Graco Inc. · GGG · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Graco: Contractor Strength Offsets Industrial Weakness, Guidance Cut

The quarter provides mixed evidence for a durable growth case: new products, Contractor momentum and pricing supported earnings and margins, but weakness in Industrial and Process—especially in Asia Pacific—prompted a full-year guidance reduction.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $10.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.76 Consensus $0.76
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $553.2M Consensus $562.3M
Revenue surprise -1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.3% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.6% Up to 20 sessions
GGGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Contractor momentum continued, but Industrial and Process weakness broadened the pressure enough for management to lower full-year revenue guidance. Management also identified additional second-half launches and a larger strategic-acquisition pipeline.

Guidance delta

Full-year revenue guidance was lowered to a low single-digit organic decline from the prior quarter's reaffirmed low single-digit organic growth guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales fell 1% year over year, while adjusted earnings rose 3% and gross margin improved.
  • Contractor sales grew 6%, supported by new products and North American demand, with a 31% operating margin.
  • Industrial and Process weakened, particularly in Asia Pacific and China.
  • Management cited additional second-half product launches and an M&A pipeline of more than 100 potential targets.

Management priorities

  • Launch additional products in the second half, including Fusion Air Gun and plural component machines.
  • Continue investment in growth initiatives and facility expansions.
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions from the identified pipeline.
  • Expand channel partners and home-center sales.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GGG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $536M Q1 '24 actual $492M, miss Q2 '24 estimate $562M Q2 '24 actual $553M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $562M Q3 '24 actual $519M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $591M Q2 '25 actual $572M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $562M Q3 '25 actual $543M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $590M Q4 '25 actual $593M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $561M Q1 '26 actual $540M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $608M Q2 '26 actual $591M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $587M Q4 '26 estimate $644M Q1 '27 estimate $583M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold21 ratings
Bullish733.3%
Neutral1466.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$66.65Current
$77Low
$87Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 9, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 24, 2026
Show 16 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $66.65. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalJeffrey Reive$82$66.83 +23.0%Oct 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$80$69.28 +20.0%Oct 23, 2026
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$96$79.58 +44.0%Jul 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$94$77.75 +41.0%Jul 24, 2026
RBC CapitalDeane Dray$92$75.5 +38.0%Jul 16, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Graco Inc., a Minneapolis, Minnesota-based company established in 1926, specializes globally in the engineering, production, and distribution of sophisticated systems and apparatus. These solutions are designed for the precise handling, measurement, regulation, discharge, and application of diverse fluid and powder materials worldwide. Within its Industrial segment, Graco provides specialized proportioning systems for applying polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings. This division also supplies machinery for the precise pumping, metering, mixing, and dispensing of sealants, adhesives, and composite materials. Further offerings include gel-coat equipment, chop and wet-out systems, resin transfer molding solutions, various applicators, and advanced precision dispensing tools. The segment's portfolio also encompasses liquid finishing equipment, paint circulation and supply pumps, sophisticated paint circulating control systems, and plural component coating proportioners.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T13:20:41.473900+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T13:20:41.471116+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.