Flex Ltd. · FLEX · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026

Flex posts record Q4 as AI infrastructure drives growth and SpinCo takes shape

Flex's Q4 results support a constructive growth case centered on AI data-center power and thermal infrastructure, but the thesis depends on executing the SpinCo separation, scaling capacity and converting projected CPI growth without losing margin discipline.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $31.95B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.93 Consensus $0.87
EPS surprise +6.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.48B Consensus $6.96B
Revenue surprise +7.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +39.7% Event window
SPY move +1.4% Same window
Abnormal move +38.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +18.4% Up to 20 sessions
FLEXSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Flex moved from discussing AI infrastructure expansion to announcing a CPI spin-off, adding the EP2 acquisition and providing a higher-growth FY27 outlook. Capex is expected to rise in FY27 and normalize in FY28.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY27 guidance, with CPI revenue projected to grow 65–75% in FY27 and more than 80% in FY28.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q4 revenue and margins were driven by growth in Cloud and Power Infrastructure.
  • Management plans to spin off CPI as SpinCo, expected to close in Q1 2027.
  • AI data-center demand, power and thermal solutions, and the EP2 acquisition are central to the growth plan.
  • FY27 capex will be elevated for infrastructure investment before normalizing in FY28.

Management priorities

  • Complete the SpinCo spin-off in early 2027.
  • Invest in power and cooling infrastructure for AI data centers.
  • Integrate EP2 and expand health care, robotics and warehouse automation offerings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FLEX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $0.55 Q4 '24 actual $0.57, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.41 Q1 '25 actual $0.51, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.56 Q2 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.63 Q1 '26 actual $0.72, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.75 Q2 '26 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.78 Q3 '26 actual $0.87, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.87 Q4 '26 actual $0.93, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.90 Q1 '27 actual $1.00, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.06 Q3 '27 estimate $1.22 Q4 '27 estimate $1.41
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish1973.1%
Neutral726.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$86.48Current
$24Low
$118Average
$203High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 29, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 27, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 7, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainApr 20, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 16, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainNov 12, 2025
Craig-Hallum Buy BuyMaintainOct 31, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2023
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJan 27, 2023
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeMay 18, 2022
Cross Research Buy HoldUpgradeMay 6, 2021
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeOct 16, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 11, 2020
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeOct 30, 2018
Needham Hold BuyDowngradeOct 26, 2018
Standpoint Research Buy HoldUpgradeJun 18, 2018
B. Riley FBR Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainApr 27, 2018
Raymond James Market Perform Strong BuyDowngradeApr 27, 2018
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 27, 2017
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainJan 29, 2016
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainOct 20, 2015
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 25, 2013
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainMay 15, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $86.48. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysTim Long$128$93.03 +48.0%Oct 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$150$76.99 +73.5%Oct 27, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$142$103.02 +64.2%Jul 30, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$154$103.02 +78.1%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$144$103.02 +66.5%Jul 30, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$170$103.02 +96.6%Jul 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$203$161.94 +134.7%Jun 4, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$177$135.94 +104.7%May 7, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$180$134.51 +108.1%May 7, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$165$134.73 +90.8%May 7, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$174$134.73 +101.2%May 7, 2026
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$95$81.83 +9.9%Apr 20, 2026
Raymond JamesMelissa Fairbanks$80$57.22 -7.5%Feb 4, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$75$64.27 -13.3%Jan 14, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$71$64.27 -17.9%Jan 14, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$74$67.54 -14.4%Dec 9, 2025
Argus ResearchJim Kelleher$85$63.48 -1.7%Oct 31, 2025
KeyBancSteve Barger$75$65.41 -13.3%Oct 30, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$73$65.2 -15.6%Oct 30, 2025
BarclaysTim Long$78$66.1 -9.8%Oct 30, 2025
KeyBancSteve Barger$70$59.63 -19.1%Oct 10, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$66$56.85 -23.7%Sep 29, 2025
Craig-HallumChristian Schwab$45$34.67 -48.0%Oct 31, 2024
KeyBancSteve Barger$41$34.39 -52.6%Oct 21, 2024
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$39$34.9 -54.9%Oct 17, 2024
Craig-HallumChristian Schwab$39$31.76 -54.9%Jul 25, 2024
Craig-HallumChristian Schwab$27$26.34 -68.8%May 2, 2024
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesMark Delaney$24$23.15 -72.2%Dec 13, 2022
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$21$17.38 -75.7%Jun 7, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Flex Ltd. is a global provider offering extensive design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain management solutions to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) across Asia, the Americas, and Europe. Its operations are structured into three primary segments: Flex Agility Solutions (FAS), Flex Reliability Solutions (FRS), and Nextracker. The company specializes in a range of cross-industry technologies, such as human-machine interfaces, Internet of Things (IoT) platforms, advanced power solutions, sensor fusion, and smart audio systems. A significant offering includes integrated solar tracker and software solutions tailored for utility-scale and ground-mounted distributed generation solar projects. Flex also delivers value-added design and engineering support, alongside comprehensive systems assembly and manufacturing services. These encompass enclosure fabrication, rigorous testing, and meticulous materials procurement and inventory management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T06:08:02.000774+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T06:08:01.998005+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.