TechnipFMC plc · FTI · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

TechnipFMC enters 2026 with raised Subsea outlook and execution questions

Management described a stronger 2026 Subsea outlook, supported by iEPCI and Subsea 2.0 adoption, a sizable backlog, and a capital-light operating approach. The thesis depends on converting demand into profitable execution; capacity, standardization and services-growth questions remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $26.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.70 Consensus $0.52
EPS surprise +35.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.52B Consensus $2.54B
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
FTISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter discussion, the current analysis emphasizes the completed 2025 performance and raised 2026 outlook, alongside the scale and composition of the Subsea backlog. Management also highlighted broad adoption of configure-to-order offerings, while questions around implementation capacity and margin expansion remain unresolved.

Guidance delta

Management raised its 2026 outlook, including Subsea revenue and margin expectations and total-company adjusted EBITDA guidance. The transcript analysis also describes a roughly $2 billion Subsea Services revenue expectation; execution against these objectives remains to be demonstrated.

Key takeaways

  • Management tied growth and margin improvement to iEPCI and Subsea 2.0 adoption.
  • A high-quality Subsea backlog and continued inbound support the stated 2026 outlook.
  • The capital-light approach and planned cash returns remain part of management’s framework.
  • Reported quarter results showed EPS above consensus while revenue was slightly below consensus.

Management priorities

  • Broaden configure-to-order offerings across product platforms.
  • Industrialize and simplify operations, including SURF processes.
  • Expand iEPCI and Subsea 2.0 adoption across basins and greenfield projects.
  • Grow Subsea Services while maintaining disciplined capital expenditure and cash returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FTI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.31 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.39 Q3 '24 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.65 Q3 '25 actual $0.75, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.52 Q4 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.56 Q1 '26 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.80 Q2 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q3 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $0.78 Q2 '27 estimate $1.01 Q3 '27 estimate $1.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy50 ratings
Bullish3264.0%
Neutral1836.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$68.77Previous close
$8.5Low
$48.87Average
$89High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 8, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 1, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 1, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 15, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 15, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 23, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 20, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJan 7, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainNov 3, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2025
BTIG Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 14, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2024
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2024
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeNov 6, 2023
Kepler Cheuvreux Hold BuyDowngradeAug 1, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 24, 2023
Societe Generale Hold BuyDowngradeNov 15, 2021
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 16, 2021
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 18, 2021
Berenberg Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 1, 2021
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 27, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2020
Bernstein Outperform UnderperformUpgradeApr 6, 2020
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2019
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 14, 2018
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 29, 2018
Gabelli & Co. Buy HoldUpgradeOct 20, 2017
Griffin Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 23, 2016
Capital One Financial Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeAug 25, 2016
Capital One Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeAug 25, 2016
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 7, 2016
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 22, 2016
Oppenheimer Perform PerformMaintainJan 12, 2016
KLR Group Buy BuyMaintainDec 14, 2015
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 30, 2015
FBR Capital Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeJul 23, 2015
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2015
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeApr 13, 2015
William Blair Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 10, 2014
Clarksons Platou Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 7, 2013
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 17, 2013
Dahlman Rose Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 22, 2013
Global Hunter Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 14, 2013
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 8, 2013
Scotia Howard Weil Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainJan 7, 2013
Lazard Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2012
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainJul 26, 2012
Pritchard Capital Partners Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $68.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$86$69.5 +25.1%Oct 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$89$69.75 +29.4%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$80$67.94 +16.3%Jun 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$83$75.37 +20.7%May 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$70$75.57 +1.8%May 1, 2026
Piper SandlerDerek Podhaizer$80$72 +16.3%Apr 15, 2026
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$67$64.6 -2.6%Feb 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$71$62.43 +3.2%Feb 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$70$61.76 +1.8%Feb 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$69$61.76 +0.3%Feb 20, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$62$61.76 -9.8%Feb 20, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$56$49.64 -18.6%Jan 7, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$52$44.38 -24.4%Dec 18, 2025
JefferiesMark Wilson$50$41.35 -27.3%Nov 3, 2025
RBC CapitalVictoria McCulloch$47$41.46 -31.7%Oct 28, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$47$41.14 -31.7%Oct 28, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$53$40.54 -22.9%Oct 27, 2025
Piper SandlerDerek Podhaizer$49$40.92 -28.7%Oct 24, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$48$36 -30.2%Oct 14, 2025
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$47$36.9 -31.7%Oct 10, 2025
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$45$36.45 -34.6%Jul 25, 2025
BernsteinNicholas Green$32$29.69 -53.5%May 23, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$43$28.2 -37.5%Mar 3, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$41$29.44 -40.4%Feb 28, 2025
BarclaysDavid Anderson$42$28.85 -38.9%Dec 18, 2024
Goldman SachsAti Modak$38$30.88 -44.7%Dec 12, 2024
RBC CapitalVictoria McCulloch$37$25.98 -46.2%Nov 18, 2024
HSBCAbhishek Kumar$32$26.04 -53.5%Oct 29, 2024
BTIGGreg Lewis$33$25.86 -52.0%Oct 24, 2024
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$33$27.09 -52.0%Oct 10, 2024
CitigroupScott Gruber$34$29.35 -50.6%Jul 30, 2024
Piper SandlerLuke Lemoine$34$25.96 -50.6%May 6, 2024
BTIGGreg Lewis$30$26.9 -56.4%Apr 25, 2024
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$10$7.24 -85.5%Jul 22, 2021
UBSAmy Wong$8.75$7.4 -87.3%Apr 30, 2021
Morgan StanleySasikanth Chilukuru$8.5$7.27 -87.6%Apr 16, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TechnipFMC plc is a global technology and services provider primarily focused on the energy industry, operating across Europe, Central Asia, North and Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The company's Subsea division delivers comprehensive, end-to-end solutions for deepwater oil and gas production and transportation. This includes the full lifecycle from design, engineering, procurement, manufacturing, and fabrication to installation and ongoing field support for subsea systems, infrastructure, and pipelines. Key offerings include advanced subsea production and processing systems, umbilical, riser, and flowline solutions, specialized vessels, and the digital platform "Subsea Studio," which optimizes the development and operation of subsea fields. Additionally, this segment provides well and asset services, alongside research, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T11:20:42.373085+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T11:20:42.370072+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.