The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. · HIG · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

The Hartford: underwriting momentum, with reserve risks still in focus

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating view of The Hartford, led by pricing, underwriting execution, technology investment, and capital returns; reserve development and catastrophe exposure remain important tests of durability.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $35.96B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.68
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.96B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.4% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -1.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.4% Up to 20 sessions
HIGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis emphasizes continued commercial and personal-lines underwriting strength and maintained guidance, while highlighting a larger focus on general-liability reserves, catastrophe exposure, and A&E reserve development.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis does not identify a change to guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Commercial Lines and Small Commercial showed strong growth with sub-90 combined ratios, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Personal Lines underwriting improved, while Group Benefits and investment income supported profitability.
  • Reserve additions and catastrophe exposure remain the main offsets to the constructive operating picture.

Management priorities

  • Maintain disciplined underwriting and price-to-risk alignment.
  • Invest in technology and data-science platforms for Small Commercial and Middle Market.
  • Continue selective personal-lines growth, capital returns, and attention to investment yield.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HIG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.45 Q1 '24 actual $2.34, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2.24 Q2 '24 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.54 Q3 '24 actual $2.53, match Q2 '25 estimate $2.83 Q2 '25 actual $3.41, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.09 Q3 '25 actual $3.78, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.17 Q4 '25 actual $4.06, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.39 Q1 '26 actual $3.09, miss Q2 '26 estimate $3.16 Q2 '26 actual $3.42, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.23 Q4 '26 estimate $3.22 Q1 '27 estimate $3.43 Q2 '27 estimate $3.38
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish2252.4%
Neutral2047.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$131.12Current
$73Low
$131.76Average
$165High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $131.12. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$137$129.11 +4.5%Oct 12, 2026
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$146$138.15 +11.4%Jul 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$154$127.33 +17.5%Jun 5, 2026
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$154$127.33 +17.5%Jun 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$142$139.38 +8.3%Feb 3, 2026
See 39 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and financial services to individual and business customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Business Insurance, Personal Insurance, Property & Casualty Other Operations, Employee Benefits and Hartford Funds. The company offers insurance coverage, including workers’ compensation, property, automobile, general and professional liability, package business, umbrella, fidelity and surety, marine, livestock, accident, health, and reinsurance through regional offices, branches, sales and policyholder service centers, independent retail agents and brokers, wholesale agents, and reinsurance brokers. The company also provides automobiles, homeowners, and personal umbrella coverages. The Property & Casualty Other Operations segment offers coverage for asbestos and environmental exposures.…

Historical context

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Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-16T00:01:26.053560+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T15:00:43.627956+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T15:00:43.624818+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.