TechnipFMC plc · FTI · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
TechnipFMC Q1: Subsea Momentum Offsets Surface Weakness
The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis for TechnipFMC: strong Subsea demand, a growing opportunity list, and expanding Subsea 2.0 and iEPCI adoption provide evidence for continued earnings growth. The counterevidence is the 12% quarter-over-quarter decline in Surface Technologies revenue, geopolitical exposure, and execution risk around capacity and industrialization.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Subsea opportunity value increased to $30 billion over the next 24 months, while Subsea 2.0 is expected to represent just over half of revenue by 2027. Surface Technologies was weaker because of Middle East scheduling, although North American completion activity provided a partial offset.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its outlook and expressed confidence in exceeding $2.1 billion of total 2026 EBITDA. Subsea Q2 EBITDA margin was projected at 23%, while the company continued targeting at least $10 billion of annual Subsea orders.
Key takeaways
- Q1 revenue was $2.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA was $453 million, and free cash flow was $277 million.
- Subsea orders totaled $1.9 billion, with the company on track for a $10 billion annual Subsea order book.
- The Subsea opportunity list reached $30 billion over the next 24 months, its seventh consecutive quarterly increase.
- Subsea 2.0 and iEPCI remain central to cycle-time reduction and margin expansion.
- Surface Technologies revenue declined 12% quarter over quarter because of Middle East scheduling, partly offset by higher North American completion activity.
Management priorities
- Scale Subsea 2.0 and iEPCI adoption.
- Continue SURF 2.0 industrialization and improve efficiency.
- Expand flexible-pipe capacity without new capital projects.
- Advance HISEP CO2 transport and storage initiatives.
- Maintain capital spending around 3% of revenue and return at least 70% of free cash flow to shareholders.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 15, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 1, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 15, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Feb 23, 2026 |
| HSBC | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 20, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 3, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2025 |
| BTIG | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 14, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 26, 2024 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 6, 2023 |
| Kepler Cheuvreux | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 1, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 24, 2023 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 15, 2021 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Apr 16, 2021 |
| UBS | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 18, 2021 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 1, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 27, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 23, 2020 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 6, 2020 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 20, 2019 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 14, 2018 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 29, 2018 |
| Gabelli & Co. | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 20, 2017 |
| Griffin Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 23, 2016 |
| Capital One Financial | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Aug 25, 2016 |
| Capital One | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Aug 25, 2016 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 7, 2016 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 22, 2016 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Perform | Maintain | Jan 12, 2016 |
| KLR Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 14, 2015 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 30, 2015 |
| FBR Capital | Market Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Jul 23, 2015 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 22, 2015 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Apr 13, 2015 |
| William Blair | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 10, 2014 |
| Clarksons Platou | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 7, 2013 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 17, 2013 |
| Dahlman Rose | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 22, 2013 |
| Global Hunter Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 14, 2013 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 8, 2013 |
| Scotia Howard Weil | Outperform | Sector Outperform | Maintain | Jan 7, 2013 |
| Lazard | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 28, 2012 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 26, 2012 |
| Pritchard Capital Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 26, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $68.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $69.5 | +25.1% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $89 | $69.75 | +29.4% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $67.94 | +16.3% | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $83 | $75.37 | +20.7% | May 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $75.57 | +1.8% | May 1, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Derek Podhaizer | $80 | $72 | +16.3% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Phillip Jungwirth | $67 | $64.6 | -2.6% | Feb 23, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $71 | $62.43 | +3.2% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $61.76 | +1.8% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $69 | $61.76 | +0.3% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| HSBC | Analyst unavailable | $62 | $61.76 | -9.8% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $56 | $49.64 | -18.6% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $52 | $44.38 | -24.4% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Mark Wilson | $50 | $41.35 | -27.3% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Victoria McCulloch | $47 | $41.46 | -31.7% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $47 | $41.14 | -31.7% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $53 | $40.54 | -22.9% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Derek Podhaizer | $49 | $40.92 | -28.7% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $48 | $36 | -30.2% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $47 | $36.9 | -31.7% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $45 | $36.45 | -34.6% | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Nicholas Green | $32 | $29.69 | -53.5% | May 23, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $28.2 | -37.5% | Mar 3, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $41 | $29.44 | -40.4% | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Barclays | David Anderson | $42 | $28.85 | -38.9% | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Ati Modak | $38 | $30.88 | -44.7% | Dec 12, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Victoria McCulloch | $37 | $25.98 | -46.2% | Nov 18, 2024 |
| HSBC | Abhishek Kumar | $32 | $26.04 | -53.5% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| BTIG | Greg Lewis | $33 | $25.86 | -52.0% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Phillip Jungwirth | $33 | $27.09 | -52.0% | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Scott Gruber | $34 | $29.35 | -50.6% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Luke Lemoine | $34 | $25.96 | -50.6% | May 6, 2024 |
| BTIG | Greg Lewis | $30 | $26.9 | -56.4% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Phillip Jungwirth | $10 | $7.24 | -85.5% | Jul 22, 2021 |
| UBS | Amy Wong | $8.75 | $7.4 | -87.3% | Apr 30, 2021 |
| Morgan Stanley | Sasikanth Chilukuru | $8.5 | $7.27 | -87.6% | Apr 16, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationTechnipFMC plc is a global technology and services provider primarily focused on the energy industry, operating across Europe, Central Asia, North and Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The company's Subsea division delivers comprehensive, end-to-end solutions for deepwater oil and gas production and transportation. This includes the full lifecycle from design, engineering, procurement, manufacturing, and fabrication to installation and ongoing field support for subsea systems, infrastructure, and pipelines. Key offerings include advanced subsea production and processing systems, umbilical, riser, and flowline solutions, specialized vessels, and the digital platform "Subsea Studio," which optimizes the development and operation of subsea fields. Additionally, this segment provides well and asset services, alongside research, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain management.…
Historical context
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| BP BP p.l.c. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +22.6% | +0.1% | BP Q3: Strong profit, lower debt, safety risks persist |
| FSLR First Solar, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +13.5% | -1.4% | First Solar: Margin gains offset lower volume outlook |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CHDFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+2.2% EPS+1.2% move
- AZNFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+7.3% EPS+7.0% move
- FRTFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+3.9% EPS-1.1% move
- CVXFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+8.4% EPS+1.8% move
- BTSGFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+14.2% EPS+11.1% move
- EXCFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026+10.4% EPS+0.5% move
Missed on EPS
- GLPIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-11.5% EPS-1.3% move
- LYBFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-1.2% EPS+5.0% move
- CCJFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-101.4% EPS-7.9% move
- VALEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-24.6% EPS+1.9% move
- DLR-PLFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
- DLR-PKFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-8.4% EPS— move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T12:50:45.616729+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T12:50:45.613729+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.