Guidewire Software, Inc. · GWRE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

Guidewire Q2 FY2026: Cloud demand and AI products strengthen outlook

Guidewire's Q2 evidence supports a constructive operating thesis: cloud modernization demand, strong retention, large insurer wins and early AI-product traction are supporting growth. The main tests are whether AI adoption scales, true-up revenue normalizes, and new products convert into durable ARR.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $12.93B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.17 Consensus $0.77
EPS surprise +51.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $359.1M Consensus $342.8M
Revenue surprise +4.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +5.0% Event window
SPY move -1.3% Same window
Abnormal move +6.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.5% Up to 20 sessions
GWRESPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Guidewire reported stronger evidence of product commercialization: PricingCenter closed its first deal, ProNavigator produced nine Q2 deals, and the company added large insurer wins including an $8 billion DWP Canadian insurer win and a multi-year Aviva UK migration. Management also highlighted 22% ARR growth, fully ramped ARR above $1.42 billion, gross margin expansion to 68%, retention above 99%, and raised full-year guidance.

Guidance delta

Full-year FY2026 ARR and revenue guidance was raised.

Key takeaways

  • ARR grew 22% year over year, with fully ramped ARR outpacing headline ARR.
  • Gross ARR retention remained above 99%, while large Tier 1 wins and longer contracts supported demand.
  • PricingCenter recorded its first deal, and ProNavigator launched with nine Q2 deals.
  • Management cited demand for cloud modernization and AI-driven products across multiple regions.

Management priorities

  • Scale PricingCenter sales and integrate it with PolicyCenter.
  • Advance ProNavigator across underwriting and claims workflows.
  • Expand Industry Intel analytics across more lines of business.
  • Develop agentic development tools and continue cloud migration with system integrators and AI model providers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GWRE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $231M Q3 '24 actual $241M, beat Q4 '24 estimate $284M Q4 '24 actual $292M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $286M Q3 '25 actual $294M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $338M Q4 '25 actual $357M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $317M Q1 '26 actual $333M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $343M Q2 '26 actual $359M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $356M Q3 '26 actual $373M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $403M Q4 '26 actual $411M, beat Q1 '27 estimate $376M Q2 '27 estimate $418M Q3 '27 estimate $438M Q4 '27 estimate $485M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy25 ratings
Bullish1872.0%
Neutral624.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$155.32Previous close
$95Low
$191.54Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $155.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$210$202.86 +35.2%Sep 4, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$220$202.86 +41.6%Sep 4, 2026
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$195$202.86 +25.5%Sep 4, 2026
BTIGAllan Verkhovski$230$201.09 +48.1%Sep 2, 2026
Robert W. BairdJoe Vruwink$235$205.85 +51.3%Aug 31, 2026
See 50 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Guidewire Software, Inc. is a global supplier of software solutions tailored for the property and casualty insurance industry. Its primary offering is Guidewire InsuranceSuite, a comprehensive platform that incorporates core applications like PolicyCenter, BillingCenter, and ClaimCenter. The company also furnishes Guidewire InsuranceNow, a cloud-native platform providing integrated policy, billing, and claims administration for insurers, alongside a self-managed version of the InsuranceSuite. Guidewire's product portfolio extends to specialized management tools, including Rating Management for accurate insurance product pricing, Reinsurance Management for executing rules-based reinsurance strategies throughout underwriting and claims processes, Client Data Management for effective utilization of customer information, and Product Content Management, which provides software tools and standardized templates to streamline the introduction and modification of insurance products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T09:16:16.765953+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T09:16:16.762988+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.