Ford Motor Company · F · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Ford shows resilience, but tariffs and EV capital allocation remain in focus

Ford's reported quarter supports a resilience case built on trucks, SUVs, Ford Pro services, and cost actions, but the thesis depends on offsetting tariffs while executing a more focused EV investment plan.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $48.35B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.37 Consensus $0.33
EPS surprise +11.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $50.18B Consensus $45.79B
Revenue surprise +9.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.8% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.8% Up to 20 sessions
FSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis emphasizes Ford Pro's growing software and services contribution, continued cost savings, scaled LFP battery production, and a new EV-platform rollout, while full-year guidance remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year EBIT, free cash flow, and capex guidance despite a stated tariff headwind.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record revenue, truck and SUV share gains, and Ford Pro software and services growth.
  • Cost-improvement actions were described as helping offset tariff pressure.
  • Ford is refocusing its EV strategy around LFP batteries, a new Kentucky platform, and powertrain flexibility.

Management priorities

  • Expand Ford Pro software subscriptions and service penetration.
  • Scale LFP battery production and launch new EV platforms.
  • Continue cost reduction, OTA software updates, and dealer-network investment.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
F EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.43 Q1 '24 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.68 Q2 '24 actual $0.47, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.46 Q3 '24 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.33 Q2 '25 actual $0.37, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.35 Q3 '25 actual $0.45, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.18 Q4 '25 actual $0.13, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.18 Q1 '26 actual $0.66, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.33 Q2 '26 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.41 Q4 '26 estimate $0.31 Q1 '27 estimate $0.44
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold47 ratings
Bullish1838.3%
Neutral2348.9%
Bearish612.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$12.17Current
$10Low
$15.48Average
$29High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 29, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $12.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$14$12.14 +15.0%Oct 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAndrew Percoco$15$14.96 +23.3%Jul 29, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$17.5$14.35 +43.8%Jul 26, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$16$14.3 +31.5%Jun 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$17$14.9 +39.7%Jun 8, 2026
See 69 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ford Motor Company is a global automotive giant, engaged in the design, production, and servicing of a broad spectrum of vehicles. Its product line encompasses Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, and sport utility vehicles, in addition to luxury models from its Lincoln brand. The company structures its diverse operations into distinct segments: Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, Ford Next, and Ford Credit. Ford distributes its vehicles, service components, and accessories through a worldwide network of distributors and dealerships.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T22:50:41.596625+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T22:50:41.594740+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.