Fox Corporation · FOX · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2025

Fox: Record advertising and Tubi growth support digital expansion

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong live-sports and news advertising, Tubi growth and the planned Fox One launch strengthen Fox's digital expansion case, while margin, regulatory and competitive risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNASDAQCommunication Services $24.51B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.92
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.3% Event window
SPY move +3.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.3% Up to 20 sessions
FOXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied transcript analysis emphasized a record Super Bowl advertising haul, stronger Tubi growth, the earlier Fox One launch timing and a FanDuel option valued at roughly $2.8 billion in intrinsic value with a 2030 exercise deadline.

Guidance delta

No new guidance or change to guidance was provided in the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record advertising and free cash flow, supported by live sports and news.
  • Tubi delivered 35% revenue growth, driven by higher viewership and ad fill rates.
  • Fox News posted unprecedented ratings and attracted more than 200 new advertisers after the election.
  • Fox One is planned before the upcoming football season to target cord-never viewers.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Fox One before the football season.
  • Continue investing in Tubi to drive profitability.
  • Complete state-by-state licensing for the FanDuel option.
  • Balance share buybacks with strategic growth investments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FOX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.96 Q3 '24 actual $1.09, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.82 Q4 '24 actual $0.90, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.10 Q1 '25 actual $1.45, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.99 Q4 '25 actual $1.27, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.06 Q1 '26 actual $1.51, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.51 Q2 '26 actual $0.82, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.99 Q3 '26 actual $1.32, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.44 Q4 '26 actual $1.79, beat Q1 '27 estimate $2.06 Q2 '27 estimate $1.15 Q3 '27 estimate $1.59
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold42 ratings
Bullish1842.9%
Neutral2047.6%
Bearish49.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$55.89Current
$36Low
$71.75Average
$97High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 14, 2026
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 7, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform BuyDowngradeFeb 25, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 8, 2023
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2023
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $55.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Fox AdvisorsAnalyst unavailable$95$58.45 +70.0%Sep 14, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$93$60.39 +66.4%Aug 20, 2026
Wells FargoSteven Cahall$80$58.1 +43.1%Aug 14, 2026
Redburn PartnersHamilton Faber$71$48.44 +27.0%Jul 10, 2026
GuggenheimMichael Morris$85$64.65 +52.1%Dec 22, 2025
See 9 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fox Corporation is a prominent media conglomerate primarily focused on news, sports, and entertainment operations within the United States. Its business is structured across three main divisions: Cable Network Programming; Television; and a segment encompassing Other, Corporate, and Eliminations. The Cable Network Programming division is responsible for creating and licensing news, business news, and sports content. This content is then disseminated across the U.S. through both traditional and virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (MVPDs), as well as various other digital platforms. This segment's extensive portfolio includes well-known national cable channels such as FOX News (for general news) and FOX Business (for financial news), multi-sport networks FS1 and FS2, FOX Sports Racing (dedicated to motorsports), FOX Soccer Plus (featuring live soccer and rugby), FOX Deportes (a Spanish-language sports service), and the Big Ten Network.…

Historical context

All FOX earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-28T00:03:27.953406+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T04:10:42.724701+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T04:10:42.722135+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.