Extra Space Storage Inc. · EXR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Extra Space Storage: Positive Same-Store Momentum, Guidance Maintained
The supplied analysis supports a measured constructive view: positive same-store revenue momentum, strong occupancy, external growth and pricing technology provide support, while maintained guidance, expense growth and regulatory constraints limit the strength of the outlook.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Same-store revenue turned positive in Q4 2025 and management continued external expansion, including acquisitions, joint ventures, bridge loans and third-party managed stores. The outlook remained maintained rather than becoming more optimistic, with regulatory and cost pressures still identified.
Guidance delta
Management maintained 2026 guidance, assuming flat-to-modest same-store revenue growth and 2%–3.5% expense growth.
Key takeaways
- Core FFO grew 1.1% year over year, while same-store revenue turned positive in Q4 2025.
- External growth continued through acquisitions, joint ventures, bridge loans and third-party managed stores.
- Management is using pricing algorithms, AI/ML and selective discounting while navigating regulatory and cost pressures.
Management priorities
- Continue joint-venture-based acquisitions and manage bridge-loan balances.
- Expand AI/ML capabilities in pricing, marketing and customer service.
- Invest in the store-manager model and use selective discounting.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Aug 18, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 18, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 13, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 8, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 18, 2023 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 17, 2020 |
| Baird | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 18, 2018 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 16, 2018 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 10, 2017 |
| Macquarie | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 10, 2014 |
| ISI Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 19, 2014 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jan 9, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $131.68. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $146 | $137.42 | +10.9% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Ravi Vaidya | $152 | $140.12 | +15.4% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $157 | $141.1 | +19.2% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $144.09 | +29.1% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $146.25 | +21.5% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $158 | $148.68 | +20.0% | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $148.21 | +21.5% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $145.42 | +20.0% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $163 | $143.92 | +23.8% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $172 | $142.68 | +30.6% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $148 | $143.92 | +12.4% | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $143.99 | +17.7% | May 27, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $158 | $138.58 | +20.0% | May 18, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $148 | $141.06 | +12.4% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Michael Lewis | $140 | $130.49 | +6.3% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Brad Heffern | $153 | $152.75 | +16.2% | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $141.71 | +13.9% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $146 | $148.87 | +10.9% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Brendan Lynch | $164 | $138.36 | +24.5% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $143 | $141.37 | +8.6% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $148 | $133.88 | +12.4% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $133.88 | +10.1% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $142 | $132.32 | +7.8% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $137 | $131.09 | +4.0% | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $152 | $131.09 | +15.4% | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $149 | $141.47 | +13.2% | Oct 3, 2025 |
| UBS | Michael Goldsmith | $160 | $143.56 | +21.5% | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $147 | $143.73 | +11.6% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $162 | $141.84 | +23.0% | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $150 | $138.73 | +13.9% | Aug 19, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $148 | $138.06 | +12.4% | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $165 | $157.09 | +25.3% | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Jonathan Petersen | $175 | $149.6 | +32.9% | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Eric Luebchow | $175 | $171.28 | +32.9% | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Jonathan Petersen | $204 | $178.78 | +54.9% | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Steve Sakwa | $170 | $177.48 | +29.1% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| National Bank | Todd Thomas | $178 | $175.84 | +35.2% | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $167 | $165.93 | +26.8% | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Jeff Spector | $155 | $158.74 | +17.7% | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | Nicholas Yulico | $159 | $165.44 | +20.7% | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ronald Kamdem | $74 | $147.8 | -43.8% | Jun 30, 2023 |
| Truist Financial | Ki Bin Kim | $225 | $213.79 | +70.9% | Aug 15, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Caitlin Burrows | $237 | $194.43 | +80.0% | Nov 1, 2021 |
| Berenberg Bank | Keegan Carl | $221 | $194.71 | +67.8% | Oct 29, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Smedes Rose | $175 | $161.6 | +32.9% | Jul 1, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Todd Stender | $160 | $145.88 | +21.5% | May 28, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationExtra Space Storage Inc., a prominent, self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT), is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah, and holds a distinguished place as a member of the S&P 500 index. As of September 30, 2020, its expansive portfolio encompassed 1,906 self-storage facilities, with operations spanning 40 U.S. states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico. Collectively, these facilities offer roughly 1.4 million individual storage units, totaling approximately 147.5 million square feet of rentable area. Extra Space Storage caters to diverse customer needs by providing a wide array of secure and conveniently located storage solutions nationwide. This includes specialized options for vehicles like boats and RVs, as well as dedicated business storage. Notably, it holds the position of the second-largest owner and operator of self-storage facilities throughout the U.S., and stands as the nation's largest self-storage management company.
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T23:40:58.112488+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T23:40:58.109730+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.