Ford Motor Company 6.20% Notes · F-PB · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Ford Q2 2026: EBIT Outlook Raised on Truck and Services Strength

Ford's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: truck and off-road demand, hybrid expansion and subscription growth improved profitability, while the raised EBIT outlook strengthens the near-term trajectory. The counterweight is execution and cost exposure from aluminum supply, commodities, trade policy and large launches.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $51.63B market cap
85quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.42 Consensus $0.36
EPS surprise +17.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $48.30B Consensus $47.24B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Adjusted EBIT reached $2.5 billion and full-year EBIT guidance was raised to $10-$11 billion. Management also highlighted roughly 50% growth in paid software and physical-services subscriptions, while revenue declined 4% year over year and Novelis-related supply risks remained.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $10-$11 billion and reaffirmed its capital-expenditure plan.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue was $48.3 billion, down 4% year over year, while adjusted EBIT rose 17% to $2.5 billion.
  • Truck and off-road demand, hybrid pickups, and software subscriptions supported profitability.
  • Paid software and physical-services subscriptions grew about 50% to 1.6 million users.
  • The UEV electric platform, Ford Energy storage expansion, and defense prototypes add future growth avenues.

Management priorities

  • Execute the UEV platform launch and customer deliveries starting next year
  • Scale Ford Energy toward 20 GWh of annual battery-storage capacity
  • Expand software subscriptions, truck and off-road offerings, and new vehicle capacity

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
F-PB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 6 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $0.33 Q2 '25 actual $-0.01, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.35 Q3 '25 actual $0.60, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.18 Q4 '25 actual $0.13, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.19 Q1 '26 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.36 Q2 '26 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.41 Q3 '26 actual $0.49, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.47 Q1 '27 estimate $0.35 Q2 '27 estimate $0.49 Q3 '27 estimate $0.47

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ford Motor Co. engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of automobiles. It operates through the following segments: Ford Blue, Ford Model E, Ford Pro, Ford Next, Ford Credit, and Corporate Other. The Ford Blue, Ford Model E, and Ford Pro segment includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories, together with the associated costs to develop, manufacture, distribute, and service the vehicles, parts, and accessories.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T23:04:06.023264+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.