Fair Isaac Corporation · FICO · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2025
FICO: Scores growth leads as guidance is maintained
FICO's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating narrative: Scores growth, mortgage origination activity, platform ARR expansion, and partnerships offset softer non-platform software trends. The case remains dependent on mortgage conditions, pricing execution, and sustained platform adoption.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current call showed stronger Scores growth and continued platform expansion, while the main watch items remained macro sensitivity, pricing pass-through, and conversion of bookings into ARR.
Guidance delta
Management reiterated fiscal 2025 guidance; no change was indicated.
Key takeaways
- Management described 15% year-over-year revenue growth, led by a 25% increase in Scores revenue.
- Platform ARR expanded while Software revenue growth was modest.
- Mortgage origination growth, Score 10 T adoption, and partnerships supported the growth narrative.
- The call highlighted continued product rollout, global expansion, and share repurchases.
Management priorities
- Expand Score 10 T and AI-driven capabilities.
- Broaden partnerships and indirect distribution channels.
- Advance global financial-inclusion products.
- Continue share repurchases alongside free-cash-flow generation.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 30, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Aug 3, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 28, 2023 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Mar 26, 2020 |
| Dougherty | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2016 |
| Sidoti & Co. | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 23, 2016 |
| William Blair | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 26, 2016 |
| Feltl & Co. | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 2, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $667.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $1,070 | $661.75 | +60.3% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $1,129 | $661.75 | +69.1% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $875 | $661.75 | +31.1% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Griffin | Ryan Griffin | $1,150 | $646.74 | +72.3% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $1,150 | $617.87 | +72.3% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $950 | $617.87 | +42.3% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $700 | $617.87 | +4.9% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Barclays | Manav Patnaik | $935 | $617.87 | +40.1% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Sean Kennedy | $1,344 | $617.87 | +101.3% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $1,322 | $840.89 | +98.0% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $1,350 | $924.52 | +102.2% | Sep 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Kevin McVeigh | $1,139 | $1,038.23 | +70.6% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Manav Patnaik | $1,700 | $1,041.4 | +154.7% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $1,675 | $1,122.97 | +150.9% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Ashish Sabadra | $1,525 | $1,149.47 | +128.4% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $1,450 | $1,373.08 | +117.2% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,270 | $1,240.17 | +90.2% | Jul 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,250 | $1,181.62 | +87.2% | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Surinder Thind | $1,700 | $1,035.5 | +154.7% | May 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $1,400 | $1,043.57 | +109.7% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $1,650 | $1,045.08 | +147.2% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $1,750 | $1,040.98 | +162.1% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $1,549 | $1,010.16 | +132.0% | Apr 29, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,150 | $944.99 | +72.3% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Sean Kennedy | $1,416 | $1,030.81 | +112.1% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $1,950 | $932.42 | +192.1% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,350 | $1,165.23 | +102.2% | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | George Tong | $1,777 | $1,463.17 | +166.2% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $2,200 | $1,580.02 | +229.5% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $2,400 | $1,649.99 | +259.5% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $2,250 | $1,674.28 | +237.0% | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $2,400 | $1,512.71 | +259.5% | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $1,800 | $1,494.3 | +169.6% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $2,300 | $1,496.53 | +244.5% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Seaport Global | Analyst unavailable | $1,600 | $1,496.53 | +139.7% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| UBS | Kevin McVeigh | $1,640 | $1,544.05 | +145.7% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Griffin | Ryan Griffin | $1,800 | $1,350 | +169.6% | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Needham | Kyle Peterson | $1,950 | $1,505.39 | +192.1% | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Griffin | Ryan Griffin | $2,000 | $1,591.73 | +199.6% | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Surinder Thind | $2,500 | $2,130 | +274.5% | May 14, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $2,250 | $1,673.98 | +237.0% | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Owen Lau | $2,515 | $2,343.44 | +276.7% | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Needham | Kyle Peterson | $2,500 | $2,019.56 | +274.5% | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $2,200 | $1,943.52 | +229.5% | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Jason Haas | $2,100 | $1,720 | +214.6% | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Barclays | Manav Patnaik | $1,800 | $1,654.99 | +169.6% | Aug 7, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Robert Moskow | $1,450 | $1,150.66 | +117.2% | Apr 23, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Patrick O'Shaughnessy | $1,007 | $916.41 | +50.8% | Sep 6, 2023 |
| Needham | Kyle Peterson | $900 | $770.98 | +34.8% | Jun 8, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $614 | $581.78 | -8.0% | Nov 10, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Robert Moskow | $588 | $497.23 | -11.9% | Mar 5, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationFair Isaac Corporation, also known as FICO, delivers advanced analytics, software solutions, and data management services designed to help businesses optimize, automate, and interconnect their crucial decision-making processes. These offerings reach clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. The company operates through two main divisions: Software and Scores. The Software segment provides pre-configured decision management solutions catering to a variety of business challenges and operations, including marketing strategy, account creation, customer relations, engagement, fraud detection, financial crime compliance, and debt collection, alongside related professional services.…
Historical context
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Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-18T11:31:04.118092+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T08:00:47.104825+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T08:00:47.102185+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.