. Q4 guidance called for seasonal revenue growth, Personal Systems margins of 5%-7%, Print margins at the top of the 16%-19% range, and EPS of $0.87-$0.97.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue growth was led by Personal Systems, while Print revenue declined modestly.
  • AI PCs and the Windows 11 refresh were identified as important demand drivers.
  • Manufacturing diversification and pricing actions were described as mitigating trade-related costs.
  • Consumer subscriptions and industrial graphics were highlighted as growth areas within Print.
  • Cash generation supports cost savings, investment in AI and sustainability, and shareholder returns.

Management priorities

  • Expand the AI-PC portfolio and increase its mix beyond 25%
  • Roll out the workforce experience platform to more than 30 additional countries
  • Introduce Omnibook 5 and further AI-driven PC innovations
  • Scale AI tools in Print and expand subscription services
  • Continue sustainability initiatives and provide more detail at Investor Day

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPQ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $14B Q1 '24 actual $13B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $13B Q2 '24 actual $13B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $13B Q3 '24 actual $14B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $14B Q3 '25 actual $14B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $14B Q4 '25 actual $15B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $14B Q1 '26 actual $14B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $14B Q2 '26 actual $14B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $14B Q3 '26 actual $16B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $15B Q1 '27 estimate $15B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish1630.8%
Neutral2853.8%
Bearish815.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$32.12Current
$17Low
$28.1Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 24, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $32.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$33$32.73 +2.7%Sep 10, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$23$29.63 -28.4%Aug 28, 2026
BernsteinMark Newman$32$30.52 -0.4%Aug 27, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$28$30.52 -12.8%Aug 27, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$32$29.15 -0.4%Aug 24, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

HP Inc. is a global technology company specializing in personal computing devices, imaging and printing solutions, and a variety of related technologies, software, and support services, serving clients both in the United States and worldwide. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers a broad array of computing hardware, including desktop and laptop personal computers for both business and individual consumers, along with specialized workstations, thin clients, commercial mobile devices, retail point-of-sale systems, displays, and various peripherals. This division also encompasses essential software, support, and associated services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T14:40:46.327408+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T14:40:46.324535+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.