TechnipFMC plc · FTI · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

TechnipFMC Q1: Subsea Momentum Offsets Surface Weakness

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis for TechnipFMC: strong Subsea demand, a growing opportunity list, and expanding Subsea 2.0 and iEPCI adoption provide evidence for continued earnings growth. The counterevidence is the 12% quarter-over-quarter decline in Surface Technologies revenue, geopolitical exposure, and execution risk around capacity and industrialization.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $26.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.64 Consensus $0.56
EPS surprise +13.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.49B Consensus $2.52B
Revenue surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.8% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move -2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.5% Up to 20 sessions
FTISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Subsea opportunity value increased to $30 billion over the next 24 months, while Subsea 2.0 is expected to represent just over half of revenue by 2027. Surface Technologies was weaker because of Middle East scheduling, although North American completion activity provided a partial offset.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and expressed confidence in exceeding $2.1 billion of total 2026 EBITDA. Subsea Q2 EBITDA margin was projected at 23%, while the company continued targeting at least $10 billion of annual Subsea orders.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue was $2.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA was $453 million, and free cash flow was $277 million.
  • Subsea orders totaled $1.9 billion, with the company on track for a $10 billion annual Subsea order book.
  • The Subsea opportunity list reached $30 billion over the next 24 months, its seventh consecutive quarterly increase.
  • Subsea 2.0 and iEPCI remain central to cycle-time reduction and margin expansion.
  • Surface Technologies revenue declined 12% quarter over quarter because of Middle East scheduling, partly offset by higher North American completion activity.

Management priorities

  • Scale Subsea 2.0 and iEPCI adoption.
  • Continue SURF 2.0 industrialization and improve efficiency.
  • Expand flexible-pipe capacity without new capital projects.
  • Advance HISEP CO2 transport and storage initiatives.
  • Maintain capital spending around 3% of revenue and return at least 70% of free cash flow to shareholders.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FTI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.31 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.39 Q3 '24 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.65 Q3 '25 actual $0.75, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.52 Q4 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.56 Q1 '26 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.80 Q2 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q3 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $0.78 Q2 '27 estimate $1.01 Q3 '27 estimate $1.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy50 ratings
Bullish3264.0%
Neutral1836.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$68.77Current
$8.5Low
$48.87Average
$89High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 8, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 1, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 1, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 15, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 15, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 23, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 20, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJan 7, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainNov 3, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2025
BTIG Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 14, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2024
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2024
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeNov 6, 2023
Kepler Cheuvreux Hold BuyDowngradeAug 1, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 24, 2023
Societe Generale Hold BuyDowngradeNov 15, 2021
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 16, 2021
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 18, 2021
Berenberg Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 1, 2021
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 27, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2020
Bernstein Outperform UnderperformUpgradeApr 6, 2020
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2019
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 14, 2018
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 29, 2018
Gabelli & Co. Buy HoldUpgradeOct 20, 2017
Griffin Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 23, 2016
Capital One Financial Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeAug 25, 2016
Capital One Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeAug 25, 2016
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 7, 2016
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 22, 2016
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainJan 12, 2016
KLR Group Buy BuyMaintainDec 14, 2015
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 30, 2015
FBR Capital Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeJul 23, 2015
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2015
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeApr 13, 2015
William Blair Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 10, 2014
Clarksons Platou Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2013
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 17, 2013
Dahlman Rose Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 22, 2013
Global Hunter Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 14, 2013
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 8, 2013
Scotia Howard Weil Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainJan 7, 2013
Lazard Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2012
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainJul 26, 2012
Pritchard Capital Partners Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $68.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$86$69.5 +25.1%Oct 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$89$69.75 +29.4%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$80$67.94 +16.3%Jun 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$83$75.37 +20.7%May 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$70$75.57 +1.8%May 1, 2026
Piper SandlerDerek Podhaizer$80$72 +16.3%Apr 15, 2026
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$67$64.6 -2.6%Feb 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$71$62.43 +3.2%Feb 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$70$61.76 +1.8%Feb 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$69$61.76 +0.3%Feb 20, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$62$61.76 -9.8%Feb 20, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$56$49.64 -18.6%Jan 7, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$52$44.38 -24.4%Dec 18, 2025
JefferiesMark Wilson$50$41.35 -27.3%Nov 3, 2025
RBC CapitalVictoria McCulloch$47$41.46 -31.7%Oct 28, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$47$41.14 -31.7%Oct 28, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$53$40.54 -22.9%Oct 27, 2025
Piper SandlerDerek Podhaizer$49$40.92 -28.7%Oct 24, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$48$36 -30.2%Oct 14, 2025
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$47$36.9 -31.7%Oct 10, 2025
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$45$36.45 -34.6%Jul 25, 2025
BernsteinNicholas Green$32$29.69 -53.5%May 23, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$43$28.2 -37.5%Mar 3, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$41$29.44 -40.4%Feb 28, 2025
BarclaysDavid Anderson$42$28.85 -38.9%Dec 18, 2024
Goldman SachsAti Modak$38$30.88 -44.7%Dec 12, 2024
RBC CapitalVictoria McCulloch$37$25.98 -46.2%Nov 18, 2024
HSBCAbhishek Kumar$32$26.04 -53.5%Oct 29, 2024
BTIGGreg Lewis$33$25.86 -52.0%Oct 24, 2024
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$33$27.09 -52.0%Oct 10, 2024
CitigroupScott Gruber$34$29.35 -50.6%Jul 30, 2024
Piper SandlerLuke Lemoine$34$25.96 -50.6%May 6, 2024
BTIGGreg Lewis$30$26.9 -56.4%Apr 25, 2024
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$10$7.24 -85.5%Jul 22, 2021
UBSAmy Wong$8.75$7.4 -87.3%Apr 30, 2021
Morgan StanleySasikanth Chilukuru$8.5$7.27 -87.6%Apr 16, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TechnipFMC plc is a global technology and services provider primarily focused on the energy industry, operating across Europe, Central Asia, North and Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The company's Subsea division delivers comprehensive, end-to-end solutions for deepwater oil and gas production and transportation. This includes the full lifecycle from design, engineering, procurement, manufacturing, and fabrication to installation and ongoing field support for subsea systems, infrastructure, and pipelines. Key offerings include advanced subsea production and processing systems, umbilical, riser, and flowline solutions, specialized vessels, and the digital platform "Subsea Studio," which optimizes the development and operation of subsea fields. Additionally, this segment provides well and asset services, alongside research, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T12:50:45.616729+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T12:50:45.613729+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.