Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy32 ratings
Bullish1753.1%
Neutral1443.8%
Bearish13.1%
Federal Realty Investment Trust · FRT · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
Federal Realty: Record Leasing Supports Higher 2025 FFO Outlook
The current analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: leasing productivity, occupancy gains, rent bumps and mixed-use development are supporting growth. The evidence is balanced by acquisition discipline, construction costs, tenant credit and execution risks.
Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate
$9.24B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $1.74
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $311.5M
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
-6.1%
Event window
SPY move
-0.0%
Same window
Abnormal move
-6.1%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
2.5×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-6.8%
Up to 20 sessions
FRTSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about FRT FY2024 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove FRT's -6.1% move after FY2024 Q4 earnings?What changed in FRT's guidance and outlook in FY2024 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for FRT after FY2024 Q4 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The analysis describes a stronger operating position than the prior quarter, with occupancy at a decade-high 96.2% lease basis and 94.1% occupied basis, alongside a raised 2025 FFO outlook. The emphasis remains on acquisitions, redevelopment and residential-over-retail projects.
Guidance delta
Management raised 2025 FFO guidance to $7.10-$7.22 per share; the analysis cites 5%-6% growth despite a modest capital-interest timing drag.
Key takeaways
- Record leasing and occupancy gains were the main operating supports.
- Management highlighted a development pipeline and active acquisition program.
- Balance-sheet flexibility and lower leverage support continued investment, while execution risks remain.
Management priorities
- Advance residential-over-retail and shopping-center redevelopment projects
- Pursue identified retail acquisitions and close the Northern California transaction
- Fund 2025 redevelopment and expansion spending with balance-sheet flexibility
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
$105.08Current
$105Low
$123.32Average
$149High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Outperform | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 23, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 22, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 9, 2023 |
| Compass Point | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 30, 2023 |
| Capital One | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Feb 9, 2022 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Dec 1, 2021 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 21, 2020 |
| Odeon Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 8, 2020 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 24, 2019 |
| Sandler O'Neill | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 1, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 13, 2018 |
| DA Davidson | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 25, 2018 |
| Boenning & Scattergood | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Oct 3, 2016 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 25, 2016 |
| RBC Capital | Underperform | Sector Perform | Downgrade | May 6, 2016 |
| ISI Group | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 9, 2014 |
| Imperial Capital | In Line | In Line | Maintain | May 12, 2014 |
| McNicoll Lewis Vlak | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 18, 2013 |
| Evercore Partners | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Mar 27, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $105.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $131 | $106.16 | +24.7% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $105.44 | +9.4% | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $126 | $106.69 | +19.9% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Linda Tsai | $116 | $108.03 | +10.4% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $118 | $110.52 | +12.3% | Sep 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $117 | $109.39 | +11.3% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $123 | $110.64 | +17.1% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $126 | $112.09 | +19.9% | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $123 | $118.39 | +17.1% | Aug 17, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $134 | $125.05 | +27.5% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $149 | $125.59 | +41.8% | Jul 21, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $127 | $120.43 | +20.9% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $143 | $121.68 | +36.1% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $122 | $122.61 | +16.1% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $125.02 | +28.5% | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $118 | $123.3 | +12.3% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $119.63 | +23.7% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $119.63 | +23.7% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Omotayo Okusanya | $135 | $121.02 | +28.5% | May 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $120 | $120.16 | +14.2% | May 27, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $129 | $119.75 | +22.8% | May 26, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $128 | $114.71 | +21.8% | May 19, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $118 | $114.6 | +12.3% | May 18, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $116 | $115.42 | +10.4% | May 12, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $115.02 | +4.7% | May 4, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $107 | $104.8 | +1.8% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $127 | $104.8 | +20.9% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $111 | $104.75 | +5.6% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $113 | $101.68 | +7.5% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $107 | $101.5 | +1.8% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $102.8 | -0.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $109.5 | $102.12 | +4.2% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Linda Tsai | $115 | $100.89 | +9.4% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $109 | $98.32 | +3.7% | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $96.19 | -0.1% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $104.5 | $96.68 | -0.6% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $106 | $98.03 | +0.9% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $98.74 | -0.1% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $114 | $99.11 | +8.5% | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Barclays | Richard Hightower | $106 | $94.92 | +0.9% | Jul 2, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Juan Sanabria | $110 | $92.56 | +4.7% | May 26, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Dori Kesten | $113 | $97.51 | +7.5% | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $117 | $104.71 | +11.3% | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Nicholas Joseph | $135 | $116.26 | +28.5% | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Michael Bilerman | $120 | $114.42 | +14.2% | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $114.5 | $112.72 | +9.0% | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $135 | $112.68 | +28.5% | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Simon Yarmak | $88 | $100.97 | -16.3% | Jun 28, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $115 | $101.01 | +9.4% | May 21, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Omotayo Okusanya | $110 | $101.14 | +4.7% | Apr 22, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $117 | $101.9 | +11.3% | Jan 16, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $111 | $96.35 | +5.6% | Jun 29, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $104.41 | +14.2% | Jan 4, 2023 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $112 | $108.78 | +6.6% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $129 | $107.01 | +22.8% | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Collin Mings | $140 | $111.78 | +33.2% | May 12, 2022 |
| Barclays | Anthony Powell | $142 | $126.78 | +35.1% | Nov 17, 2021 |
| Compass Point | Floris van Dijkum | $122 | $115.26 | +16.1% | Aug 16, 2021 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $122 | $117.98 | +16.1% | Aug 5, 2021 |
| Jefferies | Linda Tsai | $119 | $114.45 | +13.2% | Jul 15, 2021 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $131 | $114.2 | +24.7% | Jun 28, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Alexander Goldfarb | $125 | $110.03 | +19.0% | May 6, 2021 |
Track every rating change on FRT the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationFederal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) stands out as a premier entity specializing in the acquisition, management, and redevelopment of high-quality retail properties. These assets are strategically situated primarily in prominent coastal metropolitan areas, spanning the Eastern Seaboard from Washington D.C. to Boston, and extending to key West Coast cities such as San Francisco and Los Angeles. Established in 1962, Federal Realty's core objective is to generate enduring, consistent growth by concentrating investments in communities where consumer demand for retail offerings significantly surpasses existing supply.…
Historical context
All FRT earningsReal Estate peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +105.9% | -2.7% | Prologis raises guidance as logistics and data-center demand stays strong |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
Missed on EPS
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-30T00:03:07.291072+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T20:00:42.468202+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T20:00:42.465159+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.