Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. · GLPI · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

GLPI Maintains AFFO Outlook as Development Spending Rises

The quarter’s evidence supports a measured growth case for GLPI: management cited mid- to high-single-digit AFFO growth, rent coverage above 1.8x, and cash-rent contributions from acquisitions and development. The thesis remains conditional on project execution, tenant and lease health, and the economics of a larger development program.

Reported After market closeNASDAQReal Estate $11.34B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.82 Consensus $0.77
EPS surprise +7.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $420.0M Consensus $413.0M
Revenue surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.0% Up to 20 sessions
GLPISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reported mid- to high-single-digit AFFO and AFFO-per-share growth, maintained full-year AFFO guidance, and raised development-spending guidance as the Chicago project accelerated. The call also highlighted the Bally’s Lincoln acquisition and the planned Penn Aurora acquisition.

Guidance delta

Full-year AFFO guidance was maintained at $1.212–$1.223 billion. Development-spending guidance increased to $750–$800 million, with management attributing the higher spend to an accelerated Chicago project cadence.

Key takeaways

  • AFFO and AFFO per share grew in the mid- to high-single-digit range; rent coverage was above 1.8x.
  • Management maintained full-year AFFO guidance while increasing development-spending guidance to $750–$800 million.
  • Acquisitions, lease escalations, and phased development were identified as sources of cash-rent growth.

Management priorities

  • Deploy capital across acquisitions and development projects.
  • Advance the Chicago development, with opening targeted for the first half of 2027.
  • Fund and progress the Cordish Virginia and other pipeline developments.
  • Continue evaluating tribal investment opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GLPI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.73 Q2 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.75 Q3 '24 actual $0.67, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.96 Q2 '25 actual $0.96, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.96 Q3 '25 actual $0.97, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.76 Q4 '25 actual $0.95, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.77 Q1 '26 actual $0.82, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.80 Q2 '26 actual $0.80, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.80 Q3 '26 actual $0.71, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.83 Q1 '27 estimate $0.81 Q2 '27 estimate $0.83 Q3 '27 estimate $0.84
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1866.7%
Neutral725.9%
Bearish27.4%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$38.98Current
$43Low
$50.97Average
$57High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainOct 2, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 24, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 10, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 31, 2026
Citizens Capital Markets Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainApr 1, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainDec 18, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeNov 20, 2024
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeAug 23, 2024
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 21, 2024
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 17, 2024
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeMar 9, 2023
B of A Securities Underperform BuyDowngradeJan 10, 2022
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeNov 2, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2020
Nomura Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 25, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy HoldUpgradeApr 15, 2019
Bank of America Underperform UnderperformMaintainApr 17, 2018
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 9, 2015
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 29, 2014
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $38.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialBarry Jonas$55$39.26 +41.1%Oct 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$44$38.82 +12.9%Oct 20, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$43$38.48 +10.3%Sep 24, 2026
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$49$40.15 +25.7%Sep 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$50$40.35 +28.3%Sep 17, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$48$41.8 +23.1%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$43$42.07 +10.3%Sep 1, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$50$43.31 +28.3%Aug 13, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$47$43.4 +20.6%Aug 13, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$52$44.44 +33.4%Aug 3, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$49$44.71 +25.7%Jul 31, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$50$44.51 +28.3%Jul 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$45$43.84 +15.4%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$55$43.61 +41.1%Jul 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$49$45.12 +25.7%Jun 18, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$52$48.03 +33.4%May 12, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$50$47.39 +28.3%Apr 24, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$53$48.95 +36.0%Mar 9, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$48.5$46.85 +24.4%Feb 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$53$46.24 +36.0%Feb 12, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$48$44.79 +23.1%Feb 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$53$44.71 +36.0%Dec 24, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$50$44.25 +28.3%Dec 17, 2025
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$47.75$44.02 +22.5%Dec 15, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$52$43.26 +33.4%Dec 3, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$49$45.1 +25.7%Nov 6, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$54$44.83 +38.5%Oct 20, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$51$46.61 +30.8%Oct 1, 2025
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$55$47.76 +41.1%Apr 28, 2025
JMP SecuritiesMitch Germain$55$50.49 +41.1%Oct 29, 2024
Wolfe ResearchAndrew Rosivach$57$50.71 +46.2%Aug 22, 2024
Truist FinancialBarry Jonas$60$49.45 +53.9%Jul 26, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$51$45.68 +30.8%May 17, 2024
Raymond JamesRJ Milligan$54$45.83 +38.5%Dec 8, 2021
CBREJohn DeCree$55$45.24 +41.1%Dec 7, 2021
JefferiesDavid Katz$57$44.86 +46.2%Dec 6, 2021
UBSRobin M. Farley$54$45.7 +38.5%Aug 4, 2021
KeyBancTodd Thomas$52$45.08 +33.4%Jun 7, 2021
Ladenburg Thalmann & Co.John Massocca$52.5$43.34 +34.7%May 27, 2021
CitigroupSmedes Rose$50$43.29 +28.3%Apr 21, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. is engaged in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements, pursuant to which the tenant is responsible for all facility maintenance, insurance required in connection with the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties, taxes levied on or with respect to the leased properties and all utilities and other services necessary or appropriate for the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties. Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 2013, Pennsylvania, USA.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T20:30:46.838365+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T20:30:46.835652+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.